Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

Who Wins?

  • Trump 270-280

    Votes: 31 21.7%
  • Harris 270-280

    Votes: 31 21.7%
  • Trump 290-300

    Votes: 12 8.4%
  • Harris 290-300

    Votes: 32 22.4%
  • Trump 300+

    Votes: 11 7.7%
  • Harris 300+

    Votes: 18 12.6%
  • Harris 280-290

    Votes: 3 2.1%
  • Trump 280-290

    Votes: 5 3.5%

  • Total voters
    143
  • This poll will close: .

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Essentially winner of Pennsylvania is the extremely likely to win

not without winning other battle ground states

if trump gets Georgia and NC - could be over
 
For a bloke I hadnt heard of 3 months ago I wonder how Walz would have gone as the main man
Seems a good person as a VP- too maverick for the main job imho. However, question will be, should he have been used more prominently on the national stage ala Vance?
 
The issue was leaving it so late to make the switch. It was never going to be a 2nd term for Biden even after he was elected. They should have either run primaries or pushed Harris from early on.

Instead they have given a half chance to a very easily beatable Trump.

If the Dems lose the election, they are likely not giving a woman another chance to run and thats not the lesson here but likely the lesson they take.

They will blame progressives.

They thought their own base would just forget how awful the Cheney's were. Dick left office with 13% approval. As soon as she accepted the endorsement, that's exactly when she lost her momentum.
 
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Whatever way this goes, it is clear that there divide among Americans is getting wider. You couldn't have two more opposed candidates, yet they are both going to go roughly 50/50 in the popular vote. Just insane.

Really just shows how right wing and toxic the country has become - the standards one side is held to opposed to the other couldn't be more stark.
 
Sprinkled a few bets around. Cash on Harris to win the popular vote at $1.40.

Bonus bets on Harris to win Wisconsin $2.2 and on Harris to get between 270 and 299 EC votes at $4.33

Just to make myself more interested.

Looks like Trump will win at the moment, but it looked like this in the previous elections. Michigan looks like it might be where Harris falls over, if not PA. Looks to me like Wisconsin is Harris, but I'm not looking deep enough to know why the odds are the way they are.
 
How do they go about calling some states? Missouri at 17% counted, called for Trump despite Harris leading the count by 70,000. Is it based on predicted for the remaining districts? It is confusing sometimes.
Election counts this early are useless. Some places have less than 20% counted, barely tens of thousands of votes counted yet the media calls it early. Its all a race to be the first to call it. Half of them change overnight. Happened in 2020.
 

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Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

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