Racing October Daily Punt: Plates / Cups and Corona Virus.

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Not for me but you have to respect this early push for Alegron here. I just can’t back anything with confidence in this, so mindful of a blowout- something on Cerberus at $31.

Extreme Warrior looks like he’s arrived for this, quite keen, and on Tofane early odds $8.

And I’m not sure what sore of desperate gambler you’d need to be to get involved in that last race, but Rainbiel is racing well. Might be able to scoot over to the outside rail and run a race at double figure odds.

Good luck all on a tough, tough day.
 
Not for me but you have to respect this early push for Alegron here. I just can’t back anything with confidence here, so mindful of a blowout- something on Cerberus at $31.

Extreme Warrior looks like he’s arrived for this, quite keen, and on Tofane early odds $8.

And I’m not sure what sore of desperate gambler you’d need to be to get involved in that last race, but Rainbiel is racing well. Might be able to scoot over to the outside rail and run a race at double figure odds.

Good luck all on a tough, tough day.

I note the Dan O'sullivan push on betfair for alegron. So push is probably ratings based, just saying the same as most years spring champions where they ran big last start but the question mark always remains do they back it up in derby. It's a lot of eggs in a 3L beaten margin basket.

If it wins we probably rave about Profondo more than Alegron today.
 
First race is difficult to line the form up but I am taking Capital Legend #9 E/W at 26-1. Was a good run in a blanket finish last start beaten .5 of a length running 5th. Race goes for 5 more meters it wins IMO and at the current odds in a tough opener I am happy to be on it.

Luke Currie also has a habit of nabbing winners at good prices on big days.
 
Based on what?

That UK trainers regularly jump their horses 1600 > 2500 and the path its taken into the race - it would be a couple of $ shorter if it had had a run in 2000 in Oz.
 
I note the Dan O'sullivan push on betfair for alegron. So push is probably ratings based, just saying the same as most years spring champions where they ran big last start but the question mark always remains do they back it up in derby. It's a lot of eggs in a 3L beaten margin basket.

If it wins we probably rave about Profondo more than Alegron today.
100% a ratings push
 

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This feels like quite possibly the worst Derby Day card i've ever seen.
Looks solid to me.

Wakeful has all the top Oaks chances
ER is excellent
Derby is solid
Coolmore is fair
Cantala has lost a few due to GE, looks a bit weak.

Moving the McKinnon has softened the day overall but it seems reasonable
 
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