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2016 AFL Fixture Discussion
- Thread starter JPetro83
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Well put mate, very realistic view
TexForPM
Premiership Player
This is hardest draw BS is based on how teams played THIS year.
Mid tier teams ebb and flow on draws. If melbourne, GC, GWS, saints, ess, bris etc could 'upset' teams.
No one can predict what teams will play well. Don't forget sub rule and interchange cap changes.
Top teams this year could be play better worse who knows. Injuries too could play a role.
Fact is no one knows.
Happy with our commercial exposure.
Draw looks hard, depends if we are good or average.
Back the guys in.
Mid tier teams ebb and flow on draws. If melbourne, GC, GWS, saints, ess, bris etc could 'upset' teams.
No one can predict what teams will play well. Don't forget sub rule and interchange cap changes.
Top teams this year could be play better worse who knows. Injuries too could play a role.
Fact is no one knows.
Happy with our commercial exposure.
Draw looks hard, depends if we are good or average.
Back the guys in.
Tough draw. But if we are gonna take the next step, we have to beat these teams consistantly.
Heafy83
Premiership Player
If you read my statement correctly my beef is with gap of difficulty between fixtures not how tough it is itself.
Wright Away
Cancelled
It isn't a draw, it is a fixture.
- Sep 8, 2014
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- Hawthorn
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WaynesWorld19
Moderator
- Moderator
- #733
Couldn't give a rat's toss about a fixture .....you play teams, you have no idea who the strong teams are each season .....if you beat the best sides you can win a flag
ZERO INTEREST IN FIXTURE
ZERO INTEREST IN FIXTURE
Iron
Norm Smith Medallist
- May 26, 2014
- 7,170
- 15,280
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- Adelaide
If my club had won 4 premiership in the last 8 years I probably wouldn't mind.
I'd be happy if we had to play Hawthorn 22 times. Cos that's who we're gonna have to learn to beat to win it
Anyone, anywhere, anytime
this X10000....
WaynesWorld19
Moderator
- Moderator
- #737
That's what your coach, club, team & supporters have to be in tune with ......an air of self confidence
ATM my gut says other clubs seeing they're playing Adelaide consider that a good draw ....Nth Melbourne would consider playing Adelaide 1st round as great
We need to garner some fear in other clubs at the prospect of playing the Crows
No worries. My problem is not really the objective difficulty (bring it on, I say), but rather the relative difficulty - being given a harder draw than teams who finished above us. I believe that's poor from the AFL, and North Melbourne has a tougher one than Hawthorn despite being losing preliminary finalists rather than premiers.I know. I was just trying to say who knows how these teams will really be in 2016. Post probably came across harsher than intended.
SugarShane
C12 H22 O11
Nothing wrong with a hard draw. We go well, and all is good. If we go poor, at least we get a Pear-esque draw in 2017.
Good post
I wonder if someone can do a analysis on the 2015 fixture using:
1. Ranking by 2014 games won, pre fixture view
2. Ranking by 2015 games won, post fixture view
It will be interesting to see the level of variance
TexForPM
Premiership Player
If someone has time to do this would be grateful.
There would be a huge variance im tipping.
Dogs
WCE
Port
Carlton
GC
Ess
these teams jumped up or down quiet drastically, compared to initial predictions
TexForPM
Premiership Player
found this for 2015 fixtures and 2014 fixtures. Says port had an easier draw than Adel in 2015.
2015 draw - http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-s...2015-afl-draw-schedule-strength-and-imbalance
2014 Draw- http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-w...ngs-and-roundabouts-in-the-2014-afl-draw.html
2015 draw - http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-s...2015-afl-draw-schedule-strength-and-imbalance
2014 Draw- http://www.matterofstats.com/mafl-w...ngs-and-roundabouts-in-the-2014-afl-draw.html
Still waiting for that link to the article that says Burton was solely employed to make the crows run really fast. lol
- Nov 14, 2007
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I was wondering how this looked last year, so I just ran two sets of numbers - very raw - but they show how far out predictions are.
Below is a table ranking the fixture from 2015 for all teams, based on both the ladder positions from 2014 and the final ladder of 2015. You can see the teams that looked like they were going to get reamed - and didn't, and the ones that looked like they were getting a dream run - and didn't. The last column shows the differences ... +ve got a better deal than they expected, the -ve got a worse one.
Below is a table ranking the fixture from 2015 for all teams, based on both the ladder positions from 2014 and the final ladder of 2015. You can see the teams that looked like they were going to get reamed - and didn't, and the ones that looked like they were getting a dream run - and didn't. The last column shows the differences ... +ve got a better deal than they expected, the -ve got a worse one.
- May 26, 2013
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- Adelaide
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- Liverpool FC
How have you determined "Fixture using 2014 and 2015" ladders?
billy fragos
Premiership Player
- Jun 2, 2014
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- Adelaide
we will be 7-1 after round 8 bookmark it.
Yep I'm worried that we are seen as similar to North or, dare I say it, Richmond (ok that's going too far). Decent but with a soft underbelly, especially post Dangerfield.
Reality is there is only one way to go and only one way to get there
Walshy knew it. Every answer in a presser was based on a clear assessment of whether we were up to scratch yet or not
I have some confidence that Pykey is similarly no nonsense
Get the job done game day. Nothing else matters
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