Analysis We are still favourites for 8th

[Owen_AFC97]

Should just go out trying to beat St Kilda whatever it takes. If we go in with the mindset of winning by 100 points I don't think it will turn out well. Hawthorn should beat Collingwood, Swans will beat Richmond and I would say Gold Coast have a 30% chance of winning. Finals is still somehow a real possibility.

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Don't discount Richmond beating Sydney next week. If the swans win today against the dogs then they go a game and 30% clear of third place meaning it's impossible to lose a home final.

Besides, it'd be an outrage if we made it. The most undeserving finals side in history. Port would belt the stuffing out of us week one. No thanks.

Got a feeling Sydney will rest even more players than this week & tigers keep the dream alive. Reckon they will be the most deserving on form coming back from the dead with a 3-10 record to topple port in the 1st final.

 

[Tex200]

Got a feeling Sydney will rest even more players than this week & tigers keep the dream alive. Reckon they will be the most deserving on form coming back from the dead with a 3-10 record to topple port in the 1st final.

No arguments from me

 

[The Sloane Ranger]

Got a feeling Sydney will rest even more players than this week & tigers keep the dream alive. Reckon they will be the most deserving on form coming back from the dead with a 3-10 record to topple port in the 1st final.

It's not Sydney's style to rest players

 

[Bicks]

Just had the ABC panel have a vote on who they think will finish 8th. It was 3 for the Crows 1 for the Weagles.

Of course if Richmond beat the Swans they are it!!

According to Whitey if the Eagles win by 20 points because of the % factor we will need to win by around 80.

Also we will know how much we will need to win by due to the time slot we have......eyes will be on the live ladder!!

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Hey guys, your team seems to be the flavour of the month on our board, below is a quote from one of our threads, should explain things clearly for everyone in regards to the final round. Full credit to Quinz for doing the maths

Reckon you are safe from us - just need to worry about Sydney doing a freo!

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

It's not Sydney's style to rest players

They did this week

 

[The Karma Bus]

Just had the ABC panel have a vote on who they think will finish 8th. It was 3 for the Crows 1 for the Weagles.

Of course if Richmond beat the Swans they are it!!

According to Whitey if the Eagles win by 20 points because of the % factor we will need to win by around 80.

Also we will know how much we will need to win by due to the time slot we have......eyes will be on the live ladder!!

Basically we need to win by about 80 points more than West Coast win by, assuming all results fall in our lap and WC win..
So if WC win by 1 point, we need to win by about 81.. They win by 20, we need to win by about 100 points..

 

[Roo Lives Again]

This.

We'll need West Coast to lose. Or if they win by a small margin we need to beat St Kilda by 100+ points. Pretty ridiculous, we are no chance. West Coast won't lose when finals are on the line and to bank on beating a team by 100+ points is silly.

We're not favourites. We lost it yesterday.

West coast aren't very good, they're about the same as us. They could easily lose to GC up there. Sydney will beat Richmond, Hawthorn will beat Collingwood and we'll belt the Saints. We could very well still make the finals. If we have to rely on beating the Saints by more than about 80 points we're probably cooked though.

 

[Zach Package]

I also have you blokes favorites for 8th.

GC at Metricon are a completely different proposition to playing them anywhere else, and they'll smash the eagles midfield, and obviously I've got Sydney beating Richmond as well.

might be able to sneak your way into a showdown final, which would be enormous

 

[Bicks]

Basically we need to win by about 80 points more than West Coast win by, assuming all results fall in our lap..
So if WC win by 1 point, we need to win by about 81.. They win by 20, we need to win by about 100 points..

Whitey has just updated his numbers, he's now saying we need to win by 70 points more than WCE should Richmond lose and Us and WCE both win.

 

[Bailey01]

Mathematical schmathamatical who the **** cares anymore. They obviously have no guts and don't give a shit.

 

[TheLeftFist8]

This thread exists because we repeatedly choked and choked and choked and choked against teams lower than us, mostly on our home deck…this year was over weeks ago.

 

[rocket18]

We will beat St. Kilda comfortably if it is required and will know in advance exactly what is needed (whether that's a good or bad thing is another question).

.

LOL, not sure if you have seen us play this season, beating St. Kilda comfortably!!

That didn't go to well when we played Melbourne at home or Carlton.

 

[1990crow]

I honestly hope the eagles don't lose to GC and likewise Swans to Richmond. I couldn't back in the Crows to beat the Saints under any pressure at the moment.

 

[The Karma Bus]

Whitey has just updated his numbers, he's now saying we need to win by more than 70 points should Richmond lose and Us and WCE both win.

Yeah here's some examples.. Not that we particularly deserve it, I'm always just interested in the permutations at this time of year of the finals..

If we win 120-42 our percentage will be 114.149%
If West Coast win 81-80, their percentage will be 114.095%
(made up 77 points on them)

If we win 130-40 points our percentage will be 114.8%
If West Coast win 70-60, their percentage will be 114.78%
(made up 80 points on them)

If we win 160-35 points our percentage will be 116.70%
If West Coast win 100-60, their percentage will be 116.54%
(made up 85 points on them)

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

Dons admit guilt to asada & we make it from 9th...

Bloody unlikely but unfortunately are chances are also unlikely - would be around 20% at best.

 

[redhorse]

Here's a question...Do we want it raining at metricon? Possibly slowing scoring and hoping WC win by less or lose.
Or....Do we hope for perfect conditions where the result could be more in favour of WC if they play well?

 

[Shoey82]

The way this year has gone all the other games will go the way we want and we will find a way to loose.

 

[Carbine Chaos]

This thread exists because we repeatedly choked and choked and choked and choked against teams lower than us, mostly on our home deck…this year was over weeks ago.

We're guilty of it too, choked against Carlton and Essendon. This week feels like going into a duel.

Best of luck.

 

[footy4ever]

I like the scenario where we have to win by 119. Its the number that keeps on giving.

next best I like 83, for other obvious reasons.

 

[CrazyJoeDevola]

The saints will win next week.. that's the way we roll.

 

[IQ3]

cmon crows get it done, I wanna see a showdown final!

edit: and see the power get smashed in it of course

 

[Elite Crow]

**** the finals, I want the better pick, our players don't deserve it and we need all the help we can get for the future

 

[Elite Crow]

cmon crows get it done, I wanna see a showdown final!

We will be smashed