The daily punt- October

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My tips

Flemington Derby Day

Race 1: 3 EUPHEMISM Unplaced
Race 2: 4 SHOCKING * 1st $3.90 $1.80
Race 3: 1 MELITO 3rd $1.60
Race 4: 1 PHELAN READY Unplaced
Race 5: 5 SCENIC SHOT 1st $7.10 $2.20
Race 6: 8 OUR HEIR APPARENT Unplaced
Race 7: 11 TYPHOON TRACY 1st $2.20 $1.30
Race 8: 2 FIRST COMMAND Unplaced
Race 9: 4 LARGO LAD ** Unplaced
Quaddie: 2,3,8,10/11/2/4,5,9,12 for $50 = 312.50%

* Best Bet
** Best Value
 
R1 EUPHEMISM could be the biggest overs of the day
R2 REPRISAL ew
R3 JOLIE BRISE / FAINT PERFUME. dont like run for narra
R4 MORE THAN GREAT
R5 RACING TO WIN
R6 VIKING LEGEND
R7 NEROLI / EMBLEM OF LIBERTY to run a big race
R8 EAGLE FALLS
R9 WALKING OR DANCING*** best of the day
 
Flemington
1-1 Kidnapped - Loved the win last start. Keep an eye on Ruse De Guerre. I spotted this trialling before its debut and won impressively last start
2-8 Hume
3-3 Run For Naara
6-4 Monaco Consul
8-2 First Command

Morphettville
5-3 Ocean Challenger
 
Race 1: The Comedian
Race 2: Shocking
Race 3: Faint Perfume
Race 4: Demerit
Race 5: Rangirangdoo
Race 6: Onemorenomore
Race 7: TYPHOOOON Tracey
Race 8: First Command***********
Race 9: McClintock
*****************: best bet
Good luck everyone hope yas all have a day out:thumbsu:
 
Tips for Derby Day.

RACE 1 - 1 KIDNAPPED/5/4/2
IMO Kidnapped is one of the best three olds in the country. Lot's of pace in the race so should suit the backmarkers like him. Having said that I'm worried about a leader/on fence bias which can happen early races on Derby Day.

RACE 2 - 2 STERLING PRINCE/1/4/7
Tough race. Sterling Prince ticks a lot of boxes. On pacer in a slowly run race, great barrier, jockey in red hot form, super run in Geelong cup.

RACE 3 - 1 MELITO/6/3/4
Class filly which could be over the odds given the boom on the 6 and 3.

RACE 4 - 14 IRISH LIGHTS/1/7/5
Super filly who brained Avenue down the straight a few runs back - Avenue has gone onto to win the next three easily. Some nice Sydney colts in the race too & the 1 barrier/jockey change is the only worry as she may get held up for a run.

RACE 5 - 11 RANGIRANGDOO/1/5/4
Hate this race. Original selection (Vigor) has been scratched. Rangirangdoo blew away the opposition last week at the Valley & may well do it again here.He did only beat handicap B graders however, and this is his first time to 2000m & Flemington and at WFA so tread carefully.

RACE 6 - 1 ONEMORENOMORE/6/10/4/2
A great Derby. Lots of future top notch stayers imo. Favourite (& my initial selection) has been scratched this morn. Going to go with the 1 but with not much confidence. All the ability in the world but has bad manners & can get fizzed up early in the run which will give it no chance. Hopefully Oliver up will do the trick.

RACE 7 - 11 TYPHOON TRACEY/3/1/4
Never lost against her own sex and at WFA should win easily. Like to roll on the pace or lead so outside barrier the only concern

RACE 8 - 2 FIRST COMMAND/1/9/11
Should win again. Barrier 10 ideal as they will come to the Grandstand side. Will hopefully take a sit and be too strong at the end.

RACE 9 - 2 TRIPLE HONOUR/12/5/3
Always a tough race. Triple Honour has a definite class edge but has been a little down on form. Hopefully a freshen up will help.
 
My tips

1 - 1) Kidnapped EW 1st 3.20/1.55

2 - 7) Dandaad/Irazu EW

3 - 6) Faint Perfume

4 - 7) Demerit

5 - 11) Rangirangdoo

6 - Have laid Onemorenomore for a shitoad on Betfair, so will hedge and have a bit on him. Otherwise, Rockferry, Extra Zero and Monaco Consul go into the quaddie

7 - 11) Typhoon Tracy - can't go past the obvious moral of the day

8 - 2) First Command but will have a bit EW on 6) Eagle Falls

9) 5) McClintock and 12) Walking or Dancing EW

Quaddie

1,4,5,8/11/2,5,6/4,5,9,10,12

Have it for 50%...keeping it skinny today
 
Derby Day tips:

Race 1 The Comedian
Race 2 Hume
Race 3 Faint Perfume
Race 4 Wanted
Race 5 Rangirangdoo
Race 6 Rockferry
Race 7 Typhoon Tracy
Race 8 First Command ( Best )
Race 9 Centennial Park/Kiloton Can't split them
 

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Flemington
1-1 Kidnapped - Loved the win last start. Keep an eye on Ruse De Guerre. I spotted this trialling before its debut and won impressively last start

Can't get off to a much better start! Had Kidnapped for the win and some on Ruse De Guerre for the place. :)
I like Hume in the next but will put a bit on Cats Fun at massive odds.
 
My tips

1 - 1) Kidnapped EW 1st 3.20/1.55

2 - 7) Dandaad/Irazu EW IRAZU 3rd $3 place

3 - 6) Faint Perfume 1st $4.70/1.30

4 - 7) Demerit Nada

5 - 11) Rangirangdoo Nada

6 - Have laid Onemorenomore for a shitoad on Betfair, so will hedge and have a bit on him. Otherwise, Rockferry, Extra Zero and Monaco Consul go into the quaddie

Picked up $250ish by laying Onemore, Monaco Consul had a bit of cash thrown at it late ($4.60 the win) and still alive in the quaddie

7 - 11) Typhoon Tracy - can't go past the obvious moral of the day

8 - 2) First Command but will have a bit EW on 6) Eagle Falls

9) 5) McClintock and 12) Walking or Dancing EW

Quaddie

1,4,5,8/11/2,5,6/4,5,9,10,12

Have it for 50%...keeping it skinny today


Going ok so far, although Rockferry kicked me out of the DD
 
The success of my day is dependant entirely on Typhoon Tracy doing the right thing....have her one out in the quaddie and treble, and have had a significant amount on the nose....come on girl!
 
I think alot of peoples day are relying on that lol, if she has a off day I need Hot Danish to fire.
 

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The daily punt- October

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