Mangus
Team Captain
Getting our hands on GC pick 4 seems a stretch unless a whole lot goes in our favour and even then it probably costs our first an Gresham and possibly Howard. That pick 4 is probably going to move to 6 on draft night with a Walter bid and McKay comp pushing it out.
Top 4 look pretty locked Reid Walter McKercher Dursma
1 WC - Reid
2 GC - Walter (NGA Bid)
3 Nth - McKercher
4 Nth - Dursma (McKay Comp)
5 Haw - Watson / Curtin / Sanders
Pick 6
That puts the pick in the Watson/Curtin/Sanders range. Sanders meets the midfield need but if the AFL give Sanders to North. We are probably selecting between Watson and Curtin or IMO Conner O’Sullivan who I believe should be in that same mix.
Curtin is class but would add one more undersized defender to Wilkie and Battle. Not really addressing a need at all.
O’Sullivan to me has all the tools to be a star key defender is an interceptor tall enough to take the key forwards and really good decision maker and user. Cherry on top he is a leader, absolutely one of my favourites in the draft. He would fit perfectly with Wilkie and Battle. But it would be a reach at 6 and maybe he doesn’t have the elite potential of some of the others.
Watson is unique and might be a star but he is 4 foot tall big call to give up all that capital for a small forward. Maybe a King Watson duo transforms our forward line but equally there is a chance that the step up in size weight speeed at AFL level is to much for him.
Sanders would be the best fit for our immediate needs high production midfielder big barrel chested type with a burst when he needs it but just racks up the possessions
If we stay at pick 13 that is likely to drift out to 17 or 18 by the time we pick well out of the range of O’Sullivan and Wilson. Means we are really picking outside the elite group I actually wouldn’t be against trading out our first into next years draft as long as we got something back in this draft I think it is the kind of draft you can do better with two high 20’s pick than one mid to late teens pick. Most picks after about 12 are going to be speculative this year not a lot of separation from 12 to 40. Obviously that only makes sense if the ones Toce does like are going to be around in the 20’s and 30’s and I don’t watch enough to differentiate between that big group.
There are a few talents that haven’t set the world on fire in the champs or seem to have drifted - Ashton Moir looked like a top 5 pick last year now not in the top 30 cynical side says he might be tanking like Jack Darling did to increase the chance of staying in Adelaide.
Archer Reid could be a good key forward didn’t really light it up after looking the goods last year. Then there is Tholstrup and DeLean Lorenz and even Philliacides the drop off I think has really diluted this draft because there hasn’t been a lot pushing up to displace them more them just not performing.
No doubt there will be diamonds in the teens twenties and thirties so a real test of Toce and our draft teams eye. Shows why it is hard to make the leap from mid table list to contender.
Top 4 look pretty locked Reid Walter McKercher Dursma
1 WC - Reid
2 GC - Walter (NGA Bid)
3 Nth - McKercher
4 Nth - Dursma (McKay Comp)
5 Haw - Watson / Curtin / Sanders
Pick 6
That puts the pick in the Watson/Curtin/Sanders range. Sanders meets the midfield need but if the AFL give Sanders to North. We are probably selecting between Watson and Curtin or IMO Conner O’Sullivan who I believe should be in that same mix.
Curtin is class but would add one more undersized defender to Wilkie and Battle. Not really addressing a need at all.
O’Sullivan to me has all the tools to be a star key defender is an interceptor tall enough to take the key forwards and really good decision maker and user. Cherry on top he is a leader, absolutely one of my favourites in the draft. He would fit perfectly with Wilkie and Battle. But it would be a reach at 6 and maybe he doesn’t have the elite potential of some of the others.
Watson is unique and might be a star but he is 4 foot tall big call to give up all that capital for a small forward. Maybe a King Watson duo transforms our forward line but equally there is a chance that the step up in size weight speeed at AFL level is to much for him.
Sanders would be the best fit for our immediate needs high production midfielder big barrel chested type with a burst when he needs it but just racks up the possessions
If we stay at pick 13 that is likely to drift out to 17 or 18 by the time we pick well out of the range of O’Sullivan and Wilson. Means we are really picking outside the elite group I actually wouldn’t be against trading out our first into next years draft as long as we got something back in this draft I think it is the kind of draft you can do better with two high 20’s pick than one mid to late teens pick. Most picks after about 12 are going to be speculative this year not a lot of separation from 12 to 40. Obviously that only makes sense if the ones Toce does like are going to be around in the 20’s and 30’s and I don’t watch enough to differentiate between that big group.
There are a few talents that haven’t set the world on fire in the champs or seem to have drifted - Ashton Moir looked like a top 5 pick last year now not in the top 30 cynical side says he might be tanking like Jack Darling did to increase the chance of staying in Adelaide.
Archer Reid could be a good key forward didn’t really light it up after looking the goods last year. Then there is Tholstrup and DeLean Lorenz and even Philliacides the drop off I think has really diluted this draft because there hasn’t been a lot pushing up to displace them more them just not performing.
No doubt there will be diamonds in the teens twenties and thirties so a real test of Toce and our draft teams eye. Shows why it is hard to make the leap from mid table list to contender.
