Imagine yourself as a Carlton player drafted in Dow's position.
You've seen a number of your mates persisted with, given "final" opportunities or outright delisted before being rookie listed. Every time the club does this the player's career is revitalised. The kick up the backside has worked, the additional hard work they've put into doing what the club demands pays dividends.
At the same time you have seen just as many - perhaps even more - depart the club. Some of them given supposedly better opportunities elsewhere. None of them have yet to make the club regret it's decision including the latest one to do this, SPS.
IF you were contracted and saw both of these scenarios being played out simultaneously you'd want to stay too.
It's clearly a case of the player wanting the club more than the club wanting the player and it's very easy to see why.
That's not to say we won't eventually get stung by delisting the wrong player but it hasn't happened recently.
I'm afraid I disagree that you'd want to stay and, if he were my son or brother, I'd definitely be advising him to explore his options.
During the debate about sacking Teague last year, one of primary criticisms on this board was that we had failed miserably in developing our young players and this very conveniently overlooked the fact that throughout his tenure there was no VFL which, oddly, is the development league. But this isn't about Teague, it's about what has happened this season re Dow.
The coach made no bones about Dow at the beginning of the year when he stated (paraphrasing) that Paddy wasn't competing for any position in the seniors, he was competing for one. It seems that this led to him playing exclusively on the ball in the twos with no attempt whatsoever to add another string to his bow.
He obviously had 5 players ahead of him and given that he won our VFL B&F and finished 6th in the Liston Medal (only one player above him is on an AFL list) it seems, from a distance, that he upheld his side of the bargain. Yet we had 14 games with at least one of the big 5 out and he was selected twice. In fact we had 3 of them out for the last 2 matches and he still couldn't get a jumper. In the two games he did play he averaged about 65% of game time, sat on the bench for the first 16 minutes of the second, attended 9 centre bounces out of a possible 33 and had 3 centre clearances. In his first game against Collingwood he was a long way from our worst with 21 disp, 5 cc's, 5 tackles and 5 score assists at 76% DE. After that game the coach was quite disparaging of his performance...way to lift a player.
In short, if I were Paddy I would certainly be looking elsewhere if I actually wanted a career in the AFL and the only thing that would sway me toward staying is if I'd been promised a different development program in end of season interviews. If not I think he is selling himself short by staying as it's very difficult to see anything different next year with our 5 on ballers.
It's nice to want to stay with friends but it's better if you're actually playing with them and I'd be asking myself what the odds are of that if all things are equal next year.
I know none of this will be popular but I think he has been subjected to a very poor development year and the bar seems to have gotten higher for him than it has for others.
BTW in his first year he played 20 games on the ball in a team that finished 2 wins behind the second last team with a percentage of 59 and I thought he was going to be a gun, so I do have a little bias cause I hate being wrong.