Prediction 2020 Draft Predictions

[Lore]

For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

Resource - 2020 AFL Draft Order

Every trade as it happens!

www.bigfooty.com

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

As of the pre-finals bye, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

1. Adelaide
2. North Melbourne
3. Sydney
4. Hawthorn
5. Gold Coast
6. Essendon
7. Carlton
8. Adelaide
9. North Melbourne
10. Fremantle
11. Geelong
12. Collingwood
13. Western Bulldogs
14. St Kilda
15. Geelong
16. Geelong
17. Richmond
18. Brisbane Lions
19. Brisbane Lions

 

[Membling]

As it stands:

1. Ade - Logan
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. Roos - Hollands
4. Syd - Phillips
5. Haw - Bruhn
6. Syd - Campbell (matched bid)
7. GC - DGB
8. Ess - O'Driscoll
9. Car - Cox
10. Ade - Thilthorpe
11. Coll - McInnes (matched bid)
12. Nth - Powell
13. Freo - Perkins
14. Port - Jones (bid matched)
15. Gee - Ford
16. StK - Carroll
17 Gee - Henry
18. Gee - Reid
19. Rich - Macrae
20. BL - Trew
21. BL - Poulter

Keen for phantoms to start up again.

 

[Vimal Anand]

Good one.... make sense most of the picks

As it stands:

1. Ade - Logan
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. Roos - Hollands
4. Syd - Phillips
5. Haw - Bruhn
6. Syd - Campbell (matched bid)
7. GC - DGB
8. Ess - O'Driscoll
9. Car - Cox
10. Ade - Thilthorpe
11. Coll - McInnes (matched bid)
12. Nth - Powell
13. Freo - Perkins
14. Port - Jones (bid matched)
15. Gee - Ford
16. StK - Carroll
17 Gee - Henry
18. Gee - Reid
19. Rich - Macrae
20. BL - Trew
21. BL - Poulter

Keen for phantoms to start up again.

On SM-A205YN using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[0utsider]

As it stands:

1. Ade - Logan
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. Roos - Hollands
4. Syd - Phillips
5. Haw - Bruhn
6. Syd - Campbell (matched bid)
7. GC - DGB
8. Ess - O'Driscoll
9. Car - Cox
10. Ade - Thilthorpe
11. Coll - McInnes (matched bid)
12. Nth - Powell
13. Freo - Perkins
14. Port - Jones (bid matched)
15. Gee - Ford
16. StK - Carroll
17 Gee - Henry
18. Gee - Reid
19. Rich - Macrae
20. BL - Trew
21. BL - Poulter

Keen for phantoms to start up again.

Big slide for Thilthorpe! With North going into a hard rebuild I reckon now would be the time for them to pick up the slower developing keys and Thilthorpe makes the most sense to me being able to fill the hole left by Ben Brown and potentially Goldy down the track. It's not completely needs based either, he seems like one of the safer bets out of this years draft purely based on exposed form against mature bodies.

Hollands just seems like too high of a risk to go in those first few picks. ACL after a 2019 that didn't see a whole lot of development coupled with the fact that
outside players don't always handle the step up to top level footy that well would be enough to put me off as long as kids like Phillips are still on the board.

 

[Membling]

Big slide for Thilthorpe! With North going into a hard rebuild I reckon now would be the time for them to pick up the slower developing keys and Thilthorpe makes the most sense to me being able to fill the hole left by Ben Brown and potentially Goldy down the track. It's not completely needs based either, he seems like one of the safer bets out of this years draft purely based on exposed form against mature bodies.

Hollands just seems like too high of a risk to go in those first few picks. ACL after a 2019 that didn't see a whole lot of development coupled with the fact that
outside players don't always handle the step up to top level footy that well would be enough to put me off as long as kids like Phillips are still on the board.

Thilthorpe could honestly go anywhere. Could be anything but get a Josh Fraser vibe about him. Not a bad pick. If Roos pick him would not be surprised. Or swans for that matter.

Hollands may actually benefit from no football and see his stock stay the same due to lack of exposure. Based on what I have seen he is a balance mid/HFF that is more damaging 9n outside but can get his own ball.

Interesting Thilthorpe and Hollands could easily flip draft position. Will wait out for post trade period and hopefully games to redo.

 

[scotteydog]

As it stands:

1. Ade - Logan
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. Roos - Hollands
4. Syd - Phillips
5. Haw - Bruhn
6. Syd - Campbell (matched bid)
7. GC - DGB
8. Ess - O'Driscoll
9. Car - Cox
10. Ade - Thilthorpe
11. Coll - McInnes (matched bid)
12. Nth - Powell
13. Freo - Perkins
14. Port - Jones (bid matched)
15. Gee - Ford
16. StK - Carroll
17 Gee - Henry
18. Gee - Reid
19. Rich - Macrae
20. BL - Trew
21. BL - Poulter

Keen for phantoms to start up again.

I've heard that the Saints are keen on O'Driscoll, but as you have listed, will go earlier. Are also keen on Carroll too. I hope they pick up Ford, just by his highlight reel, as I am no expert.

 

[Membling]

Post trade period update:

1. Ade - McDonald
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. NM - Hollands
4. Syd - DGB - pick is tricky.
5. Haw - Phillips
6. Swans - Campbell (bid matched)
7. GC - Perkins
8. ESS - Thilthorpe - hardest player to rate.
9. ESS - Reid
10. ESS - O'driscoll
11. Port - Jones (bid matched)
12. Ade - Bruhn
13.GWS - Cox
14. Coll - McInnes (bid matched)
15. NM - Henry
16. Freo - Ford
17. GWS - Poulter
18. GWS - Chapman
19. Coll - Carroll
19. Rich - Berry
20. Melb - Macrae
21. Melb - Cook
22. GWS - Callow
23. Stk - Trew
24. Ade - Dumensy
25. Ade - Winder
26. Bris - Max Heath
27. Freo - Walker (bid matched)
28. GC - Bowey
29. Melb - Maher
30. GWS - Neale

Looking at teams positions expecting ess, ade and GWS to try and move up

Edited 20 Nov

 

[Scham]

1. WB - JUH (bid matched)
2. Adelaide - Hollands
3. Nth - McDonald
4. Syd - DGB
5. Hawks - Phillips
6. Swans - Campbell (bid matched)
7. GC - Perkins
8. Ess - Thilthorpe
9. Ess - Bruhn
10. Ess - Chapman
11. Port - Jones (bid matched)
12. Ade - Cox
13. GWS - Reid
14. Nth - Henry
15. Coll - McInnes (bid matched)
16. Freo - O’Driscoll
17. GWS - Cook
18. Coll - Carroll
19. GWS - Macrae
20. Syd - Gulden (bid matched)
21. Rich - Stone
22. Melb - Poulter
23. Hawks - Downie (bid matched)
24. Melb - Laurie
25. GWS - Ford
26. Sts - Winder
27. Ade - Powell
28. Ade - Neale
29. Hawks - Maher
30. Freo - Walker (bid matched)
31. GWS - Walker P
32. Geel - Pedler
33. Melb - Bowey
34. Bris - Coleman (bid matched)
35. Nth - Ginnivan
36. Carlton - Durdin
37. Rich - Kolar
38. Freo - Western (bid matched)
39. Carl - Rosman
40. Nth - Allison
41. Ade - Mitchell

 

[adonski]

Dee's aren't taking Callow or Chapman

 

[getgaff]

Post trade period update

1. Adelaide - Logan McDonald
2. North Melbourne - Elijah Hollands
3. WB - Jamarra Ugle Hagan (bid matched)
4. Sydney - Riley Thilthorpe
5. Hawthorn - Denver Grainger Barrass
6. Gold Coast - Will Phillips
7. Sydney - Braeden Campbell (bid matched)
8. Essendon - Zach Reid
9. Essendon - Nathan O'Driscoll
10. Essendon -Archie Perkins

11. Port Adelaide - Lachlan Jones (bid matched)
12. Adelaide - Tanner Bruhn
13. GWS - Finlay Macrae
14. North Melbourne - Nikolas Cox
15. Fremantle - Jack Carroll - Best available local talent
16. Collingwood - Reef McInnes (bid matched)
17. GWS - Caleb Poulter - Inside mid with huge upside
18. GWS - Kaine Baldwin - Him or Callow. Extra tall forward for GWS
19. Collingwood - Eddie Ford - X factor inside 50 and possible midfield development. Wouldn't mind Brayden Cook here either
20. Richmond - Heath Chapman - linking defender post Houli

21. Melbourne - Oliver Henry - Think Melbourne can be attracted to his versatility here.
22. Sydney - Errol Gulden (bid matched)
23. Melbourne - Brayden Cook - High x factor mid/ fwd who may fill what they've missed in Isaac Smith

7

Isaac Smith

Age

35

Ht

188cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

13.0

5star

HB

8.4

5star

M

5.5

5star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.7

4star

D

19.4

4star

K

11.1

4star

HB

8.3

4star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.5

3star

CL

1.3

4star

D

19.2

5star

K

10.6

4star

HB

8.6

5star

M

7.6

5star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.6

3star

and Tom Phillips

21

Tom Phillips

Age

28

Ht

187cm

Wt

80kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.4

5star

K

13.4

5star

HB

9.0

5star

M

5.1

5star

T

2.5

4star

CL

1.6

4star

D

15.1

4star

K

8.5

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.5

3star

T

2.3

3star

CL

0.5

3star

D

16.0

4star

K

9.0

4star

HB

7.0

5star

M

5.2

5star

T

3.0

5star

CL

0.8

3star

.
24. GWS - Zac Dumesny - Ball user from the back line, had hoped for a tall back but there's no one who stands out
25. St. Kilda - Tom Powell - IM with accumulating attributes, natural finder of the ball

 

[Joose]

Here is my shot. Have no idea really. Basically going off Twomeys rankings with guesswork re the bids and needs based selections plus some media speculation.

1. ADE R Tilthorpe​

2. NME L McDonald​

3. WBD J Ugle-Hagan – matched bid​

4. SYD D Grainger-Barrass​

5. HAW E Hollands​

6. SYD B Campbell – matched bid​

7. GCS W Phillips​

8. ESS T Bruhn​

9. ESS Z Reid​

10. COL R McInnes – matched Bid​

11. ESS O Henry​

12. POR L Jones – matched bid​

13. ADE T Powell​

14. GWS H Chapman​

15. NME F McRae​

16. FRE B Cook​

17. GCS J Jeffrey – matched bid​

18. GCS A Davies – matched bid​

19. GWS A Perkins​

21. COL N Cox​

22. GWS J Carroll​

23. HAW C Downie – matched bid​

24. COL Z Trew​

25. RIC B Laurie​

26. MEL N O’Driscoll​

27. MEL E Ford​

28. FRE B Walker – matched bid​

29. GWS K Baldwin​

30. STK I Winder​

 

[Scham]

Here is my shot. Have no idea really. Basically going off Twomeys rankings with guesswork re the bids and needs based selections plus some media speculation.

1. ADE R Tilthorpe​

2. NME L McDonald​

3. WBD J Ugle-Hagan – matched bid​

4. SYD D Grainger-Barrass​

5. HAW E Hollands​

6. SYD B Campbell – matched bid​

7. GCS W Phillips​

8. ESS T Bruhn​

9. ESS Z Reid​

10. COL R McInnes – matched Bid​

11. ESS O Henry​

12. POR L Jones – matched bid​

13. ADE T Powell​

14. GWS H Chapman​

15. NME F McRae​

16. FRE B Cook​

17. GCS J Jeffrey – matched bid​

18. GCS A Davies – matched bid​

19. GWS A Perkins​

21. COL N Cox​

22. GWS J Carroll​

23. HAW C Downie – matched bid​

24. COL Z Trew​

25. RIC B Laurie​

26. MEL N O’Driscoll​

27. MEL E Ford​

28. FRE B Walker – matched bid​

29. GWS K Baldwin​

30. STK I Winder​

Good job. I left Davies out all together

 

[Membling]

Good job. I left Davies out all together

Well, as can be prelisted, GC academy players cannot be bid on in draft at all

 

[getgaff]

Good effort Joose. Just an FYI there’s no need for picks to be used on the GC Academy players.

They get a free hit at the stumps due to draft compensation rules put in place before the 2019 draft.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[BlueMaster1]

R1

1- R Thilthorpe-Adelaide
2- J Ugle-Hagan-Western Bulldogs
3- L McDonald-North Melbourne
4- D Grainger-Barrass-Sydney
5- W Phillips-Hawthorn
6- E Hollands-Gold Coast
7- B Campbell-Syndey
8- L Jones-Port Adelaide
9- Z Ried-Essendon
10- N Odriscoll-Essendon
11- T Bhurn-Essendon
12- T Powell-Adelaide
13- H Chapman-GWS
14- A Perkins-North Melbourne
15- N Cox-Fremantle
16- R McInnes-Collingwood
17- F McRae-GWS
18- J Callow-GWS

 

[gawndog37]

R1

1. Adelaide - Logan Macdonald (WA) - key forward
2. Western Bulldogs - Jammarra Ugle-Hagan(VIC) - key forward
3. North Melbourne - Elijah Hollands (VIC) - midfielder/forward
4. Sydney - Riley Thilthorpe (SA) - key forward
5. Hawthorn - Denver Grainger-Barrass (WA) - key defender
6. Gold Coast - Will Phillips (VIC) - inside midfielder
7. Sydney - Braeden Campbell (NSW) - inside midfielder/small forward
8. Essendon - Tanner Bruhn (VIC) - inside midfielder
9. Essendon - Zac Reid (VIC) - key defender
10. Port Adelaide - Lachie Jones (SA) - general defender
11. Essendon - Archie Perkins (VIC) - midfielder/forward
12. Adelaide - Oliver Henry (VIC) - utility
13. GWS - Nik Cox (VIC) - utility
14. North Melbourne - Heath Chapman (WA) - general defender
15. Fremantle - Finlay Macrae (VIC) - inside/outside midfielder
16. GWS - Tom Powell (SA) - inside midfielder
17. Collingwood - Brayden Cook (SA) - outside midfielder/general forward
18. Collingwood - Reef McInnes (VIC) - inside midfielder/utility
19. GWS - Nathan O'Driscoll (WA) - inside midfielder/general defender
20. Richmond - Zane Trew (WA) - inside midfielder
21. Melbourne - Jack Carroll (VIC) - inside midfielder/general defender
22. Sydney - Errol Gulden (NSW) - small forward/midfielder
23. Melbourne - Bailey Laurie (VIC) - small forward/midfielder
24. Hawthorn - Connor Downie (VIC) - outside midfielder/general defender
25. GWS - Isiah Winder (WA) - small forward/defender
26. St Kilda - Zavier Maher (VIC) - inside midfielder

R2

27. Adelaide - Caleb Poulter (SA) - inside/outside midfielder
28. Adelaide - Zac Dumensy (SA) - outside midfielder
29. Brisbane - Max Heath (VIC) - Ruck
30. Fremantle - Brandon Walker (WA) - general defender
31. Gold Coast - Eddie Ford (VIC) - utility
32. Melbourne - Kaine Baldwin (SA) - key forward
33. GWS - Jack Bowey (VIC) - small utility
34. North Melbourne - Sam Berry (VIC) - inside midfielder
35. Brisbane - Blake Coleman (QL) - small forward
36. Richmond - Matt Allison (VIC) - key forward
37. Fremantle - Joel Western (WA) - small forward/midfielder
38. Gold Coast - Corey Durdin (SA) - small forward
39. Adelaide - Luke Edwards (SA) - general defender/outside midfielder
40. Carlton - Harry Sharp (VIC) - outside midfielder
41. North Melbourne - Nick Stevens

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

(VIC) - general defender

 

[blueiris]

R1

1. Adelaide - Logan Macdonald (WA) - key forward
2. Western Bulldogs - Jammarra Ugle-Hagan(VIC) - key forward
3. North Melbourne - Elijah Hollands (VIC) - midfielder/forward
4. Sydney - Riley Thilthorpe (SA) - key forward
5. Hawthorn - Denver Grainger-Barrass (WA) - key defender
6. Gold Coast - Will Phillips (VIC) - inside midfielder
7. Sydney - Braeden Campbell (NSW) - inside midfielder/small forward
8. Essendon - Tanner Bruhn (VIC) - inside midfielder
9. Essendon - Zac Reid (VIC) - key defender
10. Port Adelaide - Lachie Jones (SA) - general defender
11. Essendon - Archie Perkins (VIC) - midfielder/forward
12. Adelaide - Oliver Henry (VIC) - utility
13. GWS - Nik Cox (VIC) - utility
14. North Melbourne - Heath Chapman (WA) - general defender
15. Fremantle - Finlay Macrae (VIC) - inside/outside midfielder
16. GWS - Tom Powell (SA) - inside midfielder
17. Collingwood - Brayden Cook (SA) - outside midfielder/general forward
18. Collingwood - Reef McInnes (VIC) - inside midfielder/utility
19. GWS - Nathan O'Driscoll (WA) - inside midfielder/general defender
20. Richmond - Zane Trew (WA) - inside midfielder
21. Melbourne - Jack Carroll (VIC) - inside midfielder/general defender
22. Sydney - Errol Gulden (NSW) - small forward/midfielder
23. Melbourne - Bailey Laurie (VIC) - small forward/midfielder
24. Hawthorn - Connor Downie (VIC) - outside midfielder/general defender
25. GWS - Isiah Winder (WA) - small forward/defender
26. St Kilda - Zavier Maher (VIC) - inside midfielder

R2

27. Adelaide - Caleb Poulter (SA) - inside/outside midfielder
28. Adelaide - Zac Dumensy (SA) - outside midfielder
29. Brisbane - Max Heath (VIC) - Ruck
30. Fremantle - Brandon Walker (WA) - general defender
31. Gold Coast - Eddie Ford (VIC) - utility
32. Melbourne - Kaine Baldwin (SA) - key forward
33. GWS - Jack Bowey (VIC) - small utility
34. North Melbourne - Sam Berry (VIC) - inside midfielder
35. Brisbane - Blake Coleman (QL) - small forward
36. Richmond - Matt Allison (VIC) - key forward
37. Fremantle - Joel Western (WA) - small forward/midfielder
38. Gold Coast - Corey Durdin (SA) - small forward
39. Adelaide - Luke Edwards (SA) - general defender/outside midfielder
40. Carlton - Harry Sharp (VIC) - outside midfielder
41. North Melbourne - Nick Stevens

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

(VIC) - general defender

Rucks aren’t a massive need for the Lions passing on Eddie Ford would be very disappointing

 

[JHF1870]

I like some of these, but I would put Finlay Macrae with Essendon, then Adelaide, then GWS

 

[getgaff]

Rucks aren’t a massive need for the Lions passing on Eddie Ford would be very disappointing

Not first priority i wouldn't think either but has to be considered at some point I think Blue. Really you're only listed rucks are Oscar and Archie.

Think Samson Ryan from the Academy as a rookie pick wouldn't be out of the question also.

 

[Brisair]

Rucks aren’t a massive need for the Lions passing on Eddie Ford would be very disappointing

Some interesting takes in here for sure, I think it works out really well for us. Haven't heard or seen much on Max Heath- this was the year I was going to get more into junior footy in Melb

Does anyone here have any info on him? I do like the idea of us taking a ruck where possible.
This draft outcome would be one I'd be really happy with- but taking Heath when Ford is on the board is an odd one to me.

Max Heath is a kid with some grunt. The upside is that he can cover the ground and is an imposing mark. Good rucks are hard to come by, 203cm impact players don’t come along very often.

 

[Baygirl1977]

Not first priority i wouldn't think either but has to be considered at some point I think Blue. Really you're only listed rucks are Oscar and Archie.

Think Samson Ryan from the Academy as a rookie pick wouldn't be out of the question also.

Agree with Ryan, only thing is the AFL has just announced teams only have to take 1 player this year down from three so we might not see many more delistings

 

[blueiris]

Not first priority i wouldn't think either but has to be considered at some point I think Blue. Really you're only listed rucks are Oscar and Archie.

Think Samson Ryan from the Academy as a rookie pick wouldn't be out of the question also.

We have already elevated Fullarton a ruck/fwd we also traded in Daniher who has no problem playing ruck as well as Ballendan ruck isn’t a serious need

 

[Brisair]

As it stands:

1. Ade - Logan
2. WB - JUH (bid matched)
3. Roos - Hollands
4. Syd - Phillips
5. Haw - Bruhn
6. Syd - Campbell (matched bid)
7. GC - DGB
8. Ess - O'Driscoll
9. Car - Cox
10. Ade - Thilthorpe
11. Coll - McInnes (matched bid)
12. Nth - Powell
13. Freo - Perkins
14. Port - Jones (bid matched)
15. Gee - Ford
16. StK - Carroll
17 Gee - Henry
18. Gee - Reid
19. Rich - Macrae
20. BL - Trew
21. BL - Poulter

Keen for phantoms to start up again.

Like Trew’s accumulation stats and competitiveness. He would suit our needs in the midfield. Heard his as tough as nails!

 

[Membling]

Like Trew’s accumulation stats and competitiveness. He would suit our needs in the midfield. Heard his as tough as nails!

Was my old rankings, have Trew going to Ade in update.

Do like Trew as a player.

 

[scotteydog]

Max Heath to the Saints, I hope.