Racing October Daily Punt- Getting pasted by 80-1 pops from WA

[Viva la Mattner]

Yup - been raining non stop for the last 2 hours here so I am guessing they are finding the kiwi thinking its going to be total slop.

Into poison now and I will be leaving him out of everything - price differential to Dreamforce ludicrous given he kicked his head in when they met and then flogged all bar Avilius in the George Main.

Last non NSW winner of the Epsom plz?

Still raining?

Sidenote I thought you were Melbourne based for some reason

 

[banana_bus]

Lol NZ racing

 

[Viva la Mattner]

MJ trading at 4's now. almost out a full point this morning. Mr Quickie into fave.

The Shark also clear fave now.

Interesting
Distance query only thing that’s the doubt for me
Class wise surely MJ better than MR Q

In saying that been blow outs these big races last few weeks so maybe Rostropovich??

 

[54Dogs]

Showers have passed through and meant to clear this afternoon, but still cloudy and not great drying weather

Sydney Weather Radar | Rain Radar for Sydney NSW 128km

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[Viva la Mattner]

Lol NZ racing

No idea why have left Melody Belle there
Surely could have come here for Cantala or the Emirates over the MC carnival

 

[TBellicious]

No idea why have left Melody Belle there
Surely could have come here for Cantala or the Emirates over the MC carnival

Think she’s targeting the Empire Rose

 

[Slipps]

Gonna go with the and 50️s

 

[FallingLiefs]

Interesting
Distance query only thing that’s the doubt for me
Class wise surely MJ better than MR Q

In saying that been blow outs these big races last few weeks so maybe Rostropovich??

Well she beat him at WFA but he has 1.5kg swing now 2U vs 3U. Whether you agree with ratings systems or not they set the market and dictate the market early days and almost anyone that values weight would have MrQ weight balanced LST ahead of MJ or around her at least. I'm not a fan of either at their current price but should be fairly closely priced together.

Off top of my head I would have had MrQ a higher rating around 1/5th of a length but obviously mares allowance she's still the better performer but she doesn't get that today. I think if i gave them both their last start they'd literally be even after weight. That's obviously only off last start any regression or progression will dictate how they run. FWIW i think MrQ will go backward and MJ hold or marginal backward.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Gonna go with the and 50s

Fifty Stars? How’d you settle on that one mate?
I can’t make a case for it personally

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

What's with all the love for the shark? Decent chance but can make equally strong or stronger cases for Gem Song, Kolding, Rock, Nettoyer & maybe a couple more

 

[Viva la Mattner]

What's with all the love for the shark? Decent chance but can make equally strong or stronger cases for Gem Song, Kolding, Rock, Nettoyer & maybe a couple more

Raw ability
Could be anything, watch some of his races the turn of foot he can produce is “exciting”

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Matt Hill talking up Rostropovich

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Raw ability
Could be anything, watch some of his races the turn of foot he can produce is “exciting”

Could be anything.. heard that before. Have a look at Nettoyer's run a few weeks ago. Got held up about 3 times in the straight while going around 4 or 5 horses and still nabbed a place behind Rock who had clear galloping room for the entire straight

 

[Slipps]

Fifty Stars? How’d you settle on that one mate?
I can’t make a case for it personally

The soft and heavy track form looks good.. can run a good race winning two group 2s before, at the odds i just liked it as a small bet abit of money has come for it $31 into $15s.. also it just shows lately you dont have to be in form either to win a group 1

 

[banana_bus]

Death, Taxes and raffles at Swampwick

 

[rideclutch]

What's with all the love for the shark? Decent chance but can make equally strong or stronger cases for Gem Song, Kolding, Rock, Nettoyer & maybe a couple more

Gem Song has none, not sure why it's in the conversation. The Rock/Nettoyer form line is inferior for mine, this is a step up from Articus level.

Kolding an obvious chance but The Shark looks to have more upside for mine. Also had the perfect trial on that biased track, turns the tables on Dreamforce easily.

 

[rideclutch]

Good luck today campaigners. Good day of racing.

 

[ShaunWDT]

Not a huge fan of Bowman on Dalasan might be one to take on.

 

[Gavin Excell]

Defied the drift- Every rose

$2.80 to $4.80

 

[FallingLiefs]

Happy with that bias wise I would have thought?

 

[rideclutch]

Happy with that bias wise I would have thought?

Too early. Not bad signs though.

 

[RobbyRoy]

Decent day of racing

Randwick
R5 - The Bull
R6 - Angel Of Truth
R7 - Both Kolding and Star of the Seas have been very good to me so will stick with them
R8 - Good luck
R9 - Handle The Truth

Flemington
R4 - Fidelia
R6 - On Sunlight but keen to see if Zoutori can take the next step
R7 - Get behind the big West Australian chestnut
R8 - King Of Leogrance
R9 - Keen on both Miami Bound and Subpoenaed but considering prices I'll go with the latter

 

[LFC2010]

Just realised they replaced Oliver with Williams on Pin Sec. lol. I love throwing money away.

 

[banana_bus]

BOWMAN **** OFF

 

[juice t]

No 2YO wins this season

Is James Cummings slipping?