Things that please me - Part 5

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WC used to have curtain raisers with teams that came down from northern and inland WA. Some of the players had body types that resembled Cyanide and Happiness characters (skinny little legs and portly torso) and were taking hangers that Jeremy Howe would be proud of, kicking bananas from the boundary, doing running backflips to celebrate goals. Incredible talent. Jeremy McGovern (who is one of the least athletic star footballers going around) spent a large chunk of his childhood in Warburton which is about as far as you can get from all cap cities. Really interesting listening to a 5 time All Australian talk about playing footy and being the only white kid (until his brother came along) and not getting a kick.
 
Australia outside the cap cities is a different world. I think indigenous representation in the AFL is about 5-10% and Freo once had 8 indigenous players (from all over the country, not just SW WA) in their side which is the record. I remember watching some footy in Broome and it was basically 22 vs 22 Yawuru people. Pretty cool.

Honestly Darwin feels like its in a different country to Melbourne. Not knocking it either, just such a different environment.
 
Honestly Darwin feels like its in a different country to Melbourne. Not knocking it either, just such a different environment.
Oh yes, definitely. Haven't been to Darwin but the Centre and Alice are very different.
 

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Honestly Darwin feels like its in a different country to Melbourne. Not knocking it either, just such a different environment.

I've never been there or NT.

From the outside looking in seems expensive.

But Shirley some beautiful places to visit .
 
Finding out surprising things about probability.
  • How many people would need to be in a room before there's a greater than 50% chance of two them having the same birthday?
Answer.
23
  • You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.
Answer.
Always swap.
 
Finding out surprising things about probability.
  • How many people would need to be in a room before there's a greater than 50% chance of two them having the same birthday?
Answer.
23
  • You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.
Answer.
Always swap.

On the first one, one of my friends in primary school was the middle child in as family of 5 - mum, dad, older sister & younger brother

She was the only one with her own birthday

Mum & older sister shared a birthday, which happened to also be my birthday
Dad & younger brother shared a birthday
 
Is that just the first time you wake up in the morning, or does it include subsequent times you wake up after falling back asleep ignoring your alarm?
For me its up no alarm around 5 and either walking on beach or swimming by 510
 

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  • You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.
Answer.
Always swap.

I don't understand how this has anything to do with probability.
 
Took Mrs R Olds out for dinner to say thanks for looking after the pets while we're away.
Was tasty and quiet no loud people also got 25% off the bill.

Christmas day sorted out .
 
I don't understand how this has anything to do with probability.

The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:
  • Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
  • Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
  • Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
  • Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).
Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.
 
The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:
  • Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
  • Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
  • Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
  • Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).
Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.
Another way of looking at it - your first selection was a 33.3% chance of winning a car.
If you switch, you are now selecting from 2 options, so your odds increase to a 50% chance.
 
Another way of looking at it - your first selection was a 33.3% chance of winning a car.
If you switch, you are now selecting from 2 options, so your odds increase to a 50% chance.

Then there would be no point in swapping. After the goat is revealed, if you swap your chance of success goes to 66.6%. If you stay, chances stay at the original 33.3%.
 
The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:
  • Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
  • Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
  • Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
  • Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).
Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.
Unless you really really always wanted a goat
 
Then there would be no point in swapping. After the goat is revealed, if you swap your chance of success goes to 66.6%. If you stay, chances stay at the original 33.3%.
That's- the same thing. My post also indicates swapping is the correct choice
 
My new next door neighbour. Loves dogs and said that she would look after my two anytime I want to go away. Also yelled out to me this morning saying that she was going down the street for coffee and did I want her to get me one.

Good for you. My neighbour is hard work. Always appears when i am outside. They're nice enough but its not for me
 

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Things that please me - Part 5

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