Preview Round 3 - Carlton v Essendope MCG 18 April 2014 @ 1.45pm - Changes post #729

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Nov 11, 2005
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Queensland
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Carlton
Carlton v Essendope
Saturday 18 April 2015 @ 1.45pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground


Head to Head

Played 241 – Carlton 121 wins, Essendope 114 wins, 6 draws

Last 5 matches v Essendope – DLWLL

Highest Scores – Carlton 27.13.175 (1975), Essendope 28.14.182 (2005)

Lowest Scores – Carlton 1.2.8 (1898), Essendope 2.2.14 (1903)

Last time they met – Carlton 14.6.90 drew with Essendope 13.12.90

Brownlow Medal votes – 3. C Judd, 2. B McLean, 1. P Ryder

Round 2 Result – Carlton 9.8.62 lost to West Coast 20.11.131

Essendope 12.6.78 defeated Hawthorn 11.10.76

So our Blues return to the MCG, after the mother of all shellackings by West Coast,to confront bitter rivals Essendope. The pressure is on Carlton to regroup and for the first time in the home & away season (albeit 3 rounds in) put together a 4 quarter effort. In the most recent clash between these two teams the game finished in a thrilling draw, with Carlton players failing to seize the opportunity to rush a behind which would have won the game. Matches between these teams over the last 5 seasons have either been thrillers or blowouts. There has been nothing in between.

Possible Changes

White looks like missing, which opens up an opportunity for Walker to return on the back of a 29 disposal game in the VFL. Match practice will be an issue, but there will be no question marks over his fitness, as along with Judd & Curnow, 1AW is one of the hardest workers at the club, even when restricted by injury.

Smith may get a rest after playing almost two full games. I’m thinking Buckley may come in as his replacement following his game in the VFL in which he kicked 2 goals. We are crying out for a small forward to kick goals & Buckley may be our best (only) option.

Cripps, if fit, comes in for Ellard. We certainly missed having him as part of our midfield rotation, virtually leaving us one short in the midfield.

Somehow I would like to get Whiley in the team, now that he has 2 VFL practice matches up his sleeve with returns of 21 & 20 disposals respectively. Tutt would probably be the one to miss should we go with this option.

Potential Match-ups

Rowe v Daniher – I’ve gone with this match up because of Daniher’s height, which would pose a problem for the shorter Jamison. Rowe has yet to show the form he displayed in the 2nd half of 2014 while Daniher has yet to really deliver on the hype which was generated following his TAC Cup year. Interestingly, Rowe’s first game as a defender in the VFL was against Daniher at Windy Hill in 2013. Daniher kicked 2 goals in the first 5 minutes of the game, a further goal in the 2nd quarter, but didn’t kick another one for the rest of the game, despite his team’s dominance, as Rowe tightened up on him.

Jamison v Hurley – Jamison is coming off a forgettable performance against Josh Kennedy. Hurley found plenty of the ball against the Swans, but did not trouble the scorers at all. Hurley has not shown himself himself to be a prolific goalkicker, but can be quite creative.

Hooker v Henderson – This is a match up the dopers would like. Hooker coming off his best season at Peptide Park up against a sadly out of form Henderson. Hopefully Hendo can get some good delivery (& sticky fingers) & hit the scoreboard.

Carlisle v Casboult – Again I’ve chosen this match-up as much on height/size as anything. Levi was our best forward against the Eagles & could have finished the game with 4 or 5 goals. He has kicked 4 goals against Essendope in the past, so I can see him being a handful for the EFC defence.

Everitt v Goddard – This would be the way I would go with the sooky one. Although Gibbs has beaten Goddard on a number of occasions in the past, he needs to be in our engine room rather than chasing Goddard. Everitt has the size, mobility & potential hurt factor as a goalkicker to get the better of Goddard.

Docherty v Chapman – History tells us Chapman is a goalkicker & therefore needs to have a quality player on him. Doc is in very good form at the moment & has the ability to hurt Chapman running the other way.

Walker v Cooney – Cooney spends a lot of time forward because of the limitations from his dodgy knees. Given his burst speed (he still has some) & upper body strength, 1AW strikes me as the best option for Cooney. He can also hurt Cooney with his run.

The midfields – Murphy, Gibbs, Judd, Cripps, Whiley, Carazzo, Curnow, Bell v Watson, Heppell, Zaharakis, Stanton, Cooney, Merrett, Melksham. No doubt there will be tags. I would go with Carrazzo on Heppell, with Carazzo niggling the crap out of the hairdresser’s nightmare. Curnow to Watson. You won’t totally stop Watson, but you need to minimise his impact. Ed did a good job against GAJ at Carrara in 2013 & has the aerobic capacity to stay with Watson for 4 quarters. Our midfield was overwhelmed by the Eagles, partially because of lack of enough quality rotations. Hopefully the addition of Cripps & Whiley will address this & give our forwards more opportunities than they have received in the first two rounds.

Who wins & why?
This is a chance for us to strike a blow against drug cheating. Every player in the competition should be hell bent on hammering the drug cheats at every opportunity. Malthouse has made it very clear what he thinks about what went on at Peptide Hill & the players should feel pissed off at having to play against those who have cheated. The best way to deal with cheats is to overwhelm them & send a message that results can be achieved without cheating. For this reason I believe the Blues will come to play & ultimately defeat the dopers by 6 goals.
 
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The selectors have to make major changes this week purely to send a message that nothing short of 100% effort will be tolerated. You cannot get belted to the tune of 11-goals by half a full team without consequences.

Cripps, Whiley, Buckley, Graham, Rainbow, Watson, Walker & it pains me to say it, Warnock have to come in at the expense of Jones, Casboult, Ellard, Carrazzo, White (inj) & Tutt.

Menzel needs to be put on notice regarding his output, failure to heed the advice will see him running around in the Magoos. If Murphy & Yarran are genuinely carrying injuries then they too need to be given time out.
 

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The one thing we know he can do well is kick straight & long, start him in the goal square and then try to spot him up on the lead. It may not work perfectly but what do we have to lose ??
As much as I'd love a Whiley, Graham or Watson to come in. We all know come 6:25pm Thursday we'll see...

In - Walker
Out - White (inj)
 
we started 0-4 last season with a smashing, starting to turn out the same this year.
 
You do realize Hurley was playing on Franklin against the Swans, yeah? He's been playing in defence since the start of last year :$
 

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Jamison v Hurley – Jamison is coming off a forgettable performance against Josh Kennedy. Hurley found plenty of the ball against the Swans, but did not trouble the scorers at all. Hurley has not shown himself himself to be a prolific goalkicker, but can be quite creative.

This is because Hurley played in defence against Sydney, the entire match, on Buddy.

He won't be playing as a forward against Carlton either.
 
I think we're going to get belted. Bring in some kids and some guys like Armfield who they can learn about effort from.
 
Through tear filled eyes... my round 3 team...

FB: Tuohy - Jamison - Docherty
HB: Yarran - Henderson - Simpson

C: Everitt - Whiley - Gibbs
Foll: Wood - Cripps - Judd

HF: Murphy - Casboult - Bell
FF: Jones - Watson - Menzel

Inter - Walker, Buckley and Carrazzo/Curnow
Sub - Ellard


OUTS
Rowe replaced by Watson
Watson deserves an extended run.. and not the last couple of games for the year. Rowe had a shocker for the second game in a row. Boy he's lucky he wasn't dumped as quickly as Watto was last year. Needs to get his hands on the ball in the 2s. Henderson needs to defence.

Curnow (or Carrazzo) replaced by Whiley (or Graham)
Was a toss up between Carrazzo or Curnow. Both have been ineffective however Carrazzo is our vocal leader... in a team we don't have leaders. Whiley has played two games in the VFL and like Docherty last year should enjoy some AFL for the rest of the year. Plus more grunt in the midfield.

White replaced by Buckley
White looks injured. Buckley didn't grow up supporting the Northern Blues... he grew up supporting the Carlton Blues. Will be good to see another player in there who bleeds for the guernsey.

Tutt replaced by Walker
Tex comes straight back in. He's too old to need several VFL games. Tutt was VFL standard at the Dogs... and surprise surprise... he still is at Carlton.

Smith replaced by Cripps
Although I have enjoyed Smith getting games. I'd much rather he go back to the VFL with his new AFL experience and continue his development there... until later in the season... when we've sorted out shit out.


5 outs could be considered abit extravagant. But when Cripps was a starter anyway... and White is injured its fair. Will be looking forward to Graham, Boekhurst and DVJ to continue putting their names up for selection. However throwing them all in one week would be silly. Whiley the only new inclusion will do.
 
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Walker has to play, Not sure who else to come in. I reckon Rowe needs to go back to the VFL again, maybe a couple of others as well.

Good chance for us to bounce back against the underdone drug cheats.
 
Well one thing's for sure, the media week from hell for Carlton coming up is going to mean your boys will be steamed up. Always seems to happen before we play you.

You're worrying for no reason, Lance. We won't get a lashing from the press. If anything it's going to be a depressing, week-long media pity party. Won't fire anyone up at all.

What's the deal with Boekhurst?. Is he injured?

Not fit enough by most reports. Struggled with the pace of the game last week which is a worrying sign, but was apparently better today against the AFL Academy 17 year olds which is... better than nothing. I guess.
 
Essendon by 50+

Carlton are a rabble.

It's going to be shit sitting in the outer watching it. I'm going to know how an Essendon supporter felt on September 11th, 2011 at about 4.30pm.

Godammit
 
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