Prediction Will we make finals in 2023? AFL responds with "...not on my watch"

[Burtonsgottago]

If the choice is to finish 8th or 9th I'm taking 8th every day of the week. Anything can happen in a final.

Yeah, anything can happen such as being wasteful in front of goal and being smashed by the umpires

 

[George Kramer]

We need Geelong to beat Saints but lose to Bulldogs.
If Giants beat Port need Melbourne to beat Swans.

 

[kirky]

If the choice is to finish 8th or 9th I'm taking 8th every day of the week. Anything can happen in a final.

Oh that I agree and it would be Carltonesque for them to go on 10 match winning streak then lose the first final. It would be hilarious.

 

[Mattrox]

With that said I'm not advocating for us to lose both remaining games, just that it's not a huge deal for us to miss finals this year

I agree.

Last night, we took our shot. It was clear that our makeshift defence won't stand up in finals pressure.

It would be nice for the kids to see a final, but we can't push deep. Away umpiring makes it worse.

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[kirky]

Oh boy, playing with the predictor they are so many results which can impact and it will get adjusted every time a result is known.

At this point there are still 3 positions available and today the best outcomes are Hawks, Richmond and Port.

Assuming results go according, if we did make finals in either 7th or 8th it would be more than likely against either Carlton or Bulldogs at the G. Righto, where is the lube?

 

[kirky]

And should the Swans beat us at Adelaide Oval, they deserve their spot in the finals.

 

[PCORF]

And should the Swans beat us at Adelaide Oval, they deserve their spot in the finals.

If the favourites win all their games and we somehow beat the Swans, we'll probably grab 8th place and a trip to the MCG to face Carlton. A repeat of 2001.

 

[Matt27]

The problem with predicting based on betting odds is that Round 24 throws up a lot of snags. For example, Melbourne might not be able to get 1st or 2nd by then, so might actually be better off resting players which would help Sydney.

The chance of us making finals is slim.

One positive of the week off between the end of the minor round and the first week of finals is that there is now actually quite a disincentive to rest players. Two full weeks of no Football is far from ideal preparation for a final.


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[MsTopG]

I have us making it if Bulldogs and GWS lose tomorrow. If both those don’t go our way, odds are unlikely.

Gws should lose. I doubt the Dogs lose though.

 

[Checksider]

If the favourites win all their games and we somehow beat the Swans, we'll probably grab 8th place and a trip to the MCG to face Carlton. A repeat of 2001.

And a repeat of the umpiring from the 2012 Prelim Final against Hawthorn no doubt.

Could make the 2016 GF umpiring look fair…

 

[pjcrows]

If Dogs go down here, there's a fair chance we can get 8th with two wins by the Saturday night, with the Sydney v Melbourne game determining whether it's us or Sydney staying in.

 

[Paladin]

Tough to beat the Hawks in Tassie!

 

[MsTopG]

If Dogs go down here, there's a fair chance we can get 8th with two wins, with the Sydney v Melbourne game determining whether it's us or Sydney staying in.

Hawks looking good. Although they are kicking for goal like us last 10mins. Hawks will be the big improver next year. Mitchell is a decent coach. The good thing is that melb likely need to beat swans to get a home final first week. Should be a great match at the scg. In saying that I think the cats or swans will get the last finals spot.

 

[dkalphy]

i think you guys can get in, need to beat syd. With doggies loosing, last round is going to be crazy lol

 

[forlols]

If Dogs go down here, there's a fair chance we can get 8th with two wins by the Saturday night, with the Sydney v Melbourne game determining whether it's us or Sydney staying in.

Sydney 7th us 8th with dogs losing at the cattery

 

[Mr MysteryGuest]

Carlton at the mcg in a final will probably just end up a negative experience for our younger players .

We want gws to win today, just about locks us out to save us from ourselves and helps keep port out of the top 2

 

[Golumless]

We had a chance at a home final but I don't really see much upside in finishing 8th and getting through purely because results fell our way.

Might be best to cop our medicine this season

I mean, it's getting that monkey off our back and getting some of our kids to experience a final. Of course, depending on the match up, it might even mean a semi-final.

Regardless though, we're not a major threat this year. Our defensive game just isn't good enough.

 

[pjcrows]

Dogs losing is a huge result. If we win our last two, we are actually more likely of making it now than not

We really need Port to beat GWS.

 

[Amacca 23]

Carlton at the mcg in a final will probably just end up a negative experience for our younger players .

We want gws to win today, just about locks us out to save us from ourselves and helps keep port out of the top 2

Why ? Already belted them

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[kirky]

Gws should lose. I doubt the Dogs lose though.

And yet it happened.

 

[Vladdy Daddy]

Port losing 5 in a row < GWS loss

Torn…….

 

[daniel_4tw]

Huge result.

All eyes on Port GWS now. If Port get the win, Crows should make it (assuming we win the last 2…)

 

[robboaustralia]

Carlton at the mcg in a final will probably just end up a negative experience for our younger players .

We want gws to win today, just about locks us out to save us from ourselves and helps keep port out of the top 2

.

 

[pjcrows]

The most obvious path is:

-Win both our games
-GWS to lose two their last three (Port, Ess, Blues)
-Geelong to beat the Dogs in last game
-Brisbane to beat St Kilda in the last game

If those things happen, it makes Geelong v St Kilda and Sydney v Melbourne game irrelevant to us.

It starts with Port today. How ironic.

 

[Mr MysteryGuest]

Why ? Already belted them

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That was at home. Playing Carlton in a final will see the one of most one sided umpiring performances in history