Can Adelaide still make the 8 this season?

[bobshoby]

We'll be 0-6 in 2 weeks time and in our current form even richmond can't be taken for granted. Won't make finals this year, barring some miracle.

However next year i'm confident we'll rebound nicely, whether neil craig will still be our coach is much less certain.

 

[Asgardian]

Making the 2010 finals now is probably too be an ask for the crows

They'll suffer rebuilding pains in 2011

They'll have to replace Doughty, Edwards, Hentschell, Burton, Griffin, Jacky, Armstrong, Douglas, Reilly, Stevens (if the concussion he has turns out real serious?) and possibly Goodwin, McLeod & Moran (if his knee is a degenerative issue?)

That much of a list turnover is a rebuild in anyone's language, hence requiring a few seasons to recover.

Then questions have to be asked about the coach.

He has all the sports science knowledge needed, he's determined, bullish, stubborn and 100% believes he is correct in his methods.

Those character traits combined will only get you so far in the AFL, hence the consistency the crows have enjoyed in being a perpetual finalist, always a bridesmaid, but never the bride.

Another factor which is hardly ever mentioned is that Craig never played AFL/VFL footy. The last guys to be closest to that record would be Gerard Neesham, who played 9 VFL games in the 1 season, and John Cahill, as a coach only, who had 1 reasonable season out of 4, IIRC.

AFL footy these days is a meat grinder, you have to be flexible, aggressive, innovative and a risk taker. None of which I see in Craig.

Their way forward is clear, at least it is to me, a new coach, a player cleanout, a coaching box cleanout and a retention of more of the money that they generate.

 

[LET ME TALK]

YES - technically. IMO will they? NO

they will be 1-7 so i dont know if many would make it back from there. Too many injuries.

 

[WALL-e]

Our problem is we're out of form and injured and subsequently dropped games in the 'easy' part of our schedule.

It gets tougher from here and we'll really be pushing to make it unless we turn things around quickly.

 

[wicked77]

It looks like 2004 all over again

 

[wicked77]

I hope I'm not doubling up in a previous post in this thread as I havent bothered to read all the pages. In regards to 2004 where they lost their first 4. Has this already been spoken about which I'm think it has been ha

 

[PortBrillance]

It looks like 2004 all over again

I hope so

 

[King Elvis]

They'll have to replace Doughty, Edwards, Hentschell, Burton, Griffin, Jacky, Armstrong, Douglas, Reilly, Stevens (if the concussion he has turns out real serious?) and possibly Goodwin, McLeod & Moran (if his knee is a degenerative issue?)

But of a weird list there.

We have to replace Jacky and Armstrong? Wow, that's massive.

 

[HBF]

Can't see it happening on their current form, but, if they can get their key players back into form, you never know. Based on last years form, they are too good a team to be playing the sort of footy they are now.

 

[AG]

If they win the showdown they might. That would be a massive win for confidence and it might springboard them into form.

 

[clobba]

yeah but nah

 

[Invigoration]

They'll have to replace Jacky, Armstrong, Douglas, Reilly, Stevens

Sure...

 

[King Elvis]

We might scrape into the 8 purely based on how even the comp is - like last year, when Essendon got in there with a poor W/L record.

But we're screwed for the year, so it doesn't matter; we're way, way too far behind the 8 ball.

 

[Asgardian]

But of a weird list there.

We have to replace Jacky and Armstrong? Wow, that's massive.

It's the quantity of players that will need to be turned over.

The list I compiled is of course subjective.

We've all seen it at other clubs when they've had to turn over 10 or 11 or 12 players for example, which is a quarter of the list, those clubs have felt the burden of a rebuild, which historically requires 3 or 4 years to rebound from.

 

[The House]

Adelaide have been a real enigma over the past few years. When people expect them to have a good year, they fail. When it's expected they will fail, they prove everyone wrong.

Just shows how injuries can take their toll. I know. it happened to my team last year.

Essendon happened to your team last year...

 

[wicked77]

I hope so

Ha it just might be 2004 all over again. They finished on 12th position that year and that position sounds too high for them this year

 

[Pilchard_Adams]

Neil Craig won't coach out the season. Bookmark it.

Why do people think he wont be coaching? Its not like he is failing with a fully fit squad. There is a huge difference in the fitness of some players due to pre season injury, and 7 first choice players not in the side,as compared to last year. Take any random top 22 players, and take away another 5 or 6 players preseason from any team in the comp and they will struggle.

Adelaide played horrible in some games last year but still won. They played horrible vs Carlton and still had more scoring shots. Missed many easy goals. Had they have kicked with a normal accuracy % they would have won. They lost it for themselves.

It will turn around, players will regain fitness and come back from injury.

 

[HyperAgressiveDonk]

Yes they will and they will also roll the Doggies Friday night to get their season kick started

 

[wicked77]

Match of the year Richmond V Adelaide, should be a cracker.

 

[mcuzzy]

richmond to be the first side they beat you reckon?

 

[wicked77]

richmond to be the first side they beat you reckon?

Ha could be a win for Richmond. Their both on par with each other

 

[wicked77]

richmond to be the first side they beat you reckon?

Ha could be a win for Richmond. That will be their chance anyway

 

[dan warna]

Mathematically Richmond can still win the minor premiership, however they will need a few games to fall their way....

 

[HyperAgressiveDonk]

richmond to be the first side they beat you reckon?

Every team who plays Richmond this year is a guaranteed win.

 

[Maddhew]

if adelaide lose their next 2 they are goooone

might need 13 wins to make the 8 this year, they would need to win 13 of the last 16 just to make it.