Racing February Daily Punt - Still A 100% Danny Nikolic Free Zone

[Gavin Excell]

Race 7, Melbourne, that’s your one? Maybe?

Yes but struck a race with a couple of horses on the up

It's current price ($18) is about right as was pretty plain last time

To quote the old Truth formguide- tread warily

 

[Gavin Excell]

I read that Master Of Wine once it conquers the BMW and the Sydney Cup will be set for the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups

 

[iluvparis]

I read that Master Of Wine once it conquers the BMW and the Sydney Cup will be set for the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups

Then the Arc, Japan Cup and the Grand National I believe

 

[54Dogs]

Then first up domination in the Kings Stand

 

[frantelle]

I'm really struggling to reconcile Leon Macdonald's comment on Dalasan.

Got rid of Willo because he rode him too quietly in the Manfred, then comes out this week saying he wants him ridden "conservatively" and a bit "colder".

Dalasan seems to have gotten worse and worse for mine. Super Seth wasn't really wound up first up and had no troubles in teh Manfred, but Dalasan ran on ok for a nice third to Free of Debt.

Apart from Super Seth in the hot lane over the weekend, the form out of the Manfred has been terrible.

None of Dalasan (5/6) & Spend (3/7) & FOD (lame 18/18) & Groundswell (7/7) have looked a half chance

 

[iluvparis]

Got massively overhyped for the win against a non-milkshaked SoJ and it has been down hill ever since

 

[frantelle]

Got massively overhyped for the win against a non-milkshaked SoJ and it has been down hill ever since

Won a few spring races after that, but either hasn't come up in the Autumn or hasn't improved from the spring. I suspect the latter

 

[Hamingja]

Hometown cup day.

Went around Toorak Affair in the Hobart Cup. Not going to jump on after the 3kg weight jump but want to have a bet with it on my side.

Going to give ILP's first 4 system a run. Would really want the two faves to miss for it to pay so putting them as B's.

A - Exoteric, Shady Hustle
B - Toorak Affair, Taikomochi, Dogmatic
C - Home by Midnight, Mortons Fork, Settlers Stone

 

[iluvparis]

Good luck! Looks another cracking days racing down there. I'd be including the Derby winner in the exotics myself but have to stick with Toorak after that devastating win at Hobart.

Disappointing to see Twitchy Frank come out of the Vamos

 

[iluvparis]

3 places to be paid on the Oz Guineas!!!!!

 

[come on oliver]

Dalasan is a pig. If it wins Sat I’ll give up. Can’t keep making excuses for it.
The pub will be on it but won’t be getting any of mine. **** the turn takers

 

[iluvparis]

How I see them

 

[iluvparis]

Also the Blamey is hot garbage given what is at stake for the winner.

 

[AvantGardener]

Also the Blamey is hot garbage given what is at stake for the winner.

Saving grace is Fifty Stars beat home Austs best miler last start.

 

[IKnowtheDog]

3 places to be paid on the Oz Guineas!!!!!

Commadus running for $20k. Not too shabby

 

[iluvparis]

Saving grace is Fifty Stars beat home Austs best miler last start.

Over 1400 doe fam

 

[AvantGardener]

Over 1400 doe fam

If you're Aust''s best miler and cant adapt at 1400m something tells me you aren't Austs best miler.

 

[iluvparis]

If you're Aust''s best miler and cant adapt at 1400m something tells me you aren't Austs best miler.

What if you are Australia's best miler and can adapt at 2000m? #champ #ATM #chipsin

 

[mattwa]

How I see them

View attachment 829227

Superstorm should be a bit shorter it is a decent horse and the stable have a massive opinion on it. Other than that agree just curious what you are rating Catalyst at?

 

[AvantGardener]

What if you are Australia's best miler and can adapt at 2000m? #champ #ATM #chipsin

I agree and thats why Mystic Journey flogged him in the Cox Plate.

 

[TBellicious]

Whats Jmac doing on Saturday?
In Sydney so won't ride Catalyst and isn't riding the Shark in the chipping Norton

 

[iluvparis]

Superstorm should be a bit shorter it is a decent horse and the stable have a massive opinion on it. Other than that agree just curious what you are rating Catalyst at?

The stable has a massive opinion of every horse and they invariably always start unders. I am backing in my view that the Peters horses haven't stacked up over East for a while - plus this looks like an exceptionally strong year. I could probably swap its price around with Dalasan or Soul Patch but the main takeaway is I want a ton of % in AB and Catalyst - i have those two well clear of the rest. AE I found the hardest to rate.

 

[iluvparis]

Whats Jmac doing on Saturday?
In Sydney so won't ride Catalyst and isn't riding the Shark in the chipping Norton

Looking to lock in Funstar ride for the Autumn maybe?

 

[FallingLiefs]

Superstorm should be a bit shorter it is a decent horse and the stable have a massive opinion on it. Other than that agree just curious what you are rating Catalyst at?

Pretty sure the stable think they have a better 3yo colt at home with storm in its name.

 

[iluvparis]

Pretty sure the stable think they have a better 3yo colt at home with storm in its name.

Ventura?