Dutchy'$ Footy 2009 Season thread

[Dutchy10]

try and improve ont he profits so far this weekend

Port -15.5/Nth Melbourne Win
$150- @ $2.05

Freo Win
$110 @ $1.89

 

[xamol]

Looking forward to hitting Bay today and seeing the Bays smash 'em!


Collingwood Win
Port Win
Brisbane +24.5
Freo +39.5
$230 @ $1.87

Was tempted Dutch, but I just couldnt trust the Crows.

 

[Dutchy10]

Week 1 Summary
AFL +$151.50
SANFL +$404.00
TOTAL +$555.50




Dutchy'$ Footy 2009
NAB Cup -$161.50
AFL +$151.50
SANFL +$404.00
TOTAL +$394.00

 

[xamol]

Good start Dutchy.

I'm with you this year.

 

[Lensen]

Just curious Dutchy, but which agency do you bet with?

And to anyone who has an online betting account for the footy amongst other things, which is the best one to go with and why?

EDIT: Excluding Betfair as I would be wanting to make multi's at any given time on anything and I dont particularly like betfair anyway.

I have seven accounts. Just go with whichever has the best odds on the particular match you want.

But in round one IAS had consistently better odds on the matches I wanted to bet on. So maybe them?

 

[Dutchy10]

Really like the Bullies this year, dunno if they will win it but reckon they will go close and that will let me lay off for a profit later in the year, how the hell Carlton are ahead of them in the premiership betting Ill never know!

Western Bulldogs Win Premiership
$150 @ $14.00

 

[Dr Awkward]

Hey dutchy nice bet on the Blues, you called it- Richmond are overrated! Unfortunately I didnt listen to you and I backed the Tigers. But I managed to break even for the round because I backed the Dogs to beat Freo at $2.12!! That was stealing money

This week I like Essendon to beat Freo (I think I will just bet against Freo every round) and Hawthorn to beat Syd, but I will be interested to see what you say. I also think that WC are over-valued, people are forgetting how many injuries they had last year. Their list is decent and I think PA is overrated, so I might bet there also.

 

[Dutchy10]

will have some thoughts/bets soon Dr

Agree I like WCE

 

[Dutchy10]

Adelaide/Collingwood Win
$300 @ $1.91

this will kick off the weekend, will add some more tomorrow

 

[Dutchy10]

Glenelg/WWT Eagles Win
$200 @ $2.47

 

[Dutchy10]

Geelong/Collingwood/Hawthorn win
$240- @ $1.84

North Adelaide Win
$100 @ $2.05

 

[Dutchy10]

West Coast +9.5
$220 @ $1.92

 

[Island Bomber]

Where can you bet on the SANFL? and does anyone know what odds Glenelg for the flag please.

 

[PHX]

Where can you bet on the SANFL? and does anyone know what odds Glenelg for the flag please.

It's not up now but sportingbet had odds up mid-week so I'd expect them to return.

 

[Island Bomber]

It's not up now but sportingbet had odds up mid-week so I'd expect them to return.

Thanks for that.

 

[Dutchy10]

Sportsbet, Sportingbet and Centrebet all have Premiership markets...this week only Sportsbet had markets on the matches, sportingbet usually do also but didnt put them up this week...

Bays were $4.80, reckon they will be shorter now

 

[Dr Awkward]

Hey we took the easy money on the Coasters this week Dutchy!

I had a great round, ended up backing Essendon, WB, and of course the Weagles for a handsome $400 profit. Thank god I changed my mind on the Hawks when Sewell and Campbell were out late. Awesome wkend

 

[PHX]

Yep, Sportingbet put up the odds this morning and Glenelg are 4s.

 

[Dutchy10]

Week 2 Summary
AFL -$337.60
SANFL -$54.00
TOTAL -$391.60


Dutchy'$ Footy 2009
NAB Cup -$161.50
AFL -$186.10
SANFL +$350.00
TOTAL +$2.40

Weekend reflections - Saints better than I thought, Crows slipped in bad habits when put under pressure. Shouldnt have backed the Hawks, too many out, hadnt played at the Stadium and didnt have a good line on Sydney's form which wasnt terrible against a good Saints outfit in Rnd 1.

WWT couldnt kick straight and cost me a profit in the SANFL, still comfortable that Nth Adelaide was the right bet in the circumstances.

Happy with the WCE was really confident with this one but earlier losses in the weekend made me only go for a smaller investment on them otherwise I would have put more on and would have had 1 unit on the Bombers also.

Anyway look forward to next week...

 

[Dutchy10]

Cant believe the value here, myself and other SANFL gurus have Sturt around $1.15, got to take the value here, even if it is short

Sturt Win
$500 @ $1.42

 

[Dutchy10]

Collingwood come into this game with a short prep, last year they had 8 games coming off a 6 day break and went 2-6, sure Geelong are in the same boat tonight but come in with far superior form against teams that both came at them with everything they had. Collingwood beat Melbourne, enough said

Saints were impressive last week and have an 8 day break coming into this clash against the Eagles who have a 6 day break plus travel here, not a good spot IMO, Saints should be too good as WCE will face some pressure, something they didnt see last week.

Carlton come into this game on a full weeks rest against Essendon who had 6 days, Freo actually got more Inside 50;s than the Bombers last week, worrying for Freo but also a worry for Essendon, everything points to a Carlton victory here, MCG hasnt been a happy hunting ground for the Bombers of late

Geelong/St Kilds/Carlton Win
$200 @ $2.30

 

[RoosterGuy]

Dutchy, can I ask where you get your match stat info from?

Like the inside 50's from freo ess or collingwoods previous record on 6 day breaks etc.

Cheers

 

[Dutchy10]

Dutchy, can I ask where you get your match stat info from?

Like the inside 50's from freo ess or collingwoods previous record on 6 day breaks etc.

Cheers

I run my own spreadsheets with all this info plus more, this is the third season Ive done it

certainly helps with my decision making

 

[Dutchy10]

Sydney +13.5
$110 @ $1.92

 

[Dutchy10]

Port Power -33.5
$220 @ $1.91

Adelaide win
$150 @ $2.02