Cox Plate 2011 Tips & Discussion

[Cousin Jed]

There's your cup fav

 

[oddsok]

There's your cup fav

Great run.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Geez he looks fit.

 

[mattys123]

Haha, suck on that Simon O'Donnell "He hasn't come back as good as he was last year".

Great run, seemed to be struggling at the 800m but once he got going, the race was a one horse affair.

2nd best run of the race was Illo, stuck out 3 wide for the first 1000m or so, and will be 20% better on Cup day, with a pull in the weights, happy to be on him at 40's.

 

[asanque]

Gotta love Americain.

I know little about horse racing, but it came through for me for the MC last year.

Couldn't resist a little on his return

 

[Beauy420]

I think i picked the box tri and lost money. FML

 

[KardiniaPark]

I think that was his race, I don't want him in the Cup.

 

[iluvparis]

Reckon you are kidding yourself or clutching at straws KP - think it will be memories of 2006 with two French horses running 1-2.

Not like there is a WFA superstar or alternate formline that has proven superior.

 

[sblack]

I think i picked the box tri and lost money. FML

Same

Not really box, but lost on the Tri all the same.

 

[KardiniaPark]

I think i picked the box tri and lost money. FML

Did you box 4? Oh dear.

 

[The_Doctor]

I will be on Illo in the cup for a little bit on the back of that run, was caught wide early pushed forward, came out and cruised to the lead under a hold, got to the lead too early and ran out of condition late. If one man knows how to set a horse for the Cup its this man, he will be peaking on Nov 1 and i will be on him EW

 

[mattys123]

Into $5 for the cup now Americain, I'd take some of that on the day.

Dunaden at $8.
Lucas Cranach @ $10.
Illo into $15 from $21 pre race.

Strange that Tullamore is still $21, I don't think it can win, but damn it's definitely a better chance then some in the betting ahead of it.

 

[Beauy420]

Same

Nah i won in the end so its okay

Didnt pay very well.

 

[Ricketts]

Bart's went OK.
Seems to be lost in the discussions for now?

 

[KardiniaPark]

Reckon you are kidding yourself or clutching at straws KP - think it will be memories of 2006 with two French horses running 1-2.

Not like there is a WFA superstar or alternate formline that has proven superior.

We will see.

 

[iluvparis]

Strange that Tullamore is still $21, I don't think it can win, but damn it's definitely a better chance then some in the betting ahead of it.

I'd say that is the Gai factor - if it was trained by Bart and had its last two runs on the board it would be $10-12.

Gai factor also the reason I will probably risk it in the cup.

 

[Keystone agony]

3/6 for S6 from just 4 horses. Although now it gets tough. Ginga Dude, Luen and Hes Remarkable for the next wont be happy if Dao dao some how gets up

 

[Beauy420]

Did you box 4? Oh dear.

No i didn't actually.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Well you said you lost so I could only assume...

 

[iluvparis]

Illo - initially thought it was a tough run and he battled it out well but am a little concerned by the fact that 4th and 5th finished right on his heels in the end - I'd give those steeds no chance in a Melbourne Cup so I think Bart would need to improve him a fair bit for him to win it.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

No i didn't actually.

How did you lose money then?

Tri paid $41 NSW, $48 Vic, 100% for 3 horses is only $6.

 

[mattys123]

Bart's went OK.
Seems to be lost in the discussions for now?

Don't worry, I'll be talking it up, it is the horse that will improve most after that run, hasn't seen an Aussie track before, and will love both the extra distance and the big track at headquarters.

Is a massive live chance, especially with Bart having 11 days to put his touch on him after that run.

I have just about everything but Ginga Dude in the Big6 next leg, so I backe it as cover.

 

[Beauy420]

Well you said you lost so I could only assume...

Just didnt put enough on it so didnt get much of a percentage.

 

[PieBeast]

Illo has zero chance of placing in the Cup.

 

[Beauy420]

How did you lose money then?

Tri paid $41 NSW, $48 Vic, 100% for 3 horses is only $6.

I didnt, i just thought i did cause i did the math wrong.