Resource COVID19 V - The Info Thread

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I've started to notice the public's compliance with masks slipping. Things like: staff at bars wearing them around their chin until a Patron approaches, people at shopping centres wearing them around their chin (or some not even wearing them at all). I expect their use to slowly drop off over the next few months whether the law changes or not, like what happened with check-in.
The problem with being heavy handed on things like masks is that compliance like as you describe will end up slipping in areas where they should be used. Public transport, airports, some crowded events or public places etc. Personally I think it is common sense to use a mask in these settings as much as they are basically pointless in some others.
 
Vaccine mandates to be scrapped in Queensland from the 14th April except in vulnerable settings. Fantastic..
The bloke on the gate at the gabba had little interest in checking this on sat night..
 

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At the active case peak for SA they had 54 deaths in the outbreak (which adjusted for population would be 81 deaths in WA). At our active case peak we had 46 deaths for the outbreak.

Our case peak took two weeks longer to arrive than the SA case peak (based on how long it took SA to go from ~700 cased to ~35000 cases vs how long it took WA to go from ~1100 cases to ~54000 cases), so that makes our figure look worse than it actually is.

Two weeks after the SA case peak they had 122 deaths (equivalent of 183 deaths in WA), though we had 35000 active cases two weeks ago so it's probably fair to compare the 46 to the 122 when considering how well we've done.

Also worth noting that SA has just peaked again at over 35000 cases and they have 264 deaths for the outbreak (since the start of their omicron/delta wave), whereas we've done both the omicron wave and the omicron b2 wave at the same time. Delta hasn't really gotten a look in here.
 
Wonder how much opening up too early with booster rates too low while we did it properly contributed to the one term wonder government over there?
You'd have to think a fair bit. Marshall and his govt seemed from a distance to be pretty centrist and uncontroversial policy wise, had a couple of rorters who had to leave the party but nothing to signal the hiding they got.
 
You'd have to think a fair bit. Marshall and his govt seemed from a distance to be pretty centrist and uncontroversial policy wise, had a couple of rorters who had to leave the party but nothing to signal the hiding they got.
The last 5 months he managed to annoy many different groups with Covid policies:
  • people who didn't want the border opened
  • people who wanted it opened sooner (he'd lost them already)
  • people who supported the timing but then got caught in the web of ever-changing close contact rules and continuing restrictions (this covers the entire hospitality industry).

Plus with the defections they were already a minority government going into the election.

I expect a similar Liberal bloodbath in the upcoming Federal election where the party has similar issues plus an enormously unpopular leader on top of that.
 
The last 5 months he managed to annoy many different groups with Covid policies:
  • people who didn't want the border opened
  • people who wanted it opened sooner (he'd lost them already)
  • people who supported the timing but then got caught in the web of ever-changing close contact rules and continuing restrictions (this covers the entire hospitality industry).

Plus with the defections they were already a minority government going into the election.

I expect a similar Liberal bloodbath in the upcoming Federal election where the party has similar issues plus an enormously unpopular leader on top of that.

Its unlikely to be a bloodbath. The alps only way in will be as a minority government.. Morrison maybe unpopular with the twitter crowd but he is still more popular than each way Albo and up until the last news poll was still the preferred prime minister. Each way only now drawing level. Combine this with his key nurse promise being blown up after four days, running scared from the public at a news conference , not ruling out tax increses, the mean girls saga, scrapping the building and construction commission to protect his union mates and not knowing who he is ( so far he has likened himself to hawke, howard, keating and the corrupt Palaszczuk) unless he can run a basement biden campaign its not going to take long for the public to figure out hes not upto it.

As for Marshall after the stupidity of throwing his hat into the same ring as the crazy health officer ( don't touch the footy,lookdown over a pizzabox) he deserved to get the boot.
 
Its unlikely to be a bloodbath. The alps only way in will be as a minority government.. Morrison maybe unpopular with the twitter crowd but he is still more popular than each way Albo and up until the last news poll was still the preferred prime minister. Each way only now drawing level. Combine this with his key nurse promise being blown up after four days, running scared from the public at a news conference , not ruling out tax increses, the mean girls saga, scrapping the building and construction commission to protect his union mates and not knowing who he is ( so far he has likened himself to hawke, howard, keating and the corrupt Palaszczuk) unless he can run a basement biden campaign its not going to take long for the public to figure out hes not upto it.

As for Marshall after the stupidity of throwing his hat into the same ring as the crazy health officer ( don't touch the footy,lookdown over a pizzabox) he deserved to get the boot.

Preferred PM matters nowhere near as much as 2PP, where the polling has been well in the ALP's favour for the past few months. Kevin Rudd had preferred PM figures roughly equivalent to John Howard but far higher 2PP numbers in the dying days of his government and you know how that turned out. Opposition leaders rarely get within earshot of sitting Prime Ministers in preferred PM figures (simply because they don't get the oxygen from media and opportunities to display leadership), so having Albo and ScoMo neck and neck points to swinging voters being turned off and a resultant bloodbath at election time when they turn up and half think that yeah it's time to try something else.

There would have to be polling errors of gargantuan proportions for the ALP to not win government, and it is unlikely that it will be a minority government given the polling - we may get some right-leaning independents but their electorates were never voting Labor anyway. Greens may take at most two more, and UAP and ON won't win any. Your supposed 'issues' with Albanese are issues that only the rusted on right wing voters care about and they were never voting Labor anyway. No swinging voter cares about the 'mean girls' quips or whatever other relatively minor or inconsequential issues the LNP apologists bang on about. Did you think Hunter Biden's laptop caused voters to flock to Trump in 2020?

The election will see an ALP majority government. Bookmark it.

Edit - oops this is the COVID info thread. I will leave it at that.
 
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(Daily cases, 7 day moving average)

Vince Carter Basketball GIF by NBA
 
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PerthNow: "New modelling from Telethon Kids Institute and Curtin University - which claims to be the "most sophisticated" in Australia - forecasts daily infections will peak near 11,000 next week, before hitting a plateau of above 5000 until mid-May"

🤔 Not sure that really correlates with what we're seeing but who knows. They might be expecting big numbers regionally.
 

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Resource COVID19 V - The Info Thread

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