AFL 2018 - AFL Finals Week 1

[aFiimOnz]

Wouldn't you take the $2 on Richmond over this?

Beteasy promo is capped at $25 max

 

[demon_fanatic]

Looks clear for most of the game

Nice,if clear Chrisdon are you leaning overs?weird the total has dropped 2 since last night, 151.5 now

 

[Ohh Ok]

Mitchell o33.5 disposals @ $1.80 bet easy

For those looking to middle you can get u36.5 disposals on unibet. I personally think he’ll go 40+ tonight so just leaving it.

$2 lines dunno, I was referring to the BetEasy $2 favs promo.

I know, I said middle it with Neds who are offering $2 lines. $2 on Richmond to win and $2 on Hawks +16.5.

 

[Sabbathen]

Nice,if clear Chrisdon are you leaning overs?weird the total has dropped 2 since last night, 151.5 now

Why is it “weird” the total has dropped after Hawks named two experienced defenders in Sicily and Frawley? Totals are a lot more than just the weather forecast.

 

[Browney2006]

$2 lines dunno, I was referring to the BetEasy $2 favs promo.

Most people want to bet more than the $20 max bet though

 

[AFDogs]

Castagna first goal @ $25 (Powerplayed), worth a cheeky fiver.

Also, a same game multi I did:
Richmond 1-39
Caddy 3 goals or more
Graham any time goal scorer
Edwards 20 disp
O'Meara 25 disp
$5 with a return of $350.

 

[chrisdon16]

Nice,if clear Chrisdon are you leaning overs?weird the total has dropped 2 since last night, 151.5 now

If it's clear yes but can't trust the forecast. And as Sabbathen said, some very good defenders are back. I think the Hawks try and suffocate Richmond tonight meaning it will be a slow game with lots of chipping around and highly contested. Easier said that done vs Richmond though...

 

[Mazza1234678]

they are some big ins for the hawks

hawks +17.5 looks the go

gonna bet wet and windy as well

 

[tangolikelama]

Castagna first goal @ $25 (Powerplayed), worth a cheeky fiver.

Also, a same game multi I did:
Richmond 1-39
Caddy 3 goals or more
Graham any time goal scorer
Edwards 20 disp
O'Meara 25 disp
$5 with a return of $350.

Lol did this without seeing you post minus Graham

 

[X_box_X]

2nd has a 13-5 win-loss record against 3rd;
1st has a 13-5 win-loss record against 4th;
6th has a 12-6 win-loss record against 7th;
5th has a 9-9 win-loss record against 8th.

The recent history has a more positive vibe for the lower ranked teams.

7th has defeated 6th in five of the past seven matches;
8th has defeated 5th in three of the past five matches;
3rd has defeated 2nd in four of the past eight matches.

Lower seeds winning
3: 2000, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2017
4: 2002, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2016
7: 2006, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016
8: 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2017

The good news for Richmond is that a Victorian team has never lost in the opening week of the finals when finishing on top.

 

[Lensen]

The good news for Richmond is that a Victorian team has never lost in the opening week of the finals when finishing on top.

i'll have stats that completely and utterly don't matter for $500 Alex

 

[Browney2006]

Over 150.5 and Richmond at the line (-15.5) @ $3.30

 

[NonPhixion]

expecting Pies and Giants to both shorten when teams are released tonight

 

[Browney2006]

they are some big ins for the hawks

hawks +17.5 looks the go

gonna bet wet and windy as well

Not sure it’s going to be windy. And I don’t think the rain will hit that hard

 

[Sabbathen]

The good news for Richmond is that a Victorian team has never lost in the opening week of the finals when finishing on top.

Huh? What about Essendon in 93? Finished top and lost first week to Carlton.

*Edit and again in 1990..

 

[Ohh Ok]

Richmond -3.5 (last qtr only) is surely where the value is at?

 

[X_box_X]

Huh? What about Essendon in 93? Finished top and lost first week to Carlton.

*Edit and again in 1990..

There are plenty examples of Victorian based teams finishing on top and losing in the opening week of the finals, but it's never happened under the top eight systems.

This is obviously what I meant considering the rest of my post was dedicated to match-ups occurring since 2000.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Hi

Why is it “weird” the total has dropped after Hawks named two experienced defenders in Sicily and Frawley? Totals are a lot more than just the weather forecast.

Hmmmmm ok

Richmond -3.5 (last qtr only) is surely where the value is at?

Bookmaker plz

 

[Ohh Ok]

Hi

Hmmmmm ok

Bookmaker plz

Sportsbet and unibet

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Storm hitting Melbourne right now but looks fairly clear after that.

Total's dropped to 150.5 but get the feeling it'll start going back up.

 

[Browney2006]

Storm hitting Melbourne right now but looks fairly clear after that.

Total's dropped to 150.5 but get the feeling it'll start going back up.

Already at 158.5 on sportsbet. The rain has cleared

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Little bit on Jon Ceglar anytime goalscorer @ 2.00, Jon Ceglar to kick 2+ @ 11.00 and Jon Ceglar to kick 3+ @ 67.00.

Not a noted forward at all (never kicked 3!) but has 6.1 from 10 games this season, including 1, 0, 1, 2 and 0 in the games he played alongside McEvoy.

 

[RooTed]

Rain was a drizzle and gone. TGS now out to 160....

Sent from the old mobile using Tapatalk

 

[X_box_X]

I have $800 on game total under 150.5 points at $2.12.

Anyone wanna help get me out of this mess?

 

[langdon19]

I have $800 on game total under 150.5 points at $2.12.

Anyone wanna help get me out of this mess?

FYI I've got the Tgs at 150
Could hit over 160
151-160
But yeah I presume you hit the wrong button.