USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

[Maggie5]

I have been going through the list on 538 and can't believe how close these polls are.

Playing around with the map on 270toWin think I have come up with so many and if I take my bias hat off, Trump can win this, unbelievable.

Just call him Teflon Don as I don't know what it will take for Americans to see how dangerous he will be.

 

[FireKrakouer]

The polls and bookies have settled with Trump ahead in all key swing states - keeping in mind too that polls tend to underestimate the Trump vote. Don't shoot the messenger here my beautiful friends, I know it's not news you want to hear but it's the truth: there's no tinfoil conspiracy by Trump to somehow influence betting markets or whatever the theory is being touted here. And now some new court case hail mary? I think history has shown that his legal issues don't sway his momentum m8.

Don't blame me, the great FK, for this impending Trump victory. Blame the Dems for consistently choosing bland establishment candidates instead of allowing a meritocracy in their primaries!

 

[Seeds]

The polls and bookies have settled with Trump ahead in all key swing states - keeping in mind too that polls tend to underestimate the Trump vote. Don't shoot the messenger here my beautiful friends, I know it's not news you want to hear but it's the truth: there's no tinfoil conspiracy by Trump to somehow influence betting markets or whatever the theory is being touted here. And now some new court case hail mary? I think history has shown that his legal issues don't sway his momentum m8.

Don't blame me, the great FK, for this impending Trump victory. Blame the Dems for consistently choosing bland establishment candidates instead of allowing a meritocracy in their primaries!

I think trump is going to win sadly.

Why is it that you think many are choosing trump? Just interested to know.
Is it economics? Is it wokism (and if so which parts in particular)? Is it foreign policy? Is it support for religion? Something else?

Also do you support trump despite seeing big negatives with his candidacy because you think the positives outweigh the negatives or do you simply see little negative? If the former what in your view is trumps biggest negatives?

 

[Dazzler9]

Harris is going to have a solid win. Check the early voting trends now that polls are actually open.

 

[Seeds]

Harris is going to have a solid win. Check the early voting trends now that polls are actually open.

Trump isnt running a campaign against early voting this time is he? Nor is covid a factor anymore. Dont think the early voting is overwhelmingly for democrats as it was previously.

 

[Dazzler9]

Trump isnt running a campaign against early voting this time is he? Nor is covid a factor anymore. Dont think the early voting is overwhelmingly for democrats as it was previously.

 

[Dazzler9]

 

[Seeds]

I hope you are right. With all my heart.

 

[Seeds]

I just dont see how the polls could be so wrong again. Unless there is some extreme adverse selection issues going on.

 

[Dazzler9]

I just dont see how the polls could be so wrong again. Unless there is some extreme adverse selection issues going on.

Two years ago the poll averages were apparently predicting a red wave, which never happened.

 

[Dazzler9]

Harris has got this.

 

[OneGreatClub]

Two years ago the poll averages were apparently predicting a red wave, which never happened.

I remember a poster on Adelaide board was just about wetting his pants with excitement about the midterms big wed wave. It was a joy to behold the result.

 

[Seeds]

I remember a poster on Adelaide board was just about wetting his pants with excitement about the midterms big wed wave. It was a joy to behold the result.

But this can happen the other way too. I.e. trump could win by even more then the polls are predicting.

 

[Satan]

Trump hitting all the marks. … not

Hannity-Funeral Moment_ Obama Calls Opposing Leader Weak-2024-10-17.mp4

cdn.jwplayer.com

 

[OneGreatClub]

Would put nothing past Musk. Nothing.

 

[OneGreatClub]

But this can happen the other way too. I.e. trump could win by even more then the polls are predicting.

We’ll see I guess.Things are going to get really crazy and not just in the US if he does.

 

[pjcrows]

The election is tight as a nun's. It'll be a hundred thousand votes in Pennsylvania and North Carolina that decide it.