I agree especially on Smith Street Band votes being over represented by social media counts.I'm looking forward to seeing how your actual prediction (as opposed to your vote count) stacks up to the final 100, thewitness. Because there's quite a few songs on that @socialhottest that look quite a bit out of place, and you can't really extrapolate precise conclusions especially for the lower placed songs when only counting maybe 2% of the voting pool. Griswolds fans and Smithies fans are ravenous, they're like pod people who want everyone to listen to their favourite band so surely that is an overestimation? On the flipside, the Hoods should get more votes from the passive music fans who are just like "oh, yeah, I kinda like music, and I know that song by that thing that happened."
also kBuck, I don't really get the love for those particular songs either.
This is my actual prediction for the Hottest 100. Using my vote count, then factoring in previous additions positive or negative biases plus some of my own personal opinion about other things that I think influence the final results.
Final Tip Song (Vote Count Position)
1 Peking Duk - High {Ft. Nicole Millar} (1)
2 Chet Faker - Talk Is Cheap (2)
3 Hilltop Hoods - Cosby Sweater (7)
4 Milky Chance - Stolen Dance (4)
5 Peking Duk - Take Me Over {Ft. SAFIA} (5)
6 Kite String Tangle, The - Arcadia (9)
7 ZHU - Faded (8)
8 Glass Animals - Gooey (11)
9 Chet Faker - 1998 (3)
10 Asgeir - King And Cross (10)
11 alt-J - Every Other Freckle (12)
12 Illy - Tightrope {Ft. Scarlett Stevens} (17)
13 Griswolds, The - Beware The Dog (6)
14 Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk {Ft. Bruno Mars} (15)
15 Sticky Fingers - Gold Snafu (13)
16 Sia - Chandelier (36)
17 Vance Joy - Mess Is Mine (23)
18 Ball Park Music - She Only Loves Me When I'm There (18)
19 Thundamentals - Something I Said {Ft. Thom Crawford} (20)
20 Alison Wonderland - I Want U (16)
21 Flight Facilities - Two Bodies {Ft. Emma Louise} (22)
22 Amity Affliction, The - Pittsburgh (19)
23 Chet Faker - Gold (14)
24 alt-J - Left Hand Free (27)
25 Meg Mac - Roll Up Your Sleeves (24)
26 Bluejuice - I'll Go Crazy (31)
27 Future Islands - Seasons (Waiting On You) (21)
28 Jamie T - Zombie (33)
29 Lorde - Yellow Flicker Beat (32)
30 Banks - Beggin For Thread (25)
31 FKA twigs - Two Weeks (26)
32 Carmada - Maybe (29)
33 SBTRKT - NEW DORP. NEW YORK {Ft. Ezra Koenig} (28)
34 San Cisco - RUN (39)
35 alt-J - Hunger Of The Pine (41)
36 Chet Faker - (Lover) You Don't Treat Me No Good {Like A Version 2014} (30)
37 clipping. - Work Work {Ft. Cocc Pistol Cree} (34)
38 DMA's - Delete (37)
39 Broods - Mother & Father (45)
40 Lana Del Rey - West Coast (42)
41 Kim Churchill - Window To The Sky (40)
42 War On Drugs, The - Red Eyes (43)
43 Hilltop Hoods - Won't Let You Down {Ft. Maverick Sabre} (77)
44 Run The Jewels - Close Your Eyes (And Count To ****) {Ft. Zack De La Rocha} (46)
45 DZ Deathrays - Gina Works At Hearts (47)
46 Flight Facilities - Sunshine {Ft. Reggie Watts} (67)
47 Preatures, The - Somebody's Talking (35)
48 Hopium - Dreamers {Ft. Phoebe Lou} (52)
49 Lorde - Tennis Court (Flume Remix) (63)
50 Bring Me The Horizon - Drown (58)
51 Ball Park Music - Everything Is Shit Except My Friendship With You (68)
52 RL Grime & What So Not - Tell Me (54)
53 One Day - Love Me Less (55)
54 Childish Gambino - Sweatpants (44)
55 Thundamentals - Got Love {Ft. Solo} (70)
56 Duke Dumont - I Got U {Ft. Jax Jones} (60)
57 Childish Gambino - Sober (48)
58 Kingswood - I Can Feel That You Don't Love Me (69)
59 British India - Wrong Direction (74)
60 Kendrick Lamar - i (57)
61 Sticky Fingers - Just For You (61)
62 Highasakite - Since Last Wednesday (62)
63 Andy Bull - Talk Too Much (72)
64 Modern Baseball - Your Graduation (64)
65 Vance Joy - First Time (88)
66 Milky Chance - Flashed Junk Mind (66)
67 Courtney Barnett - Pickles From The Jar (50)
68 Bombay Bicycle Club - Luna (78)
69 SAFIA - Paranoia, Ghosts & Other Sounds (65)
70 Jungle - Busy Earnin' (71)
71 Golden Features - Tell Me {Ft. Nicole Millar} (75)
72 Catfish And The Bottlemen - Cocoon (76)
73 Allday - Right Now (56)
74 Chvrches - Do I Wanna Know? {Like A Version 2014} (51)
75 Rise Against - I Don't Want To Be Here Anymore (79)
76 Kingswood - Micro Wars (87)
77 First Aid Kit - My Silver Lining (84)
78 Allday - You Always Know The DJ (59)
79 Tkay Maidza - Switch Lanes {Prod. Paces} (83)
80 Royal Blood - Little Monster (80)
81 Thundamentals - Quit Your Job (96)
82 Avener, The - Fade Out Lines (81)
83 Hilltop Hoods - Walking Under Stars (143)
84 Cold War Kids - All This Could Be Yours (98)
85 #1 Dads - So Soldier {Ft. Ainslie Wills} (82)
86 Sticky Fingers - Liquorlip Loaded Gun (85)
87 Smith Street Band, The - Surrender (38)
88 Ball Park Music - Trippin' The Light Fantastic (113)
89 Jamie T - Rabbit Hole (107)
90 Jack White - Lazaretto (73)
91 Meg Mac - Bridges {Like A Version 2014} (104)
92 Ball Park Music - Cocaine Lion (116)
93 Cold War Kids - First (106)
94 Rustie - Attak {Ft. Danny Brown} (86)
95 TV On The Radio - Happy Idiot (49)
96 Royal Blood - Figure It Out (90)
97 Meg Mac - Grandma's Hands (99)
98 George Maple - Talk Talk (89)
99 Thelma Plum - How Much Does Your Love Cost? (105)
100 Angus & Julia Stone - Heart Beats Slow (151)