jmac70
On the porch
lolI was making a joke
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
lolI was making a joke
It’s a complete misuse of statistics. Melbourne’s ‘expected score’ shouldn’t be an average of kicking accuracy league wide, it should come from an average of Melbourne’s own kicking accuracy. And clearly theirs is below league average because of their poor kicking skills.
Put another way to reach the same amount of points Melbourne needs more scoring shots and more inside 50s than other teams. So they pump it i50 at all costs with extremely long kicks from their mids. If one game was a statistical anomaly then they’d have a point but both their finals and the Kings bday game shows that it’s part of their gameplan (this is from memory I’m sure it’s been a thing all
season).
The fact that the coach is publicly backing the plan (they ‘dominated the game’ against us according to Goodwin which is nonsense except the last quarter) shows pure stubbornness in the face of data.
Expected score is a really bad stat. Not just that it's based on league averages and that it's very difficult to determine the difficulty of a non set shot.I also wonder if a dinky off balance snap ala kozzy close to goal really takes into Ex that the shot is no real chance. As opposed to shots on goal by players who tke enough time and balance. I reckon both of them get marked as shots in play, maybe under pressure - although i dont know how they calculate the Ex for each shot. I bet it isnt that accurate
They haven’t been in to many finals series since the AFL tbh which is prob whyCarlton have never won an interstate final. Let’s hope that continues tomorrow night.
Praying for a brutal bruising affair. A couple of minor 10 day injuries wouldn’t go astray
This year get revenge for 02 and 03. Next year beat Carlton and be the first to 17Do you seek redemption against the blues or bears? Does Bolton or Leppitsch square off against the club they once coached?
He is a most unlikeable little ****erHahah sacked in owies you little flog!
Now if the Lions can do a job on the Blues and have a few in the casualty ward that miss next week that’ll make my weekend.
Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
Gotta feel for the Carlton supporters anxiously awaiting the start of their game.
On second thoughts F*** em.
Daniher's the one we'd want to miss.A win and a hamstring strain for Harris Andrews would do nicely (only to balance out McStay loss).