happy punter
Club Legend
- Mar 29, 2009
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Dockers -23.5 to finish the weekend
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AFL preseason betting
- Thread starter demon_fanatic
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- Jan 28, 2015
- 3,470
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- Adelaide
Ended up putting 1U on Crows +25.5
Gift
Norm Smith Medallist
If Freo tries then they will win easily. Someone ask Ross Lyon.
happy punter
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- Mar 29, 2009
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Bombers win, Dockers no good.
- Aug 15, 2011
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Ha got that one wrong. Freo in 3rd gear
- Aug 15, 2011
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On GWS at 3.30 and on eagles 1.08 when i could
God on West Coast - 55.5. Gold Coast have such a weak team going over. Should be triple digits.
- Aug 15, 2011
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Isnt it 60.5?
Yeah I got on before it moved. Massive line but they should be able to cover.
The Lions price was all over the place today on Sportsbet as well. Started at $1.50, moved to $2.10 and ended up at $1.89. Bookies clearly have no idea.
- Aug 15, 2011
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2U Brisbane SU @1.89
2U GWS SU @3.30
1U Pies SU 1.67
Plenty more on eagles at 1.08 maybe abrely worth it.
2U GWS SU @3.30
1U Pies SU 1.67
Plenty more on eagles at 1.08 maybe abrely worth it.
What is the point with odds at 1.08? Such a high risk for minimal money. The lowest I would go is around 1.20.
- Jun 23, 2014
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If they are 1.08 and they should be 1.01, you should bet on them at 1.08. Simple.
That is a dangerous way of thinking about bets. WCE could lose this game. It isn't a forgone conclusion. There is no point betting when you only stand to win a few dollars. You will eventually lose if you continually bet on these odds and then you'll be far behind.
- Banned
- #140
No you won't
Anyone with this mindset shouldn't be betting. I hope your parents are only giving you a few dollars at a time.
A11dAtP0w3R
Dumpster Fire Diver
- Oct 18, 2013
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So if something is 8X the odds you price them at you shouldnt bet? Ok..
iluvparis
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I love when footy season comes around 
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- #144
If you actually rate it $1.01 then yes backing it at $1.08 is worth it mathematically- you place the bet 100 times you win 99 thus profitable to do so
Personally I struggle backing sub $1.50 shots even if value as punting is as much a mental game as a mathematical one and I hate losing on short odds pops. There's no mathematical logic behind it but it's a personal preference
Yes WC could lose the game, thats why it's $1.01 not $1.00. But if you have priced it right then long term you win even if very very short
Personally I struggle backing sub $1.50 shots even if value as punting is as much a mental game as a mathematical one and I hate losing on short odds pops. There's no mathematical logic behind it but it's a personal preference
Yes WC could lose the game, thats why it's $1.01 not $1.00. But if you have priced it right then long term you win even if very very short
I personally wont bother taking anything sub $1.20 because you either have to stake too much or its not worth it for me. But if you have something rated $1.02 and it comes up $1.10 then i wouldnt begrudge you backing it as its the "right" option
A11dAtP0w3R
Dumpster Fire Diver
- Oct 18, 2013
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Surely west coast are tanking. 1.01 yeah right
Eagles paying 2 bucks to win right now, might leave it though since it's NAB cup but surely GC youngins run out of legs
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