Things that please me - Part 5

[Dogs_R_Us]

Honestly Darwin feels like its in a different country to Melbourne. Not knocking it either, just such a different environment.

Oh yes, definitely. Haven't been to Darwin but the Centre and Alice are very different.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Finishing work for the year

 

[rocker_oz33]

Honestly Darwin feels like its in a different country to Melbourne. Not knocking it either, just such a different environment.

I've never been there or NT.

From the outside looking in seems expensive.

But Shirley some beautiful places to visit .

 

[Cruyff14]

HOLIDAYS.

 

[Pistol Night]

I've never been there or NT.

From the outside looking in seems expensive.

But Shirley some beautiful places to visit .

Darwin is awesome for a holiday. I couldn’t handle the humidity living there

 

[MrsEddieBetts]

Promotix. A friend told me about it yesterday and I just got four free tickets to Alice in Wonderland for tomorrow

 

[Frank Bunn]

Finding out surprising things about probability.

• How many people would need to be in a room before there's a greater than 50% chance of two them having the same birthday?

Answer.

Spoiler

23

• You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.

Answer.

Spoiler

Always swap.

 

[Billy ray]

Woo. Mornings!

 

[cats_09]

Woo. Mornings!
View attachment 2191434

Is that just the first time you wake up in the morning, or does it include subsequent times you wake up after falling back asleep ignoring your alarm?

 

[cats_09]

Finding out surprising things about probability.

• How many people would need to be in a room before there's a greater than 50% chance of two them having the same birthday?

Answer.

Spoiler

23

• You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.

Answer.

Spoiler

Always swap.

On the first one, one of my friends in primary school was the middle child in as family of 5 - mum, dad, older sister & younger brother

She was the only one with her own birthday

Mum & older sister shared a birthday, which happened to also be my birthday
Dad & younger brother shared a birthday

 

[Billy ray]

Is that just the first time you wake up in the morning, or does it include subsequent times you wake up after falling back asleep ignoring your alarm?

For me its up no alarm around 5 and either walking on beach or swimming by 510

 

[nobbyiscool]

• You're in a game show where there are three doors. Two of them have a goat behind them, the other has a car which you can win. You pick one door. The host, who knows where the car is, opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat. The host gives you the option to either stick with your original choice or switch to the remaining unopened door.

Answer.

Spoiler

Always swap.

I don't understand how this has anything to do with probability.

 

[rocker_oz33]

Took Mrs R Olds out for dinner to say thanks for looking after the pets while we're away.
Was tasty and quiet no loud people also got 25% off the bill.

Christmas day sorted out .

 

[Frank Bunn]

I don't understand how this has anything to do with probability.

Spoiler

The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:

• Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
• Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
• Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
• Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).

Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.

 

[Gralin]

The monty hall problem is a brain breaker for sure

 

[Mofra]

Spoiler

The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:

• Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
• Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
• Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
• Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).

Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.

Spoiler: Spoiler - discussion

Another way of looking at it - your first selection was a 33.3% chance of winning a car.
If you switch, you are now selecting from 2 options, so your odds increase to a 50% chance.

 

[Frank Bunn]

Spoiler: Spoiler - discussion

Another way of looking at it - your first selection was a 33.3% chance of winning a car.
If you switch, you are now selecting from 2 options, so your odds increase to a 50% chance.

Spoiler

Then there would be no point in swapping. After the goat is revealed, if you swap your chance of success goes to 66.6%. If you stay, chances stay at the original 33.3%.

 

[Madas]

HOLIDAYS.

How good is it !!!

 

[Madas]

Spoiler

The Monty Hall Problem is a famous probability puzzle named after Monty Hall, the host of the television game show "Let's Make a Deal."

The Probability Calculation:

• Initial choice: You pick a door. There’s a 1/3 chance that you’ve picked the car and a 2/3 chance that you’ve picked a goat.
• Monty’s action: Monty opens a door that’s not the car. If you’ve picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3), Monty is forced to reveal the other goat, leaving the car behind the last unopened door.
• Switching: If you switch, you win if you originally picked a goat (which happens with probability 2/3).
• Staying: If you stay, you win if you originally picked the car (which happens with probability 1/3).

Thus, the probability of winning if you switch is 2/3, and the probability of winning if you stay is 1/3.

Unless you really really always wanted a goat

 

[peternorth]

summer solstice. Longest day of the year. Plenty of sunlight tonight

 

[Mofra]

Spoiler

Then there would be no point in swapping. After the goat is revealed, if you swap your chance of success goes to 66.6%. If you stay, chances stay at the original 33.3%.

Spoiler

That's- the same thing. My post also indicates swapping is the correct choice

 

[MP_]

Unless you really really always wanted a goat

TheGoatBaron likes this

 

[The Golden Glenferrie]

My new next door neighbour. Loves dogs and said that she would look after my two anytime I want to go away. Also yelled out to me this morning saying that she was going down the street for coffee and did I want her to get me one.

Good for you. My neighbour is hard work. Always appears when i am outside. They're nice enough but its not for me

 

[Cruyff14]

How good is a fresh cut and a water? Then just admiring.

Would have to be in my top things in life.

 

[Gough]

That's a good looking lawn Cruffy.