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AFLW 2024 - Round 3 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
A normal year, that should be enough to qualify for finals. This is no normal year though. Even just one of the draws into a win might be enough.The craziest part is IF we win all 3 games and finish 13-2-8, which is more or less 14 wins, we could still miss finals. That's outrageous in its own right.
True. I reckon this season will have the AFL considering finals wild cards or something similar. They can’t help tinkering and with Tassie coming on board soon that’s one more team missing out each year.The craziest part is IF we win all 3 games and finish 13-2-8, which is more or less 14 wins, we could still miss finals. That's outrageous in its own right.
True. I reckon this season will have the AFL considering finals wild cards or something similar. They can’t help tinkering and with Tassie coming on board soon that’s one more team missing out each year.
I think it might suit us this year. It's one where our pressure might be able to lock them in.I agree, it's a ground we just don't perform well on. Doesn't suit the way we play.
So I'm not expecting to win this.
2-7 is our win loss record in the last decade
If we finish with wins against Carlton Sydney Bris and Melb, and don't make it, it'll be a painful final series thinking about what could have been.I'd like to be optimistic but there is very little chance of making finals. Our % has really killed than small chance.
Yep, not putting teams to the sword has been the problem for the last three years.A normal year, that should be enough to qualify for finals. This is no normal year though. Even just one of the draws into a win might be enough.
St Kilda loss and the Freo draw are the two main ones that will haunt me if we miss this year. The Freo one we let go of a lead and that crazy Sullivan faux pas decision cost us 2 points.
And if it comes down to out of the 8 on percentage, that's the fact we never put teams to the sword - i.e. Richmond recently. Or we won by 1 point against North, where others get percentage boosters. Too many narrow wins.
Brilliantly put. And Sydney away no less.If we finish with wins against Carlton Sydney Bris and Melb, and don't make it, it'll be a painful final series thinking about what could have been.
I think it might suit us this year. It's one where our pressure might be able to lock them in.
Always enjoy the anecdotes from that 2011 fixture. The crazy thing was, we were up by like 2-3 goals at quarter time! I'm guessing you went to the game, Kes, so from your perspective, what happened? My feeling was, MM made some moves that turned it into a Geelong training drill. Absolute cr@p.don't really count that - the game meant nothing and you could tell.
Unfortunately it did mean something though because Geelong went on to be the only team to beat us - all three times we played them that year. The last of those games mattered!!! 2011 really was the one that got away.
Carlton. Always deathride Carlton.
Bro... there is no chance we make the four? Lol. I couldn't even do predictions where we got that high...We need Hawthorn to lose at least one. The most likely being the Carlton game.
Carlton are then a legit chance to lose one more or both of their last two. Hawthorn won’t lose their last two. No chance.
Obviously Carlton AND Hawthorn losing one or both of their last two would be great but seems incredibly unlikely.
All the permutations I’ve done end up with us in 8th with only one or two “50/50” games going our way.
6th with a lot of unlikely results going our way.
4th with everything going our way and us pumping Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne
Bro... there is no chance we make the four? Lol. I couldn't even do predictions where we got that high...
We'd have to see the likes of North or Richmond win, wouldn't we? Hate to say it, but they'd be tanking this time of year
I also know you said "unlikely", but your narrative is always fun![]()
Gee thanks for the analysis Captain Obvious.We need Hawthorn to lose at least one. The most likely being the Carlton game.
Carlton are then a legit chance to lose one more or both of their last two. Hawthorn won’t lose their last two. No chance.
Obviously Carlton AND Hawthorn losing one or both of their last two would be great but seems incredibly unlikely.
All the permutations I’ve done end up with us in 8th with only one or two “50/50” games going our way.
6th with a lot of unlikely results going our way.
4th with everything going our way and us pumping Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne
Outside you trying to be a complete prick, explain why this was necessaryGee thanks for the analysis Captain Obvious.
Bulldogs?
They look flag bound.
While we’re still a mathematical chance I’d prefer we try to win our games rather than throwing the towel in by trialing players in unfamiliar positions / playing kids etc - If we lose on Friday then by all means throw the magnets around.
Outside you trying to be a complete prick, explain why this was necessary
I think if we can't make it we need to finish as low as possible.There is no reason at all to try win all 3 even if we can't make it we need to finish as high as possible.