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Have a trip planned to Vietnam in late April/Early May. At this stage still going. Can’t really worry or make final decision until closer to the time. I think the issue by then will be greater here than over there and they may put travel restrictions on Australians. Notice the women’s soccer team are playing there tonight. They have been taking extreme measures for awhile, Eg.schools closed for last 4 weeks.
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I was in Paris last year and just staggered at the proportion of young people who smoked. Seemed to be most of them . Similar story in the provincial areas.Was the same in France a few years ago.
Also visited a Paris hospital. Talk about sterile. And had the obligatory gypsy family living in the emergency driveway.
I was struggling to think what Harris's position on this had to do with anything.
If you haven’t been before, make sure you sort your Visa paperwork out beforehand, make sure you have your Visa approval letter with you, two ID photos of the correct size (Australia Post has this information), and take US$25.Have a trip planned to Vietnam in late April/Early May. At this stage still going. Can’t really worry or make final decision until closer to the time. I think the issue by then will be greater here than over there and they may put travel restrictions on Australians. Notice the women’s soccer team are playing there tonight. They have been taking extreme measures for awhile, Eg.schools closed for last 4 weeks.
Going to Hanoi and the north - Sapa. Been before and yes that is good advice, although last time got through immigration reasonably quickly. Expecting long delays this time though.If you haven’t been before, make sure you sort your Visa paperwork out beforehand, make sure you have your Visa approval letter with you, two ID photos of the correct size (Australia Post has this information), and take US$25.
Even with all the appropriate paperwork in order, immigration can take a couple of hours.
If you’re landing in Ho Chi Minh, and staying close to the city. You’ll get a much, much better rate going to a currency converter in the city, than you will here or at the airport.
If you’ve been before, have fun again.
I still remember thinking Nicola Roxon who fought for the tobacco reforms had bigger balls and than any other politician I can recallAlways amazing to realise how far ahead of the curve Australia is with smoking. Not until you go overseas do you remember how much its changed here.
But yes countries with higher smoking probably will have more issues right now
It honestly feels unlikely we make it through the season and if we do it will be severely comprimised. Clubs are already going into isolation.
I think a really important point though is that this is all the protocol of the containment period - once it's widespread (assuming that happens), there won't be any reason to cancel flights/games etc. I expect that at most we'll see 3-4 rounds seriously impacted, but no more than that.
I am clearly in the minority on this thread.
I posted a comment on news.com which appears below. I usually avoid doing this for many reasons.
it is just my opinion.I had to take out all punctuation to get under the character limit.
My comment on article
So far every world leader has gone down the same path of trying to control this virus which from what i read is really only a very bad flu Figures posted today in this online paper has the total death rate in China of 3.6 % of the reported cases Mostly people over 80 are in this figure Which i imagine is a bit higher than a usual flu season of people in this age group So unless governments world wide are keeping us all in the dark over something i don't understand this panic
Nothing has stopped the spread If China and their type of government had no luck in containing this virus no country will be successful Can you imagine if our government went down the Italy path
I am waiting for a leader of a G20 country to state something like
"We are keeping everything open as usual Will let the virus run it's course Factory's schools sports and entertainment venues transport everything all business as usual but with reduced production and services All monies will be channeled into health and education to help reduce the spread until it dies down by itself A vaccine is somewhere down the track about 6 to 12 months so don't panic Our country and the world will get through this together But we are not closing down the country We have no restrictions on leaving or entering this country People travel at their own risk"
It is almost certain that most countries will fall into recession for a period of time. But what we don't want is another Great Depression of 1929 to 1933 Surely this will happen if we continue down this present path Far more lives will be lost. The world economy collapses
Italy what a stupid government decision. What do you believe will happen when you open up your country after a period of time. Being stupid i will tell you. The virus will continue to run its course.
Hopefully a leader from a G20 country is out their somewhere willing to make a great decision.
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Jason's reply to my comment
You need to understand 'Flatten the curve'. This is why there are experts, and you should listen to them
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My reply to Jason
So called experts regularly get things wrong.
Jason let us know what you think the end result of this virus will do to this country and the world in general if every country continues to do what they are doing now. This is a genuine question to you and others
At this very point in time 3.10PM (channel 24) the health minister just said "the vast majority of people that actually contact this virus will have very mild symptoms and recover quickly". Then they cross to others and panic is the main theme.
Why is everyone panicking.
People are like sheep unless we have good leaders i am worried what will happen. Toilet paper aside.
By panicking we have just destroyed to date the tourism and university industry for 12 months at least. Many more to follow if we continue to follow what other countries are doing.
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David's reply to my comment
I don't think you understand the impact of this...
The regular flu has a death rate of around 0.1%. This compared to the 3.4% reported rate of the Corona Virus is a very big difference.
Many of the countries are trying to spread out the infection so that the health care systems can cope. If you were to take Australia with around 25 million people, if everyone got sick all at once and let's assume a 5% hospitalisation rate, you are looking at 1.25 million people needing care all at the same time.
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My reply to David
David the 3.6 % of China's reported cases i mentioned in the first post was from 116,000 cases with death rate being 4176. I can't locate the article from this site but it was 116,000+ confirmed cases
So i understand more than your figure of 1.25 million Australians hospitalized based on our population using my rate incorrectly.
China's population is 1.4 billion with only 116,000 cases so, that's only 0.0082 %
So on that basis Australia population of say 25.6 million That's = 2050 cases
So on China's death rate of 3.6% that's 74 deaths.
But you can't just base figures on China's rate but you get an idea.
Below is the last 3 years of Australia's confirmed flu numbers from an official site.
2019 : 313,061 exceeded the bad 2017 season
2018 : 58,570
2017 : 249,882 the worst for some time
Amazingly i can't quickly find the flu death numbers for these three years.
One official site states on average 3000 Australians per year.
Another had year 2017 with only 1255 deaths.
But what ever the number they are usually elderly with other health conditions.
I am 67 so not young.If i survive great if not that's life.
On your other point about everyone getting sick at one time and hospitals won't cope, that is a very unlikely situation.
As i said in my first comment it will be just a very bad flu season.
Panic and bad decisions is the problem for the country not the virus itself.
Except they demonstrably have been successful. China has over a billion people. They limited the virus' area of impact to a fraction of that. The US currently has more individual areas affected than China - obviously a massive difference in the absolute number of cases but we'll see if that persists.Nothing has stopped the spread If China and their type of government had no luck in containing this virus no country will be successful
if you trust their reporting. Seems almost too good to be true that only one country can contain it?Except they demonstrably have been successful. China has over a billion people. They limited the virus' area of impact to a fraction of that. The US currently has more individual areas affected than China - obviously a massive difference in the absolute number of cases but we'll see if that persists.
Correct.I was firmly in the 'it's just the flu' camp 3-4 days ago - after reading and watching a lot of first hand reports from China and Italy I now understand why containment is needed. I don't think it's dooms day time, but I think it's real and I think it's dangerous.
Predicting how this pans out is guess work at this stage, even experts are guessing.
I am however now seriously concerned about this season.
I know every one is trying to act as if it's business as usual at AFL HQ. However, if this thing keeps going the way it is.. it will end up in AFL teams, players won't be able to play and clubs with be shut down. Clubs are already in quarentine. Playing in empty stadiums is inevitable, plus eventual flight and other logistical issues.
It honestly feels unlikely we make it through the season and if we do it will be severely comprimised. Clubs are already going into isolation.
Even Whatley said tonight.. "that's if we even start in round 1".
I dunno, I am no expert.. but it's starting to feel like a futile excercise, im struggling to even get excited for round 1 at this stage.
I agree that is what i stated.Except they demonstrably have been successful. China has over a billion people. They limited the virus' area of impact to a fraction of that. The US currently has more individual areas affected than China - obviously a massive difference in the absolute number of cases but we'll see if that persists.
Correct.
GP in Vic will be he tipping point. It's so imaginably dumb to hold it and cases will rise exponentially the week after.