There's a fair bit of crystal-balling in relation to trading up to a certain pick to get a targeted player. Of the picks from 10-16, only Carlton was genuinely in the mix for Richards at pick 10 but decided to (thankfully) go for Lochie O'Brien instead. Not sure who we had earmarked had Richards been taken by the Blues (which was a line-ball call). Was a big risk but we got the chocolates in the end - like you, I'm not certain we knew we would get our player with the trade we did, and it was a generous trade. Ultimately the net result of our trade week and national draft shenanigans ended up being positive - getting Richards at 16 is a big part of that. Love him.True, and we are on record as saying we rated Richards as the next best player after Naughton but we had no way of knowing whether Richards would be available at 16. We could have ended up with the 15th best player for all we know. It does seem like a 'face saving' type trade more than prudent list management.