Politics Betting Thread

[Chism]

thought this was the punting thread not the conspiracy thread?

This and the next post that is not punting related is getting deleted and the offender is getting a thread ban regardless if you are replying to someone that may have quoted you etc.

Take it to other boards that are discussing the election and it is not like it is not being discussed anywhere!

 

[maskmcgee]

$4.50, only two possible results left, narrowest of Harris wins or Trump landslide

 

[asanque]

Yep looks pretty good for Trump at the moment.

Harris's only path appears to be the blue wall.

Rurals have done really well for Trump which made the added turnout a bit of a blue herring

 

[maskmcgee]

Harris popular vote out to 1.53$, currently projected to win the popular vote by less than 0.5% but California hasn't been considered.

 

[maskmcgee]

Trump now favourite to sweep all the swing states. NYT says 70% chance Trump victory.

 

[maskmcgee]

Harris $1.72 popular vote now.

 

[maskmcgee]

Harris Popular vote now out to $2

 

[kickazz]

Harris Popular vote now out to $2

Yep Donald favourite for the popular vote - that's pretty much fat lady singing.

 

[maskmcgee]

Harris $7, Trump $1.08. Sportsnet have basically said it's over.

 

[anabac]

Harris Popular vote now out to $2

$3 now she's cooked

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Trump in a landslide

Can’t wait for the next 3 years of every American and Australian sooking every day that he got voted back in.

 

[kickazz]

Trump in a landslide

Can’t wait for the next 3 years of every American and Australian sooking every day that he got voted back in.

why only 3?

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

why only 3?

That’s how much I care about who is running either country

 

[maskmcgee]

Landslide victory in Florida and Texas, but he can still lose the rust belt and the election.

 

[maskmcgee]

Harris out to $1.50 to win the popular vote on Sportsbet/B365 and $1.54 on Betfair.

Have thrown some more money at it.

Turns out this lock is almost certainly going to lose.

 

[anabac]

Turns out this lock is almost certainly going to lose.

So many posts around the web about this being free money. Some big big money has gone down on that market

 

[maskmcgee]

2028 Election

J.D. Vance $4.33
Michelle Obama $5
Gavin Newsom $6.50
Ron DeSantis $12
Hillary Clinton $15
Oprah Winfrey $26
Ivanka Trump $41
Ted Cruz $51
Trump Jr. $61

 

[ash_1050]

Turns out this lock is almost certainly going to lose.

Well that was a not fun day. Took a decent loss on that bet

 

[HTPunter]

2028 Election

J.D. Vance $4.33
Michelle Obama $5
Gavin Newsom $6.50
Ron DeSantis $12
Hillary Clinton $15
Oprah Winfrey $26
Ivanka Trump $41
Ted Cruz $51
Trump Jr. $61

You can pretty much write off any woman to be >$51

A black woman >$101

Democrats only path is to go back to old white man

 

[Pancakes]

2028 Election

J.D. Vance $4.33
Michelle Obama $5
Gavin Newsom $6.50
Ron DeSantis $12
Hillary Clinton $15
Oprah Winfrey $26
Ivanka Trump $41
Ted Cruz $51
Trump Jr. $61

Shame there is no odds on Donald for a third term.
No chance he goes quietly after this term, he will try everything to stay in power.

 

[IKnowtheDog]

Jimmy the Greek and now our French Friend know the best way of polling electorates

 

[Areyoufireal]

Jimmy the Greek and now our French Friend know the best way of polling electorates

Was interesting to read that he hired a pollster company to conduct poles for him which asked people who they think their neighbour would vote for.

 

[ash_1050]

So now the dust has settled as a bit of a debrief I still thought Kamala winning the popular vote (and the election) was a sure thing. The rationale being most women and a few men would vote for her, while a lot of guys would vote for Trump. Absolutely could not have predicted Trump winning 7 out of 7 swing states. Needless to say I've realised I'm out of touch and it's absolutely put me off political betting for a bit, which means I'll I'll see you all here again for the 2028 election, if not the Australian election mid next year.

 

[HeathySure]

So now the dust has settled as a bit of a debrief I still thought Kamala winning the popular vote (and the election) was a sure thing. The rationale being most women and a few men would vote for her, while a lot of guys would vote for Trump. Absolutely could not have predicted Trump winning 7 out of 7 swing states. Needless to say I've realised I'm out of touch and it's absolutely put me off political betting for a bit, which means I'll I'll see you all here again for the 2028 election, if not the Australian election mid next year.

Never under estimate the ability of Christian fundamentalists voting for a racist sexual offending fascist criminal over a dark skinned female. The moment Kamala was picked the dems were doomed.