No the average punter doesnt see that at all - they just see the rush towards Trump and like lemmings have jumped on
I know the average punter and they wear trakkies and a hoody to the tab and they arent smart enough to do the type of analysis you present
Appreciate the info
Possibly, I guess my point is that the betting flipped when the polls tightened. If the polls were still where they were 6 weeks ago (Harris +4-5) and Trump was a 65% chance in the betting then yeah, it'd be odd. But it's neck and neck, and people are just looking at recent history to bet that Trump overperforms polling. I don't think it's any more complicated than that.