Triple J Hottest 100 - 2020

[ronpingwins]

$1500 staked now. and given Bet365 is offering a 320% roi cashout to my original bets im sleeping easy.

Im swinging my bets towards if the raging bull wins I will clean up, if Billie wins Ill get enough back for this to have still been worthwhile and if Tones and I wins I will delete all betting accounts and never return - or just write it off on last years profits.

Sportsbet still offering $5 for billie and denzel is overs in my books. i.e $2.50 that either win.

Everytime they adjust their odds slightly, you can bet on the market again - your max bet size restarts. which is pretty typical.

The warm tunas count is playing out pretty nicely. Tones and I holding onto a weak 4th spot. Tones & I odds will only drift up slowly.

Should probably save some capital now for the top 5s and 10s.

In a not dissimilar position, except substitute billie for tones and I. Hesitant to spend much more, but 4.5 for billie at unibet means I can get to a point where she would be a breakeven, Tones win a couple of $k and big win for Denzel. I still wouldn't sleep on Tones and I though, we're still pretty early in the warm tunas, she'll be a clear 3rd pretty soon. Think Sportsbet should open up the top 10 markets soon, they've adjusted their odds and songs available to something more realistic now, just a shame I can't put more than $2 on anything.

 

[jack 23]

Top 10 market up on Sportsbet. Wouldnt touch any at those odds. Sad by Sportsbet.

Outright markets still slowly shaping up exactly as predicted. Tones and I now $1.75 with plenty of drifting yet to do IMO.

Bulls on Parade 580% roi cashout now at B365.

Bulls on parade $4 best value left and wont last long IMO.

 

[NotAMagpieBogan]

The order of Sportsbet’s top 10 odds is literally just what Warmtunas is currently except for the top few lmao

 

[ye olde mole]

The votes for G Flip - Drink Too Much intrigue me. I get that she is part of the furniture at Triple J, but to my ears that song just sounds like a really average Missy Higgins track. I suspect the warm tunas count is higher than her final result will be...and if some bookmaker out there offers stoopid odds about her missing the top ten I'd be tempted to throw a shekel or two at it.

$1.01 to make the top ten....looks as silly as jumping out of a plane with a tea towel for a parachute.

 

[NotAMagpieBogan]

I’ve never used Bet365 before (Hottest 100 is pretty much the extent of my betting), how does their cashout system work? Is it available on Hottest 100 bets?

 

[jack 23]

I’ve never used Bet365 before (Hottest 100 is pretty much the extent of my betting), how does their cashout system work? Is it available on Hottest 100 bets?

Yes has been and still is availble on all hottest 100 bets. Wish I had known this at the start. Bets at $21 now paying 560%
Bets at $4 even paying 105% I think
Bets at $3 can cash out at 100% I believe, please forgive me if wrong, but it's basically a risk free system if you believe the odds will drop I.e. Bulls on parade will

 

[Liljam]

SB 11-20 is up. Nothing amazing but gflip and Thelma @12 is ok value and fidlar @6 is not too bad

 

[ronpingwins]

SB 11-20 is up. Nothing amazing but gflip and Thelma @12 is ok value and fidlar @6 is not too bad

Yeah those 3 are the ones I'm getting on, all look the types to drop from the 10. Not that I can get more than $3 or $4 on. Top 10 seems to have been taken down now as well.

 

[ye olde mole]

Likewise I have backed G Flip and Thelma Plum to finish 11-20 (at $12).....maximum bet allowed was $2.30 on each of them.

The hardest way to make an easy living.

 

[Gibbsy]

Lol at slipknot $2

 

[jack 23]

Lol at slipknot $2

whys slipknot so hard to believe haha. if it was $2 for top 30 id be on it

 

[Gibbsy]

whys slipknot so hard to believe haha. if it was $2 for top 30 id be on it

they won’t even make the 100.

 

[jack 23]

they won’t even make the 100.

lets request a market when the time comes

 

[FallingLiefs]

If that market was to miss top 10, you couldn't have enough on Fidlar.

 

[jack 23]

Dancy monkey now $2.20 on B365.

awesome you can now dutch all 3 for a profit. risk is if neither 3 win.

 

[Gibbsy]

If that market was to miss top 10, you couldn't have enough on Fidlar.

you reckon it may slip below 20?

 

[FallingLiefs]

you reckon it may slip below 20?

That would be my concern yes.

 

[thewitness]

SB 11-20 is up. Nothing amazing but gflip and Thelma @12 is ok value and fidlar @6 is not too bad

There's a fair chance FIDLAR will miss the Top 20 entirely. The have a history of being quite over predicted.

Finished Predicted

194​	No Waves	FIDLAR	83​
109​	40oz. On Repeat	FIDLAR	59​
157​	West Coast	FIDLAR	114​
157​	Can't You See	FIDLAR	112​

 

[Schulzenfest]

FIDLAR reminds me of DZ Deathrays last year. Started like a house on fire in the predictions, ended up in the 40's.

 

[NotAMagpieBogan]

Jumped on Better In Blak for 11-20 as soon as I saw it, put a bit on Fidlar but less confident on that one.

 

[jack 23]

Sportsbet the last bookie offering $4 for BOP outright win.

the rest are $3 or less now.

 

[dan1488au]

$12 for thelma plum back in black at $12.00 is hugely overs. fairly sure it wont stay at those odds for long. SBet let me put $23 bux on it. (wonder how they work these limits out?)

 

[jack 23]

$23 also on it.
$275 max payout they will risk? not sure.

Interesting to see Tones and I looks like it will be as low as 6th spot on the Tunas count in another day or two.

 

[ye olde mole]

I'm hoping Fidlar does well this year (although I accept all your arguments for why it will drop through the list).
That song just screams summer anthem to me...and even though I'm almost old enough for a pension, it's the sort of tune I'd like to be singing like a nubnub with my mates at the business end of a long day.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

There's a fair chance FIDLAR will miss the Top 20 entirely. The have a history of being quite over predicted.

Finished Predicted

194​	No Waves	FIDLAR	83​
109​	40oz. On Repeat	FIDLAR	59​
157​	West Coast	FIDLAR	114​
157​	Can't You See	FIDLAR	112​

This is a different kettle of fish.

This tune was huge mid year.

Have never heard of those other 4 songs.

Will finish top 10 at least.