Mega Thread Coronavirus & the AFL - season postponed. (Thread part 1 - cont in part 2, link in thread)

[Chief]

This is part 1 of this thread.

Continued in Part 2:

Mega Thread - Coronavirus & the AFL - season postponed. Part 2 * CONTINUED ABUSE WILL NOT BE TOLERATED *

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/pages/covid-stats-australia/

www.bigfooty.com

 

[FRUMPY]

The world will go into a recession this year, Japan and Germany / the EU were already boarding on it in December. Tourism has dried up massively, factories closed down, supply chains halted or severely disrupted. The ax is out where I work and getting sharpened.

A tough 12 months coming up, real tough.

Toilet paper companies wont - and if they are smart they will put a 3 month use by date on them - the same idiots will keep on spending haha

 

[Obeanie1]

Probably because most of china dont have a good health system or good health in general.

Australia in general will be fine (except for the scare mongering that has occured in the media every day)

Well I hope you are right.

Unfortunately I don't think you are.

 

[Obeanie1]

Toilet paper companies wont - and if they are smart they will put a 3 month use by date on them - the same idiots will keep on spending haha

What industry do you work in btw?

 

[FRUMPY]

Well I hope you are right.

Unfortunately I don't think you are.

Out of interest, what do you anticipate happens in Australia?

 

[FRUMPY]

What industry do you work in btw?

finance

 

[Brutalitops]

Probably because most of china dont have a good health system or good health in general.

Australia in general will be fine (except for the scare mongering that has occured in the media every day)

It's a respiratory disease and they have some of the worst air in world. Dispite the negative press the COVID19 gets, it's doing a lot to reduce the carbon footprint of a serious offender. Check this pollution chart:



Starting to think maybe COVID19 isn't the evil villain the media makes it out to be

 

[faible]

Toilet paper companies wont

This really isn't true, there's a shifting in production and cashflow but long-term they're not selling more units of toilet paper per person. People will stockpile then draw down on that stockpile over time, they don't inherently suddenly use more toilet paper.

Similar with non-perishable goods. Having a few extra tins of beans in the cupboard just means at a later date they don't buy those tins to cook a meal.

 

[FRUMPY]

This really isn't true, there's a shifting in production and cashflow but long-term they're not selling more units of toilet paper per person. People will stockpile then draw down on that stockpile over time, they don't inherently suddenly use more toilet paper.

Similar with non-perishable goods. Having a few extra tins of beans in the cupboard just means at a later date they don't buy those tins to cook a meal.

thats it, quote half my post

 

[RUNVS]

It's a respiratory disease and they have some of the worst air in world. Dispite the negative press the COVID19 gets, it's doing a lot to reduce the carbon footprint of a serious offender. Check this pollution chart:

View attachment 833282

Starting to think maybe COVID19 isn't the evil villain the media makes it out to be

Interesting fact in a similar vain is that Genghis Khan was really good for the environment. Forests thrived thanks to him as he killed so many people that it allowed forests to rejuvenate in ways that would not have been possible if he had not murdered millions.

 

[faible]

thats it, quote half my post

Except people are well aware there's no use by date on toilet paper so as with seemingly 90% of your posts on this topic, it's a disingenuous comment.

 

[ItsAllAboutMe]

The world will go into a recession this year, Japan and Germany / the EU were already boarding on it in December. Tourism has dried up massively, factories closed down, supply chains halted or severely disrupted. The ax is out where I work and getting sharpened.

A tough 12 months coming up, real tough.

Yes I found it bizarre how head in the sand the financial markets were with how long they took to react as soon as the news broke. It was an obvious outcome from the start. Job losses will be ruthless particularly within supply chain and manufacturing. Bizarrely i would expect agriculture to be okay as the Chinese will look for 'safer' meat and fresh food.

 

[Brutalitops]

This really isn't true, there's a shifting in production and cashflow but long-term they're not selling more units of toilet paper per person. People will stockpile then draw down on that stockpile over time, they don't inherently suddenly use more toilet paper.

Similar with non-perishable goods. Having a few extra tins of beans in the cupboard just means at a later date they don't buy those tins to cook a meal.

Increased sales mean increased production which leads to greater manufacture and logistics. You should expect that to continue until an end date is in sight.

 

[ItsAllAboutMe]

Interesting fact in a similar vain is that Genghis Khan was really good for the environment. Forests thrived thanks to him as he killed so many people that it allowed forests to rejuvenate in ways that would not have been possible if he had not murdered millions.

A posthumous Nobel peace prize is surely in order.

 

[faible]

Increased sales mean increased production which leads to greater manufacture and logistics. You should expect that to continue until an end date is in sight.

Doubtful, there'll be a short term spike in purchases then people will draw down on their stockpile leaving part of it in reserve. They're not going to continue to purchase 300% more than they need long-term.

They'll have however much extra than they think they need, then they'll basically return to normal purchasing habits until they think the concern is over is my guess.

 

[Demons09]

finance

And here’s me thinking you were a doctor, telling us that we were panicking for nothing even though the head of the AMA said otherwise.

 

[Coaster2012]

Just cancelled my West Coast trip to the States through Taiwan, there goes my Lakers and Clippers tickets. I'm so damn depressed.

 

[FRUMPY]

And here’s me thinking you were a doctor, telling us that we were panicking for nothing even though the head of the AMA said otherwise.

Dont need to be a doctor - the rest of bigfooty including your self are

 

[Demons09]

Dont need to be a doctor - the rest of bigfooty including your self are

No I actually take advice from doctors, not from someone posting on BigFooty telling us not to panic , you know because he’s in finance

 

[Brutalitops]

Doubtful, there'll be a short term spike in purchases then people will draw down on their stockpile leaving part of it in reserve. They're not going to continue to purchase 300% more than they need long-term.

They'll have however much extra than they think they need, then they'll basically return to normal purchasing habits until they think the concern is over is my guess.

Panic buying has a flow on effect. People who wouldn't normally buy extra will do so as they don't want to be left stranded. We see it in short term catastrophes such as hurricanes/cyclones.

But we're looking at something that will become protracted - even though the risk to most of the general public is minimal. The media benefits most as masses in a heightened state will be looking for constant updates hoping for good news. When the good news doesn't come their state heightens further and round and round it goes.

 

[GROTTO]

Panic buying has a flow on effect. People who wouldn't normally buy extra will do so as they don't want to be left stranded.

Im locked and loaded for any emergency now.

 

[ItsAllAboutMe]

Panic buying has a flow on effect. People who wouldn't normally buy extra will do so as they don't want to be left stranded. We see it in short term catastrophes such as hurricanes/cyclones.

But we're looking at something that will become protracted - even though the risk to most of the general public is minimal. The media benefits most as masses in a heightened state will be looking for constant updates hoping for good news. When the good news doesn't come their state heightens further and round and round it goes.

100% and this is playing into the staged managed ScoMos hands beautifully

 

[faible]

Panic buying has a flow on effect. People who wouldn't normally buy extra will do so as they don't want to be left stranded. We see it in short term catastrophes such as hurricanes/cyclones.

But we're looking at something that will become protracted - even though the risk to most of the general public is minimal. The media benefits most as masses in a heightened state will be looking for constant updates hoping for good news. When the good news doesn't come their state heightens further and round and round it goes.

Certainly the media benefits more than anything else, people purchasing non-perishables will eventually draw down on that stock, so a spike in purchases today means an eventual decrease in purchases in the future. Something like hand-sanitiser or surface wipes as a consumable that people wouldn't otherwise normally use is a different scenario.

For the media, they just get an increase in clicks and thus revenue, there's not really a long-term tradeoff in that.

 

[Brutalitops]

Certainly the media benefits more than anything else, people purchasing non-perishables will eventually draw down on that stock, so a spike in purchases today means an eventual decrease in purchases in the future. Something like hand-sanitiser or surface wipes as a consumable that people wouldn't otherwise normally use is a different scenario.

For the media, they just get an increase in clicks and thus revenue, there's not really a long-term tradeoff in that.

I suppose you're right. Still, it'd be great if people could just chill and lay off this hysteria.

 

[Monkey King]

And here’s me thinking you were a doctor, telling us that we were panicking for nothing even though the head of the AMA said otherwise.

I wonder if they've been advising clients not to worry and hold on to their shares. I divested my share holdings into USD and gold CFD's just before the travel bans were put in place. Thought for a while I'd overreacted, but I'm so glad I did now. Once information about transmissibility and incubation periods started to come out, and governments were still taking a SARS approach to temp screening travellers, the risk was too steep for my liking.

 

[FRUMPY]

I wonder if they've been advising clients not to worry and hold on to their shares. I divested my share holdings into USD and gold CFD's just before the travel bans were put in place. Thought for a while I'd overreacted, but I'm so glad I did now. Once the information about transmissibility and incubation periods started to come out, and governments were still taking a SARS approach to temp screening travellers, the risk was too steep for my liking.

How long until you buy back those shares? Market will be in free fall for a while longer yet - going to be some bargain shares soon enough.