Preview 2024 Rd 12 Carlton vs Port Adelaide Thursday 30th May 7:30PM AEST @ Adelaide Oval

[Aphrodite]

Team is in …

Unchanged




https://www.carltonfc.com.au/news/1566482/afl-team-news-blues-name-23-for-thursday-night-football

Backs:	Adam Saad	Jacob Weitering	Zac Williams
Half-backs:	Brodie Kemp	Mitch McGovern	Nic Newman
Centreline:	Ollie Hollands	Patrick Cripps	Elijah Hollands
Half-forwards:	Lachie Fogarty	Harry McKay	Matthew Owies
Forwards:	George Hewett	Charlie Curnow	Matthew Kennedy
Followers:	Tom De Koning	Sam Walsh	Alex Cincotta
Interchange:	Lachie Cowan	Jack Carroll	Blake Acres
	Jordan Boyd	Orazio Fantasia
Emergencies:	Corey Durdin	Caleb Marchbank	Lewis Young

 

[Thrawn]

A Port poster on the main board game thread stated that he had a theory that Port don't play as well when there's a crowd of 40,000+. So I thought I would have a look. He's onto something. I went back to the start of 2021 to get more games in the data, but trying to avoid the COVID season (there were four games played in 2021 with no crowds - all wins). It's a small sample size of 15 games for crowds of 40k+, but the variance is startling. Let's make sure it's a big crowd.


Since 2021, they've played in 15 games with crowds of 40k+.
5 wins, 10 losses (33.33% win ratio).
Compared to the other 67 games with crowds of less than 40k...
48 wins, 19 losses (71.64% win ratio).

10 of the 15 with big crowds were at AO, with those being 5 wins and 5 losses.

Has about as much a meaning as "teams lose the next week after playing Freo".

 

[swuzzlebubble]

Has about as much a meaning as "teams lose the next week after playing Freo".

Well they did until Sydney played us.....hang on a minute....

 

[Opium]

AFL changing rules mid season to confuse the umpires even more. What could possibly go wrong.

 

[Sinjin Smith]

What has got me still concerned is we have not had a game where we were fully in control for the whole game. GC last weekend we put them away with a 15-20 min blitz, same with GWS. Freo was lucky if not controversial, Tigers we scrapped over the line, Brissie was an awesome comeback etc.

In fact, and this may seem unpopular, the most control we had in a game was against Melbourne. We had a quality opponent on toast for 90% of the game, it was the last 7 or so minutes we lost composure.

Last year we dominated multiple games. Obviously West Coast but also against Port, Freo, Gold Coast (at home), Hawks etc. I am positive its mental, which then worries me against Port at AO. Can we overcome that mental demon of playing poorly there? I'm not confident.

 

[BigFrizz36]

Anyone head out to the open training?

 

[JJBagger]

What has got me still concerned is we have not had a game where we were fully in control for the whole game. GC last weekend we put them away with a 15-20 min blitz, same with GWS. Freo was lucky if not controversial, Tigers we scrapped over the line, Brissie was an awesome comeback etc.

In fact, and this may seem unpopular, the most control we had in a game was against Melbourne. We had a quality opponent on toast for 90% of the game, it was the last 7 or so minutes we lost composure.

Last year we dominated multiple games. Obviously West Coast but also against Port, Freo, Gold Coast (at home), Hawks etc. I am positive its mental, which then worries me against Port at AO. Can we overcome that mental demon of playing poorly there? I'm not confident.

The game on the weekend was over halfway through the last. We had complete control in the first half, we were just innacrate. They pulled multiple goals out of their backside late to make the margin somewhat respectable. It seems like you're finding reasons to doubt

 

[bigblueboy]

What has got me still concerned is we have not had a game where we were fully in control for the whole game. GC last weekend we put them away with a 15-20 min blitz, same with GWS. Freo was lucky if not controversial, Tigers we scrapped over the line, Brissie was an awesome comeback etc.

In fact, and this may seem unpopular, the most control we had in a game was against Melbourne. We had a quality opponent on toast for 90% of the game, it was the last 7 or so minutes we lost composure.

Last year we dominated multiple games. Obviously West Coast but also against Port, Freo, Gold Coast (at home), Hawks etc. I am positive its mental, which then worries me against Port at AO. Can we overcome that mental demon of playing poorly there? I'm not confident.

Welcome to equalisation.
With a couple of notable exceptions, it’s rare for games to be one-way traffic these days.
Mentally we are much stronger than a couple of years ago. I hope it pours in Adelaide tomorrow - we will be up for the fight.

 

[AndyLucimitis]

The game on the weekend was over halfway through the last. We had complete control in the first half, we were just innacrate. They pulled multiple goals out of their backside late to make the margin somewhat respectable. It seems like you're finding reasons to doubt

I was at the game and was disappointed by our finish. We are leaving percentage on the table.

My worry is our game style is so taxing, a bit like a boxer, we struggle to play out a full quarter (let alone a full match).

 

[Sweet Seventeen]

I was at the game and was disappointed by our finish. We are leaving percentage on the table.

My worry is our game style is so taxing, a bit like a boxer, we struggle to play out a full quarter (let alone a full match).

I was at the game, but I was more concerned about our poor kicking at goal in the first half. That combined with their fluky goals, some were classy. Should have won by 10 goals imo.

 

[Aphrodite]

The run continues: Kennedy, Blues staying present

Matthew Kennedy and Carlton are preparing for another test against a high-flying opposition.

www.carltonfc.com.au

 

[Aphrodite]

Vossy …

What they said: Eyes in on Port challenge, says Voss

Michael Voss previews the Round 12 clash with Port Adelaide.

www.carltonfc.com.au

 

[JJBagger]

Neither Marchbank or Motlop in. Assume it’ll be an unchanged lineup?

 

[blues4flag]

Welcome the interpretation change. I've been ropeable since the Geelong game, where the umpires just stopped paying holding the ball. Reckon it was a directive from McBurney as he started around then.

As a team who's largely built our game on i50 pressure and front half territory, the lack of holding the ball free kicks has hurt us more than most. We haven't been rewarded for strong tackling inside 50, to our detriment.

 

[Aphrodite]

CH7 News …

Unchanged

 

[bigblueboy]

Rozee and Rioli out.

 

[JJBagger]

Carroll sub again?

 

[AB_Blue]

Big outs for Port and Soldo in for Sweet


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Aphrodite]

Team stickied

 

[SolGoodman]

Rozee and Rioli are massive outs for them.

 

[Blue since 72]

Neither Marchbank or Motlop in. Assume it’ll be an unchanged lineup?

Yep, Motlop would need another couple at least I reckon and tbh unless one of the incumbents is inured I see no reason to bring Marchbank in.

 

[Arr0w]

Hope we go in unchanged

Think Carroll will be the sub

 

[Arr0w]

Interesting to see 2 defenders as emergencies

 

[9874123]

Carrol would be very stiff to be sub 3 weeks in a row. Not sure thats doing the player any favours.

 

[9874123]

Interesting to see 2 defenders as emergencies

Think there is still a watch on McGovern