Brownlow Medal 2009 (Part 3)

[sblack]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

hey does anyone have a round by round on Hayes? Just wondering where all the votes are coming from

He had a hot streak between Rounds 5-11 where there is a possbile 4 BOGs, with about 3 standout 3 vote games. He then finished the season very strong.

 

[mattybomb22]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

He had a hot streak between Rounds 5-11 where there is a possbile 4 BOGs, with about 3 standout 3 vote games. He then finished the season very strong.

thanks

 

[Notorious_29]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

He had a hot streak between Rounds 5-11 where there is a possbile 4 BOGs, with about 3 standout 3 vote games. He then finished the season very strong.

I also have him getting 3 votes in the Saints Vs Cats clash in round 14.

Possible pollings in rounds

3, 5, 7-12, 14, 16, 17, 20 and 22.

Possible 5-6 BOG'S.

Just in my opinion anyway.

 

[VINCANITY]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

hey does anyone have a round by round on Hayes? Just wondering where all the votes are coming from

I have Hayes on 4-6 BOG's (i havnt done a phantom count or anything so take from that what you will). Lets say he gets 5 BOG's, thats 15 votes if he can sneak some 2's and 1's he can easily top 20 votes. If its a low scoring year he can easilly win the thig

 

[half_back_flank]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 2

Anyone rating Montagna?

I have Selwood with Hayes as a saver in my group multi (so hoping Hayes gets up) but worried about Montagna, could he posibly outpoll both Selwood and Lenny?

Its been eating at me all day wondering whether another trip to the TAB is needed haha

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 2

Anyone rating Montagna?

I have Selwood with Hayes as a saver in my group multi (so hoping Hayes gets up) but worried about Montagna, could he posibly outpoll both Selwood and Lenny?

Its been eating at me all day wondering whether another trip to the TAB is needed haha

He could but id say ur safe personally have:
Ive used Hayes and selwood as a saver no Montagna.
Hayes
Selwood
Montagna

Chuck Hayes in a Multi with Vince + Gibbs and u have $80....

 

[moond0g]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

whats the go with the multi bets

i tired to put it on with hayes for saints leader and fev to win his group and i couldnt but hayes isnt in the group and fev isnt from the saints so i cant really see a problem

unless its because kosis in the group and he's from saint, if thats the reson its just crap


is there anyway to get get hayes for either saints leader or top 5 multied with group winners etc

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

whats the go with the multi bets

i tired to put it on with hayes for saints leader and fev to win his group and i couldnt but hayes isnt in the group and fev isnt from the saints so i cant really see a problem

unless its because kosis in the group and he's from saint, if thats the reson its just crap

I placed a bet like that the other day
they might have done a sportsbet and closed multis? or at least some multis
i havnt placed bets since yday.

 

[echelon22]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

I also have him getting 3 votes in the Saints Vs Cats clash in round 14.

Possible pollings in rounds

3, 5, 7-12, 14, 16, 17, 20 and 22.

Possible 5-6 BOG'S.

Just in my opinion anyway.

Similar story here. I have him down for potential votes in every game from Round 5 to 14 to poll 17 votes, although two of those were a toss up between getting 0 and 1. 3 clear BoGs with a further 3 good chances for 2 in there, followed by maybes in 16, 20 and 22.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

anyone know what time betting closes?

 

[Subaru Impreza]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Ablett's price shows no sign of going up.

Went from 3.00 last to 2.74 Saturday, to 2.66 (last night) now $2.42 (now)


Reckon he might start evens now

 

[banana_bus]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

whats the go with the multi bets

i tired to put it on with hayes for saints leader and fev to win his group and i couldnt but hayes isnt in the group and fev isnt from the saints so i cant really see a problem

unless its because kosis in the group and he's from saint, if thats the reson its just crap


is there anyway to get get hayes for either saints leader or top 5 multied with group winners etc

Yep thats right. Because Kosi is in the group, and he is also in the running to win Saints top votes, you cant have the above multi.

Better value elsewhere anyway.

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Yep thats right. Because Kosi is in the group, and he is also in the running to win Saints top votes, you cant have the above multi.

Better value elsewhere anyway.

I like Fev and Hayes. i agree better value elsewhere but thats still a v good bet imo.

 

[banana_bus]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

I like Fev and Hayes. i agree better value elsewhere but thats still a v good bet imo.

Yeah, not a bad bet, but add Ablett, Clark and Vince in there as well and boom.

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Yeah, not a bad bet, but add Ablett, Clark and Vince in there as well and boom.

You forgot Gibbs, how could u.

 

[Mordecai]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Alright,

I turned over some of my cash to tab from my sportsbet account to get in on some of these multi's

I've put in Gibbs-Vince-Hayes for 360 as a tester to see that they allow it - just the $1.

Can someone give me a grid of what they're covering... I wouldn't usually ask, but the hour is getting late.

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Alright,

I turned over some of my cash to tab from my sportsbet account to get in on some of these multi's

I've put in Gibbs-Vince-Hayes for 360 as a tester to see that they allow it - just the $1.

Can someone give me a grid of what they're covering... I wouldn't usually ask, but the hour is getting late.

How did u transfer from sportsbet to the TAB?
and gibbs - hayes - vince isnt paying 360 its paying 80 off memory?

 

[maxlad]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Alright,

I turned over some of my cash to tab from my sportsbet account to get in on some of these multi's

I've put in Gibbs-Vince-Hayes for 360 as a tester to see that they allow it - just the $1.

Can someone give me a grid of what they're covering... I wouldn't usually ask, but the hour is getting late.

i think gibbs/vince/hayes/fev/clark is about 360:1

 

[Mordecai]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

How did u transfer from sportsbet to the TAB?
and gibbs - hayes - vince isnt paying 360 its paying 80 off memory?

Beg your pardon. Transferred money out to my bank account, then transferred to TAB.
Double beg your pardon - not 360. It was 170 though.
Brownlow Carlton Most Votes 3914 GIBBS Bryce Edit | Delete 9.00 Brownlow Adelaide Most Votes 3905 VINCE Bernie Edit | Delete 2.40 Brownlow St Kilda Most Votes 3975 HAYES Lenny Edit | Delete 8.00 Combined Odds: 172.80

 

[moond0g]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Yeah, not a bad bet, but add Ablett, Clark and Vince in there as well and boom.

You forgot Gibbs, how could u.

obviously i had those too , just trying to get the point about no team leaders multied with group winners.

my initial one had hayes for saints win, judd, goodes and watson to lead their teams and then vince, gibbs, fev for the groups... worked out to just under 1k for a 10 dollar investment so i was licking my lips

oh well no cigar today had to try and get similar stuff but with only clubs or groups... not exatcly what i wanted but see how we go

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

Beg your pardon. Transferred money out to my bank account, then transferred to TAB.
Double beg your pardon - not 360. It was 170 though.
Brownlow Carlton Most Votes 3914 GIBBS Bryce Edit | Delete 9.00 Brownlow Adelaide Most Votes 3905 VINCE Bernie Edit | Delete 2.40 Brownlow St Kilda Most Votes 3975 HAYES Lenny Edit | Delete 8.00 Combined Odds: 172.80

dont like that bet at all gibbs wont beat muprhy + Judd,
U shuda done Gibbs in group 4, Vince in group 6 and Hayes in whatever group he was paying $80.

 

[moond0g]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

alright so far ive got 3 bets all $5 investment

club leaders
hayes
goodes
judd
watson
mitchell
vince payout: $222

group leaders
fevola
hayes
vince
gibbs payout: $356

and ablett/hayes quinella payout: $185

bit annoyed seeing as the power went out here for an hour so i when i put them on ive lost bout $100 value in each bet

ive got 1 more bet in me what are peoples suggestion, keeping in mind that i cant seem to link clubs with groups and top 5 ect????

 

[AjsGuns]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

how much did u put on the group leaders
to get 356.

 

[VINCANITY]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

alright so far ive got 3 bets all $5 investment

club leaders
hayes
goodes
judd
watson
mitchell
vince payout: $222

group leaders
fevola
hayes
vince
gibbs payout: $356

and ablett/hayes quinella payout: $185

bit annoyed seeing as the power went out here for an hour so i when i put them on ive lost bout $100 value in each bet

ive got 1 more bet in me what are peoples suggestion, keeping in mind that i cant seem to link clubs with groups and top 5 ect????

Im starting to warm to adam simpson as a smokey for North Melburne. Here is one i put on today, its a bit of a silly one but not totally unrealistic.

Simpson
LeCras
Deledio
Hayes

But if you want a safer bet replace Simpson with Pavlich or Brown

 

[fridge21]

Re: Brownlow Medal part 3

3 hours to go.....haven't been this excited since Hungry Jacks introduced the quad burger a couple of years back!!

My wish list for tonight.....

Swan to win
Black to beat Brown
Boyd to win dogs
Swan/Vince/Gibbs to win their groups
Hayes to win Saints (or Goddard/Montagna)

Judd to disappoint
Goodes to disappoint
Dal Santo to disappoint

Really can't work it out re Ablett, i'm prepared to say i don't think he will win, $2.20 at last look is too short. May well be wrong cos he is a star but i think the odds are wrong.

Good luck everyone for tonight, thanks for advice and thoughts over the past 6 months!! About a month ago i thought the TAB must lose millions with so many silly odds and a fair few on here being all over them, but a quick trip to the TAB today was enough to see why they offer so many varieites to lose your money on....have never before seen so many muppets (well maybe cup day) completely guessing with their tips and filling the TAB's pockets to bursting point!!!