- Feb 5, 2009
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Eth-dog would definitely have known the gaze trick, so either they chose not to use it or missed with it last night. Hopefully the latter.
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Despite him supposedly going on about it all game it’s still hardly used. There are new names to me on this list too so I thought the opposite.It’s not as hidden as you think. Serial goes on about it every single post game.
I’d suggest one of their five faction members would’ve already been exposed to it before and would know the possibility there.
Also if you were that against the strategy being common knowledge, you could’ve skated right over my post and you know, not drawn any attention to it? Same for Gralin.
So far if I were a betting man I’d be betting your evil.
ImitatingI think you’re evil and have been since you went from initiating me /joking around to helping evil with your first serious contribution
Speaking of eth dog, who do we think he would have targeted n1?Eth-dog would definitely have known the gaze trick, so either they chose not to use it or missed with it last night. Hopefully the latter.
I'd wonder who would target TheGoatBaron as well, since he's still pretty new to the game and all. I don't think he was doing much to get a target on his back either. So it was a strange one.Speaking of eth dog, who do we think he would have targeted n1?
I have to assume that the ambusher guarded a teammate so it might give a clue about the mafia’s identity
Also on reflection it means eth probably opted to attack or glean info over heal (unless the action was changed via some other mechanism)
Likewise- who might target thegoatbaron might 1?
I haven’t played enough lately to answer either question but both are worth considering
It was the context to which I made my original post in rebuttal of?Where have I said they're powerless?
Knowing is one thingI’ve gone down the players list, and there’s at least fifteen conservatively that I’d say would know of the strategy. You’re the probability queen MWPP , you tell me what the chances are a faction of five would have none of those players?
Feeling a tad suss myself.So far if I were a betting man I’d be betting your evil.
TGB is hilarious so I assume he was murdered by an enemy of joy.I'd wonder who would target TheGoatBaron as well, since he's still pretty new to the game and all. I don't think he was doing much to get a target on his back either. So it was a strange one.
0.796568627% or a rough 1 in 125 chance.I’ve gone down the players list, and there’s at least fifteen conservatively that I’d say would know of the strategy. You’re the probability queen MWPP , you tell me what the chances are a faction of five would have none of those players?
This whole exchange (but primarily the first two posts in it):You mean bluelegs post?
Did Coven miss a hit or is it like others and they kill every second night? Trying to catch up while at work.
Depends on which other two roles bar poisoner they had but essentially neither leader nor Medusa nor poisoner have an automatic instant kill on the opening night
(Eth may have poisoned someone, time will tell)
That faction has always been the one that becomes stronger with time
I thought they don't get a standard kill? They have some roles with unique powers that can kill though. The Coven Leader has a control power.
Pie 4 Life I just checked and since the Coven Leader starts with the Necronomicon they should have been able to deal a 'basic attack' to someone last night.
In to be the next person.I love maths nerdery as much as the next person but we already know they had eth-dog so the probability is 0%
Without checking I have a feeling this is wrong.0.796568627% or a rough 1 in 125 chance.
Please don’t come at us with your gender.Necronimicon just sounds like a dead Comicon to me.
I'm a very confused boy.
Yeah that could very well be it.TGB is hilarious so I assume he was murdered by an enemy of joy.
0.796568627% or a rough 1 in 125 chance.
Unless FB has intel they aren't sharing with us and excluded the info about the other people (in addition to themselves), yeah, it's wrongWithout checking I have a feeling this is wrong.
I had eth in the not active/engaged enough camp but he could be different these daysI love maths nerdery as much as the next person but we already know they had eth-dog so the probability is 0%
Are you insinuating that I misread Tark's post and accidentally calculated the chance of all 5 of the faction having this knowledge, therefore becoming an example of why I shouldn't spam threads and post everything that pops into my head?Without checking I have a feeling this is wrong.