October Daily Punt

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Jul 7, 2003
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How are we all?


R2 – Orion, I think the Divine Calling form is strong. I like this and Quest for Peace and will have these two on top along with Surging Wave ahead of the Rockford form.

R3 – Paximadia, Zoustar form is extremely strong for this, especially after Zoustar franked that form in Sydney recently and is now right in the betting for some of the big Spring Sprints. Barrier 14 jumping from the 1400 isn’t ideal however seems like there should be a bit of pace on and hopefully can slot in. Hopefully swooping home. Best Bet

R4 - Really tough race. 16 in it with nearly everyone having a different form line. Hard to line them up. Ended up settling on My Little Friend. Trialled well and ran OK in behind Kurisho and Rockford last time it was in Melbourne albeit going a while back. In Adelaide won a decent race and a number of the horses it beat have come out and won since. At some good e/w odds.

R5 – British General, hard to split a few in this race. I’m a big fan of Launay, flies at Flemington but I think it may be weighted out of this one. Along with that I think Sheer Talent is exactly that, one for the future. That said, it likes to possie up and from barrier 11 might get stuck 3 wide. Think British General almost back to its best with 2 great runs in 2 good races when it kept finding. Should find this a lot easier and get back to winning ways.

R6 – Sea Moon, If Sea Moon is any good as we think it is, it really should lap this field. Had plenty of excuses in it’s first two runs but if it wants a Melbourne Cup gig needs to go out and win this and think it will. Come up short at $2.40, take it one out in all your exotics.

R7 – Great race, one of the best of the day. Plenty can win it, and I think we could see a boil over. One I’ve followed is Godiva Rock. Last start had a heap of excuses and it was a forget run. In the Blue Diamond it was massive and prior to that it raced really well. Think 1600m is going to suit and on the big Flemington track it could come into it’s own. I really like Boss’ mount Wordplay as well, has strong Sydney form and this race suits. best value

R8 – The Turnbull. Often a great race and one which we can usually take a lot of value out of. At first I was somewhat underwhelmed by the field but after doing the form I think we have a lot of big players in this. Decided to stick with Super Cool, It never got a crack at them in the Feehan and on the big Flemington straight it could turn the tables on Fiornte who is set for bigger and better things. Only worry with Super Cool is it was seemingly struggling a long way out, before really finding another gear. This usually means it is looking for further which it has hear.

Fawkner is a Flemington specialist and think it’s a big chance to run a big race. 2000m is the query but it is definitely value if it runs up to it’s best and it settles. Pruissance De Lune starts a $2 favourite in this if the race was a month ago but its last run in truth was poor and it has dropped away in peoples standards because of that. Along with this we have Hawkspur down from Sydney and a few others who are right in this.

Super Cool
Fiorente
Fawkner
Pruissance De Lune

R9 – Aeronautical, was absolutely massive first up and think it’s time for its 4th win. A really interesting race with the 3 darley horses and I rate all 3 along with Steps in time and the gun South Australian Sprinter Platelet. I think Aeronautical will probably be on the good part of the track and hopefully runs up to it’s first run.

R10 – We all have those horses that continue to suck us in and for me, one of them is Hi Belle. Had a stack on it’s first up and as it often does, ran up to them like it was going to win but refuses to go past them. I know it’s record at Flemington doesn’t read that strong but it has run quite well there before. Sprints quickly and I think they’ll be swooping late in the day. Will tomorrow be the day it finally decides to go past them?

Happy punting.
 
Hi all love the punt, can see some value on the weekend

Best tips

Flemington race 2 # 5 - Orion needs the distance and the divine calling form is good
Flemington race 3 # 3 - paximadia finished strong last start lay of the day IMO
Flemington race 8 # 10 silent achiever one at odds in the big race
Rand wick race 7 # 14 big odds run last start was the unluckiest horse in the race.
 

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Couple of shorties in Sydney that just win today.

Also like streama in the Epsom. Don't mind Danas Best EW in the metrop

Fiorente for me in the turnbull
 
My each way bets for the day

Flemington

R2 ORION - looks like every man and his dog is on him today so hopefully he can salute.
R8 ROYAL DESCENT
R9 PLATELET

Randwick

R3 VAQUERA
R8 SHE'S CLEAN

Still haven't made up my mind on the Epsom yet but have boxed 2,3,5,6,10 up in a tri.

Morphettville

R7 KATUNGA
R8 WHITTEN'S BREW
 
Haven't been to BF in months... only came back for the punting board during the spring carnival!

That was an epic Bart Cummings. Perhaps I'm talking through my wallet after waiting it out on Sea Moon and taking $4.40 (he drifted even further), but he had no cover the whole race, and he showed a tremendous will to win in the final furlong. He would've had a lot of excuses - again - if he'd lost.

Whether or not the protest stands - and I obviously hope it doesn't - it was a super run.

Other than that, I went quite tight on the Flemington quaddie, for 20% (it's early in the season after all): 4, 5, 6, 8/4, 5, 7/4, 5, 9/6, 7, 9

The first leg of the Randwick quaddie is a disgrace, so I didn't have one.

And then some other speculative bets.

Flem

R7 - 5. Solicit e/w
R8 - 4. Super Cool e/w
R10 - 7. Lake Sententia e/w

Rand

R7 - 3. Sacred Falls e/w, 17. Spurtonic e/w
R8 - 13. Arinosa win
R9 - Dana's Best e/w
 

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Can't find much value in the big ones this weekend with all the ones I have on top either fave or close too. Having said that:

Flight - Guelph
Epsom - Boban
Metrop - Moriarty
Turnbull - PDL


Two winners and a close second but more than enough for a profit on the day.

Bring on Longchamp! :thumbsu:
 
Some sick racing today. Some really good finishes with rock hero, boban, arinosa etc.

I think everyone in the forum was all over arinosa. Was a great win.
 
Having a big go at a win on #1 NEED A LIFT in the next at Northam (R7).

Taking into account Jerry Noske is on board who is a hopeless jock at the best of times all she has to do is don't get trapped on the fence (which for her is impossible because she is always out 3 wide :D ) and just give it room on the turn and point it in the right direction.
 
Some good tips for Tommorrow

Muswellbrook race 4 # 2 - Loves the distance and is good first up over the 900 metres
Muswellbrook race 6 # 5 - Braggart over from NZ and was good at Canterbury two starts ago, big chance
Ipswich race 3 # 4 - true to form Has been improving this preparation and this could be its break out win
Ipswich race 6 # 6 - per mile should be a bit of value on its day it will win.
 
Haven't been to BF in months... only came back for the punting board during the spring carnival!

That was an epic Bart Cummings. Perhaps I'm talking through my wallet after waiting it out on Sea Moon and taking $4.40 (he drifted even further), but he had no cover the whole race, and he showed a tremendous will to win in the final furlong. He would've had a lot of excuses - again - if he'd lost.

Whether or not the protest stands - and I obviously hope it doesn't - it was a super run.

Other than that, I went quite tight on the Flemington quaddie, for 20% (it's early in the season after all): 4, 5, 6, 8/4, 5, 7/4, 5, 9/6, 7, 9

The first leg of the Randwick quaddie is a disgrace, so I didn't have one.

And then some other speculative bets.

Flem

R7 - 5. Solicit e/w
R8 - 4. Super Cool e/w
R10 - 7. Lake Sententia e/w

Rand

R7 - 3. Sacred Falls e/w, 17. Spurtonic e/w
R8 - 13. Arinosa win
R9 - Dana's Best e/w

Follow.
 
Saw there was a few punters who where keen on Eclair Big Bang after it's first start. Hope they didn't jump off after 2nd start, which was super and took the 26-1 available. Honestly think it's still overs at 8's so I had to take it into guelph for the thousand at 24's
 
Saw there was a few punters who where keen on Eclair Big Bang after it's first start. Hope they didn't jump off after 2nd start, which was super and took the 26-1 available. Honestly think it's still overs at 8's so I had to take it into guelph for the thousand at 24's

Will win this week.
 
But why is EBB $8? I mean maiden was brilliant. 2nd win, first up on slow ground, got back of slow tempo and won was even bigger imo. Then comes third 2nd up down the straight first time in melb, then around the bend blitzed them. Should be $5 2nd favourite imo.
 

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