Analysis The run home

[grumbleguts]

Imagine the salt from the neutrals in GF week if it's Hawthorn vs GWS.

 

[bumsonseats]

Imagine the salt from the neutrals in GF week if it's Hawthorn vs GWS.

Game should be at Spotless......

 

[Pessimistic]

Imagine the salt from the neutrals in GF week if it's Hawthorn vs GWS.

Plenty of GF tickets then?

 

[Milkshaker]

Doing all the probable possibles it seems we will finish 3rd or 5th and GWS or port rarely figure in our path for some reason.

richmond or west coast do, depending how we go. Collingwood Melbourne and Geelong do which suggests at least one MCG game.
Of course if we play West Coast it’s in Perth

3 or 5 is what I keep coming up with too. Beat Sydney (Saints first this week) and top 4 is ours. The boys are in control of their own destiny.

A double chance for this group would be a great outcome.

 

[Davo-27]

if we make the 8 and finish 4th, our finals could look like this

Finals Week 1: Richmond

lose - week 2: Collingwood
win - week 2: Bye

win - week 3: WCE in perth/ GWS in melb(if we won in first week)
lose - OUT

win - GF against Richmond or GWS/ GF against WCE or Richmond
lose - OUT

 

[thejockey]

Only prediction I’m worried about is us beating ST Kilda and that being correct

Can worry about it the rest after that

 

[tommyk72]

If there's one thing that this year has taught me, it's that we can't rely on anything or anyone. Except maybe the tigers to win at the G...

 

[Hawkboy62]

If there's one thing that this year has taught me, it's that we can't rely on anything or anyone. Except maybe the tigers to win at the G...

Tigers finally getting injuries at the wrong time. Okay we are 3 weeks from finals but Prestia's injuries tend to linger. Their outs are 3 very important players. If anything should happen to Nank and Cotchin is not 100% they would be quite vulnerable in a qualifying final. Of course we would have to get there.

Finals are won in September, although Pies used to be June Premiers quite a bit.

When Sicily went down who'd have thought we were a top 4 side? No injuries please and we can get some finals experience for our boys. Team chemistry seems good at the moment, and, touch wood, our list looks healthy.

 

[Ranj Sri Lanka]

What better way to celebrate the 10th anniversary of 08 than doing a Geelong on Richmond in the GF.

My prediction too. I am very optimistic and hope we play Richmond the first week of the finals.

 

[Thaihawk]

If GWS beat Sydney and we lose to Sydney we are still top four.

If Sydney beat Hawks and GWS then we aren’t

Am I banking the Saints game? Probably shouldn’t

Pies?

 

[hk89]

Tigers finally getting injuries at the wrong time. Okay we are 3 weeks from finals but Prestia's injuries tend to linger. Their outs are 3 very important players.

Smells likes resting to get players cherry ripe for finals to me. Prestia could have played by the sounds of it, and other two could easily be imaginary injuries. Tigers can lose the last two and still finish top 2, and there is little difference between 1st and 2nd these days (they might even prefer finishing second if it means playing an interstate team at the MCG, which it might).

 

[hk89]

Pies?

Yes, Pies would need to lose at least one for that to happen, and their last two games are not that hard. Port are a different beast outside Adelaide, although Pies have struggled all year against top 8 sides at the G, so they could drop that one. We really need a big win over saints to maximise our chances, as Pies are not far away from us percentage wise, so we could still end up both dropping games, and Pies finish in top 4 , above us on percentage.

EDIT: And we'd still need to worry about Melbourne jumping over us as well if we only win one more game due to their superior percentage if they win their next 2 (which seems unlikely given their form line, but still not outlandishly possible).

 

[tommyk72]

Just in case anyone wants to get a bit more excited...

https://www.news.com.au/sport/afl/h...p/news-story/3b3715b53b459b50871283c6e6d7fed3

 

[Hawker_85]

They have to make it interesting by having one for and one against in order to generate debate.
The probably flipped a coin beforehand to see who was going to be pro and who against.

Same happens on the radio.....someone always has to be pro and the other takes the contrary position.
Neither of them probably believe what they are saying.....they just say it to generate debate.

Oh its fairly clear they were assigned a side to argue, he just did an incredibly poor job of it. Just saying 'they won't beat the tigers' and scoffing and huffing isn't demonstrating a high level of thought.

 

[caliente]

Interesting result with GWS over Swans. Where would two wins from here leave us?

 

[FisherHawk]

Interesting result with GWS over Swans. Where would two wins from here leave us?

Most likely 3rd. 5th of we drop one.

 

[Holy Rioli]

Most likely 3rd. 5th of we drop one.

Possibly 4th - Collingwood have Freo next week and we have Sydney.

 

[JD888]

Nooo! I wan't to finish 4th and play Richmond at the G. I have a funny feeling that Richmond at the MCG will be a better path than West Coast at Perth Stadium. That is if we win tonight and next week of course...

 

[MistyAvalon]

but first we have to beat saints bloody hell

 

[Pessimistic]

No sydney preview yet.

We need a draw at next week least and melbourne to lose one of their two games to finish fourth

 

[cryptor]

No sydney preview yet.

We need a draw at next week least and melbourne to lose one of their two games to finish fourth

Melbourne can’t pass us by winning their last two games unless we lose to the Swans, at which point we’re out of the top 4 regardless.

 

[hk89]

Melbourne can’t pass us by winning their last two games unless we lose to the Swans, at which point we’re out of the top 4 regardless.

We can still make top 4 with a loss, but it is unlikely because we didn't get a % booster today, and pies did, we'd need to lose to Sydney by less than Pies lose to Freo. Pies losing to Freo (even in Perth) seems quite unlikely to start with, so its not a high probability scenario, especially when you consider it also requires GWS to lose to Melbourne next week (and Melbourne to lose against WC this week to avoid them jumping over us into the top 4 with superior percentage). There is a bizarrely large number of scenarios that can still happen with only a round and a bit to go.

 

[HODGEYROAD]

Win and we will finish 4th, lose and it's 5th or 6th pending on Giants vs Melbourne result I'd say.

 

[GlenferrieOval3122]

The old chestnut a wins a win hold true. Had an off night but we won. Beat Sydney next week and a date with Richmond at the G in a QF is a certainty which I reckon is the best result.

 

[Pessimistic]

Squiggle tower interesting. Actually cannot drop below 6th and not likely to play finals outside victoria