Prediction 2021 Draft Predictions

[Lore]

For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

Resource - 2021 AFL Draft Order

Every trade as it happens!

www.bigfooty.com

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

Following the Trade Period, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

1. North Melbourne
2. GWS Giants
3. Gold Coast Suns
4. Adelaide
5. Hawthorn
6. Fremantle
7. Richmond
8. Fremantle
9. St Kilda
10. West Coast Eagles
11. Essendon
12. Port Adelaide
13. GWS Giants
14. Brisbane Lions
15. Richmond
16. Sydney Swans
17. Melbourne
18. Brisbane Lions

 

[RanaNaved]

No Hobbs?

Pick 5

 

[ArdentEagle]

None of you ****ers have an opinion on my draft????

 

[Hazardinho]

lol you don’t have to change it for everyone.

I literally spent 5 mins doing that phantom draft, and my point was more so how the first round could look!

 

[briztoon]

I think if he was there, we'd see if anyone else in the teens wanted to trade up to get him. He's a hard one to place because if he doesnt go at 3(5) to Gold Coast, it's difficult to find which club he fits at. Allison who we took last year (195cm) was originally a forward and was moved to defence, but if Gibcus was there, we might take him and move Allison back forward and really hope Owens makes it past 20 so we still get at least 2 mids in this draft.

I dont think NWM is a good fit for us either since he is a pure wing. We already have invested a lot of money and picks in our wings so using another first rounder on yet another wing would be underwhelming. Would prefer someone much more balanced, like Johnson, or Sinn who could replace Clark at half back (who would move into the middle) then move into the midfield himself in a few years

Just on Gibcus, you would have to think GWS would take him at their second selection.

Maybe even Essendon at their first pick might think Gibcus rounds out their KPD stock.

 

[Hazardinho]

None of you f***ers have an opinion on my draft????

From an Essendon perspective, Knevitt ain't no where near gonna be considered at our first!

 

[briztoon]

None of you f***ers have an opinion on my draft????

 

[ArdentEagle]

From an Essendon perspective, Knevitt ain't no where near gonna be considered at our first!

Think you're in for a surprise. No one left on board I think suits you better.

 

[ArdentEagle]

Taylor and Sinn for the win??

 

[BrutThough]

Just on Gibcus, you would have to think GWS would take him at their second selection.

Maybe even Essendon at their first pick might think Gibcus rounds out their KPD stock.

If he was there at 11, do you think GWS would move up the few spots to get him or take the risk he will slide further to them?

 

[Hazardinho]

I think if he was there, we'd see if anyone else in the teens wanted to trade up to get him. He's a hard one to place because if he doesnt go at 3(5) to Gold Coast, it's difficult to find which club he fits at. Allison who we took last year (195cm) was originally a forward and was moved to defence, but if Gibcus was there, we might take him and move Allison back forward and really hope Owens makes it past 20 so we still get at least 2 mids in this draft.

I dont think NWM is a good fit for us either since he is a pure wing. We already have invested a lot of money and picks in our wings so using another first rounder on yet another wing would be underwhelming. Would prefer someone much more balanced, like Johnson, or Sinn who could replace Clark at half back (who would move into the middle) then move into the midfield himself in a few years

That's a good shout tbf, you could get a GWS/ Richmond/GC overpaying for your pick 11! I'd imagine you guys would still want to have a first rounder in this years draft, and if GWS take that pick of you, then that eliminates the only club in the top 20 that are considering bidding on Owens according to Twomey.

 

[briztoon]

If he was there at 11, do you think GWS would move up the few spots to get him or take the risk he will slide further to them?

I believe they’ll let him slide to them.

 

[BrutThough]

That's a good shout tbf, you could get a GWS/ Richmond/GC overpaying for your pick 11! I'd imagine you guys would still want to have a first rounder in this years draft, and if GWS take that pick of you, then that eliminates the only club in the top 20 that are considering bidding on Owens according to Twomey.

We definitely want to keep our first rounder and potentially get back into the 2nd round but without a 2nd round pick getting used in the bids. Richmond is probably our best bet to make that happen given there late 20s picks but it would need to be the right player slip out of the top 10 to get them to trade and for us to move back that far too.

Twomey seems confident that Owens will still get through because 15 seems like a huge reach for him, especially given some of the players who should still be on the board. But given the amount fo first round picks GWS always have, they might be more willing to use a first rounder on someone most rankings have in the late 20s. Will be a nervous watch on night 1.

 

[Hazardinho]

Think you're in for a surprise. No one left on board I think suits you better.

I've read too many Essendon fans perspectives, who have sources too, that claim Sinn, NWM, Goater, Amiss, Rachele, Draper are linked at our first pick. Knevitt has appealing height, but i personally don't want him. He has a super strange ball drop, according to some of our fans who have watched him, he's got good hands and can distribute out of pressure, can take contested grabs, leads well but my thing is, he's a high risk high reward type prospect. Over the years, i've seen players with his hype/ height not really translate or a low success rate. Players that come to mind are your kemp's, Ely Smith's, RCD (who i rate), Philp, Will Brodie, Bonar, Constable, etc type players who have the physical/height attributes to exceed in the AFL but for whatever reason it doesn't translate and become busts. I wouldn't mind if we had a second rounder and took a punt on him but because we don't have one, i feel more assured by players who have been linked at our pick.

 

[Hazardinho]

We definitely want to keep our first rounder and potentially get back into the 2nd round but without a 2nd round pick getting used in the bids. Richmond is probably our best bet to make that happen given there late 20s picks but it would need to be the right player slip out of the top 10 to get them to trade and for us to move back that far too.

Twomey seems confident that Owens will still get through because 15 seems like a huge reach for him, especially given some of the players who should still be on the board. But given the amount fo first round picks GWS always have, they might be more willing to use a first rounder on someone most rankings have in the late 20s. Will be a nervous watch on night 1.

Yeah GWS are that team that can always take the unpopular selection, i.e your Taranto's.

 

[GWS Goose]

I think if he was there, we'd see if anyone else in the teens wanted to trade up to get him. He's a hard one to place because if he doesnt go at 3(5) to Gold Coast, it's difficult to find which club he fits at. Allison who we took last year (195cm) was originally a forward and was moved to defence, but if Gibcus was there, we might take him and move Allison back forward and really hope Owens makes it past 20 so we still get at least 2 mids in this draft.

I dont think NWM is a good fit for us either since he is a pure wing. We already have invested a lot of money and picks in our wings so using another first rounder on yet another wing would be underwhelming. Would prefer someone much more balanced, like Johnson, or Sinn who could replace Clark at half back (who would move into the middle) then move into the midfield himself in a few years

I agree with this.
It is my view if Giants take Callaghan, which I think they should, the Sun's will take either Gibcus or Andrew at 5 (assuming bids).
I reckon there is a very reasonable chance that the other stays on the board all the way to the Giants next pick

 

[ArdentEagle]

I've read too many Essendon fans perspectives, who have sources too, that claim Sinn, NWM, Goater, Amiss, Rachele, Draper are linked at our first pick. Knevitt has appealing height, but i personally don't want him. He has a super strange ball drop, according to some of our fans who have watched him, he's got good hands and can distribute out of pressure, can take contested grabs, leads well but my thing is, he's a high risk high reward type prospect. Over the years, i've seen players with his hype/ height not really translate or a low success rate. Players that come to mind are your kemp's, Ely Smith's, RCD (who i rate), Philp, Will Brodie, Bonar, Constable, etc type players who have the physical/height attributes to exceed in the AFL but for whatever reason it doesn't translate and become busts. I wouldn't mind if we had a second rounder and took a punt on him but because we don't have one, i feel more assured by players who have been linked at our pick.

 

[BrutThough]

I agree with this.
It is my view if Giants take Callaghan, which I think they should, the Sun's will take either Gibcus or Andrew at 5 (assuming bids).
I reckon there is a very reasonable chance that the other stays on the board all the way to the Giants next pick

I could see Richmond taking Andrew given Riewoldt has maybe 1 year left and their KPF depth just left. And given their glute of picks in the top 30, they could afford to take longer term prospect given they should still get some ready-to-go top talents with their other picks. But they are rumoured to be very into Hobbs and he really fixes a big need of theirs so it could be line-ball call.

 

[WWSD]

Do Adelaide take Andrew with pick 4 if he’s available?

 

[Hazardinho]

Do Adelaide take Andrew with pick 4 is he’s available?

I wouldn't think so

 

[danster168]

Do Adelaide take Andrew with pick 4 if he’s available?

I rate Andrew at 2 in front of Sam Darcy and Daicos so it would be a yes from me.

 

[Hazardinho]

I rate Andrew at 2 in front of Sam Darcy and Daicos so it would be a yes from me.

You may as well rate him pick 1, no point saying JHF is better.

 

[Sidthehat]

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Crows - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Hawthorn - Ward
8. Fremantle - Erasmus
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Rachele
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

Or

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Hawks - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Crows - Rachele
8. Fremantle - Ward
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Erasmus
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

 

[Hazardinho]

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Crows - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Hawthorn - Ward
8. Fremantle - Erasmus
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Rachele
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

Or

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Hawks - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Crows - Rachele
8. Fremantle - Ward
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Erasmus
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

If i'm a Brisbane supporter, i'd be spewing if we missed out on Goater and Sinn!

 

[briztoon]

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Crows - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Hawthorn - Ward
8. Fremantle - Erasmus
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Rachele
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

Or

1. North Melbourne - JHF
2. Bulldogs - Darcy
3. Collingwood - Daicos
4. Hawks - Callaghan (flip 2022 1sts)
5. Gold Coast Suns - Gibcus
6. GWS Giants - Andrew
7. Crows - Rachele
8. Fremantle - Ward
9. Richmond - Hobbs
10. Fremantle - Amiss
11. St Kilda - Erasmus
12. West Coast Eagles - Johnson
13. Essendon - Knevitt
14. Port Adelaide - Wanganeen-Milera
15. GWS Giants - Butler
16. Brisbane Lions - Bazzo
17. Richmond - Goater
18. Sydney Swans - Sonsie
19. Melbourne - Van Rooyen
20. Brisbane Lions - Wilmot

I don’t believe Essendon go Knevitt.

I would be really p!ssed if Brisbane went Bazzo ahead of Sinn or Goater at our first selection.

 

[briztoon]

If i'm a Brisbane supporter, i'd be spewing if we missed out on Goater and Sinn!

What he said.