NFL 2019 AFC Championship Game - Tennessee at Kansas City

[Exe Gesis]

[Arrowhead Analytics] Patrick Mahomes is absolutely unstoppable when his team is behind. With a 0-20% chance at win, Mahomes only needs *20* drop backs to complete the comeback (based on avg WPA at that Win Probability). The next best? Russell Wilson at over 50.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

No team is worse at stopping the run in the league when using a stacked box on defense than Chiefs, still giving up a whopping 4.7 yards per carry when they use 8 or more players against the run.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

No RB is better when facing a stacked box than Derrick Henry, averaging a league high 4.8 per carry against stacked boxes.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Mahomes better be cash in on his drives. Thats all Im going to say.

Those stats should have everyone on upset alert.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

What about stopping PA passes A11dAtP0w3R

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

What about stopping PA passes A11dAtP0w3R

No idea sorry.

 

[TheGreatBarryB]

Any chance we can merge to two Champ threads into one?

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

why

 

[TheGreatBarryB]

why

Well like the WC and Div threads it’s all in one. If you have an article that analyses all four teams rosters you can post in one.
Also don’t have to go in and out of two threads.

Plus you disliked it so all the more reason.

 

[aussiedude]

Well like the WC and Div threads it’s all in one. If you have an article that analyses all four teams rosters you can post in one.
Also don’t have to go in and out of two threads.

Plus you disliked it so all the more reason.

Championship game threads have always been standalone.

 

[revo333]

Couldn't disagree more - good teams are good for the majority of the year - the getting hot at playoff time trope is one of the most overused in sports.

The 9 and 7 team that wins the Super Bowl is good for the majority of the year?

 

[Shade]

If the titans get to 3.90 or 4 dollars im going to unload.

Seriously think they will beat the chiefs.

 

[Exe Gesis]

Derrick Henry can be the first rushing leader in the Super Bowl since Shaun Alexander in 2005. Only two other players have accomplished the feat: Terrell Davis with the Broncos in 1998, and Emmitt Smith who did it three times with the Cowboys in 1992, 1993 and 1995

 

[PCSY]

NFL App just popped up with “Titans perfect when Henry hits 100.” He’ll do that easily v KC unless they stack the box heavily.

 

[offtherails9]

NFL App just popped up with “Titans perfect when Henry hits 100.” He’ll do that easily v KC unless they stack the box heavily.

Their rush defence is still shithouse with a stacked box.

 

[Exe Gesis]

Chiefs should play a 5-3 with the interior three of the five downlineman DTs, 0-3 techniques.

if Titans start going 3 and 4 wide sets, still essentially maintain a 4 DL nickel and dime

Use DBs at the LB spots on third down passing situations

gotta force the titans off early run dominance, put them in pass-happy catchup mode, prevent them dictating TOP early

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Welcome to the shadow realm

 

[rumply]

positivity is a wonderful drug

 

[aussiedude]

Didnt work well for Earl Thomas lastweek. He got stiffarmed so hard he became a lead blocker for a few steps.

 

[TheGreatBarryB]

Chiefs should play a 5-3 with the interior three of the five downlineman DTs, 0-3 techniques.

if Titans start going 3 and 4 wide sets, still essentially maintain a 4 DL nickel and dime

Use DBs at the LB spots on third down passing situations

gotta force the titans off early run dominance, put them in pass-happy catchup mode, prevent them dictating TOP early

You don’t think pro defensive coaches have thought and tried these types of solutions?

Last time they played the Chiefs they were behind early, Henry destroyed them in the second half.

Tannehill can hurt you if you disrespect the pass, they caught the Chiefs early with a PA to Raymond.

Play DBs in place of LBs and they can use Smith and Brown to exploit lack of size, or even on third down if Henry breaks through to second level, which teams have done many times to Chiefs DL, then good luck with those DBs trying to stop him

 

[Exe Gesis]

You don’t think pro defensive coaches have thought and tried these types of solutions?

Last time they played the Chiefs they were behind early, Henry destroyed them in the second half.

Tannehill can hurt you if you disrespect the pass, they caught the Chiefs early with a PA to Raymond.

Play DBs in place of LBs and they can use Smith and Brown to exploit lack of size, or even on third down if Henry breaks through to second level, which teams have done many times to Chiefs DL, then good luck with those DBs trying to stop him

i havent seen a 5-3 front employed by teams in recent games where henry went over 100-150 yards.

thought about, maybe, but employ, haven't seen.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

If they play 5-3 Tannehill will ****ing rape them

 

[aussiedude]

a 5-3 front wouldnt be too hard for a team like KC since they are a 4-3 team. you would put a OLB in a 3 point stance. and then put the nickle/dime DB in a ILB.

but if you dont wrap up the first level its a massive play or easy PA completion. you could even use a endaround or touch pass. unless its a wide-9 tech you will just need to seal the edge for a outside run. but if its a wide 9 than its a inside run and the OL will crash down before the widest DE's get in.

 

[Exe Gesis]

i especially mean it early in the game, set a tone, stop their run, then as high powered chiefs O, establish a big lead,band then when titans are forced to play catchup you can switch to a more traditional approach