List Mgmt. The 2024 Draft (Nov 20/21)

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You just know if TT and Lindsay are there we will either a) take someone else or b) trade down.

Better to not hold onto false hope.
We say that, and I get the pessimism, but this is Duane Massey's first season as the chief decision maker re drafting.
There is no precedent. No recent "but we did this!!!" to fall back on.

For all we know we'll draft 5 in and under midfielders and no HBF at all.
 

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Cal Twomey has us linked with Allen, Travaligia, Lindsay as most on here have predicted, but also Matt Whitlock and Jobe Shanahan with pick 12.

Would be pretty happy with any of the first 3, TT, Lindsay, Allen in that order. Would be confused if we went tall with first pick.
Interesting, I really really like Shanahan but is such a low list need.

Preference for 12 would be TT, Allan and if both gone then Lindsay.
 
The more I muck around with mock drafts the more hopeful I am that there will be a mid slider.
Tigers, Melbourne and Saints having multiple picks really helps us out, all 3 of them need a tall forward.

1. Jagga
2. Tauru
3. FOS
4. Draper
5. Lalor
6. Armstrong
7. Reid
8. TT
9. Whitlock
10. Langford
11. Allan
12. Smillie

I think Tigers may surpise and go early on Armstrong as he wont make it to their next pick and is probably the best KPF in the draft. Plus there will still be good mids available at 10/11. They need to get some talls at the start of the rebuild, so I think its almost certain they take at least one tall before our pick. If North do North things and take a mid at 2 then they probably take Tauru at 6 leaving Armstrong to Saints. Either way I expect Tauru and Armstrong to go before our pick.

Saints will be interesting as their only decent KPF is King. Owens is more a mobile 3rd tall who is better when getting up the ground and not sure if Caminiti or Sharman are good enough. Both avg about a goal a game and neither are gaurenteed B22. They also delisted Hayes and Membrey so their tall forward stocks are pretty thin.
It may be a bit early in the draft and they could wait until their 3rd pick at 32 to target a Sims or Gerryn.
With Battle leaving and NWM moving further up the ground in the second half of the year I think TT is a no brainor for them. They also have a bunch of big bodied slowish inside mids in Steele, Windhager, Poo, Clark, Crouch so I think Reid would add some much needed class to that group.

Melbourne drafted Jefferson a couple of drafts ago but he is yet to make his AFL debut. It looks like he had a few decent VFL games last year but I know he was more of a swingman in his draft year. He's not that tall either and is in the Van Rooyen mold of a high flyer. They probably need a big KPF to pair with them and they don't have a 3rd pick until the 80's. After taking a mid at 5 I think there is a really strong chance they take a KPF at 9.

It will leave a group of Smillie/Langford/Allen available for Tigers to take two of and we get the other.
If I was picking I think Langford and Allan woud be a better combo for them giving them some pace and agility with Allan accross hb and a ready made player in Langford. If Saints don't take TT and take a tall instead then I expect Tigers to take him here.

This would leave the Eagles with Smillie. Wouldn't have been my first choice at 3 but we would be absolutely kissed on it if he slides to 12. Otherwise just take Lindsay.
 
The more I muck around with mock drafts the more hopeful I am that there will be a mid slider.
Tigers, Melbourne and Saints having multiple picks really helps us out, all 3 of them need a tall forward.

1. Jagga
2. Tauru
3. FOS
4. Draper
5. Lalor
6. Armstrong
7. Reid
8. TT
9. Whitlock
10. Langford
11. Allan
12. Smillie

I think Tigers may surpise and go early on Armstrong as he wont make it to their next pick and is probably the best KPF in the draft. Plus there will still be good mids available at 10/11. They need to get some talls at the start of the rebuild, so I think its almost certain they take at least one tall before our pick. If North do North things and take a mid at 2 then they probably take Tauru at 6 leaving Armstrong to Saints. Either way I expect Tauru and Armstrong to go before our pick.

Saints will be interesting as their only decent KPF is King. Owens is more a mobile 3rd tall who is better when getting up the ground and not sure if Caminiti or Sharman are good enough. Both avg about a goal a game and neither are gaurenteed B22. They also delisted Hayes and Membrey so their tall forward stocks are pretty thin.
It may be a bit early in the draft and they could wait until their 3rd pick at 32 to target a Sims or Gerryn.
With Battle leaving and NWM moving further up the ground in the second half of the year I think TT is a no brainor for them. They also have a bunch of big bodied slowish inside mids in Steele, Windhager, Poo, Clark, Crouch so I think Reid would add some much needed class to that group.

Melbourne drafted Jefferson a couple of drafts ago but he is yet to make his AFL debut. It looks like he had a few decent VFL games last year but I know he was more of a swingman in his draft year. He's not that tall either and is in the Van Rooyen mold of a high flyer. They probably need a big KPF to pair with them and they don't have a 3rd pick until the 80's. After taking a mid at 5 I think there is a really strong chance they take a KPF at 9.

It will leave a group of Smillie/Langford/Allen available for Tigers to take two of and we get the other.
If I was picking I think Langford and Allan woud be a better combo for them giving them some pace and agility with Allan accross hb and a ready made player in Langford. If Saints don't take TT and take a tall instead then I expect Tigers to take him here.

This would leave the Eagles with Smillie. Wouldn't have been my first choice at 3 but we would be absolutely kissed on it if he slides to 12. Otherwise just take Lindsay.
Smilie doesn’t want to come west.
 
Smilie doesn’t want to come west.
IMO there's a huge difference in taking that risk with a pick 3 vs a pick 12.
I'd rather we had two bites of the Cherry in the draft and not have used it to overpay, obviously, but even with just the one... we need to nail the draft, we need to take the best available in the position we need.



Worth it.
 

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List Mgmt. The 2024 Draft (Nov 20/21)

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