- Dec 12, 2010
- 4,922
- 5,152
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
You call it being spooked by ghosts of trades past, I call it learning lessons of mistakes made.This is not a lesson to learn. Just because it hasn't worked in the past does not mean it won't work in the future. We need to assess options clearly in the current context, not be put off due to past failures.
There is always a risk in trading future picks. There's a chance it ends up better/worse/exactly as expected. We've had some misfortune in the past. Taking this option off the table limits us and means we never have the chance of it working in our favour.
This year there are specific reasons to bring next year's pick forward, for the right deal. Whether we do it should depend on the right deal eventuating, not being spooked by the ghosts of trades past.
Either way, I think everyone should be wary of trading a pick before it's value is known for an asset before it's price is known.
And the comment from Jen of trading our first round pick next year for something up to pick 30 made me shudder. Sure, this might be a better, deeper draft than next year, but would next year's draft pick 6 be better than this year's draft pick 25? I definitely think so.