Really hard to say because you think 'well Root won't miss out twice', but then Smith does, so we could roll them for ~200Whats the minimum lead that people think we need to be a chance in this game?
I am thinking with the current lead at 142, we need at least another 150 - 200 runs.
Giving us a 300 - 350 lead.
The way our dumb *u**s bowl to Stokes, he will have another opportunity to make a big score.
I scratch my head and wonder have our bowlers forgotten about the yorker, Stocks is susceptible on his pads to both lbw and being bowled, yet we persists with the constant barrage of short and wide or short and down leg side to him.
So the plan is eventually he will sky one ....... well, yes that has worked, but the trouble is he only skyed one after he has already blasted his way to a high score.
Also pains me that with the last ball of the over, we cant manage to keep him on strike and just happily concede a single to keep the bunnies off strike.
This match will require a massive effort from the last five wickets, to post a defendable target.
How many runs do we need ?????
I'd say 200 at a minimum but to be confident we'd need 320+, because you never know how lucky they might get if they go the slog. With some overheads and movement it would be hard for them to get 300 but not impossible.