If Carmichael does indeed excel in the VFL beyond TB's best corresponding performances, and TB continues to struggle in the seniors, then its a straight swap under any reasonable scenario.His performances met the standard required of a 22yo AFL footballer aspiring to play midfield at AFL level. As an example if IQ were to play VFL midfield next week he’d have 35 and a goal or two. Ditto Noble. Carmichael for instance will likely come in and match them straight up.
VFL reviews can fluctuate wildly and I would say his performances standout more by comparison to those around him than due to his actual efforts (Poulter, Macrae and McInnes have been underwhelming in 2022, IMO). What I would say about them in the context of Brown is that for the first time in his career they are encouraging the problem i have is what should happen isn’t happening. Look at Henry he gets dropped early season builds his form at VFL level, breaks back in and is then dropped after one “bad” game (lucky he got the sub reprieve of Cox’s injury otherwise he’d have played VFL last week). Tyler on the other hand hasn’t had a good game at senior level this year yet still gets the minutes.
Tyler was a 15-20 possession NAB league player consisting of 7 kicks 11 handballs 2 tackles etc. and from memory he never played national championships. Callum was a very handy footballer for the Rangers and realistically he’s the better of the two today. The problem is it’s a low bar and his kicking is average by VFL standards.
I'd have hoped by now that Reef or McCrae had been putting the pressure on TB, but if it's Carmichael all the better.