Rumour GFC 2024 Player Trading, Drafting FA, Rumours and Wish lists Pt 3

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Here's 2024 Provisional AFL Draft Order

Cheers to Lore for their hard work in setting this up, and making it available for all users on BF to use and keep track of the picks ahead of the upcoming draft - and please practice patience grasshoppers if it's not updated in the immediate aftermath of completed trade





I'll also sticky this post to ensure it's easily accessible for discussion of our hypothetical trader


Also,

2024 Draft and Trade Period Key Dates​

Oct 17 to Nov 8: Pick swap window
Nov 1 to Nov 8: Delisted free agency period
Nov 20-21: Telstra AFL Draft
Nov 22: Telstra Pre-Season Draft and Rookie Draft
 
Really don’t want to concede our FR1 for late rd 1 early rd 2 picks.

IMO it’s ok to have a passive year now and again.
It trading doesn’t mean losing
go catters
 

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There's a reason we say we "aren't Collingwood" rather than oppo fans looking at that scenario and saying "well aren't geelong"

My rationale was that we are apparently interested in Gerreyn and Clarke who will go around the mark of those 2 Bomber picks. If you assume (with now what seems a reasonable draw) we finish top 4 next year then we have a pick around 15-17 again. With a draft heavily compromised by academy selections that pick no longer has quite the appeal. Maybe it’s better to trade for 2 players we like in this years draft and gain a year in development?

Worthy of consideration I would have thought.
 
Really don’t want to concede our FR1 for late rd 1 early rd 2 picks.

IMO it’s ok to have a passive year now and again.
It trading doesn’t mean losing
go catters

depend where the 2 picks are, we shown recently we hit our mid to low range picks more than the high ones. if the recruiters reckon they can jag two decent talents this years i say do it.
 
My rationale was that we are apparently interested in Gerreyn and Clarke who will go around the mark of those 2 Bomber picks. If you assume (with now what seems a reasonable draw) we finish top 4 next year then we have a pick around 15-17 again. With a draft heavily compromised by academy selections that pick no longer has quite the appeal. Maybe it’s better to trade for 2 players we like in this years draft and gain a year in development?

Worthy of consideration I would have thought.
Yeah but your assumption is a huge one and likely fatal to the outcome
 
My rationale was that we are apparently interested in Gerreyn and Clarke who will go around the mark of those 2 Bomber picks. If you assume (with now what seems a reasonable draw) we finish top 4 next year then we have a pick around 15-17 again. With a draft heavily compromised by academy selections that pick no longer has quite the appeal. Maybe it’s better to trade for 2 players we like in this years draft and gain a year in development?

Worthy of consideration I would have thought.

There are 2 problems with that.

Firstly those Essendon picks will slide to about picks 31 and 34 after bids matching. Giving up a future first feels like a huge amount for 2 picks outside 30.

The second and much bigger problem with trading with Essendon is we have to trade before the Kako bid so won't know who will be available. We could find we've traded our future 1st for 2 guys who aren't actually there by the time our picks come.

Meanwhile our first pick (45) will probably come in to about 40 after pick matching. Our second pick (57) will probably come in to 50. So we're not that far away from those picks anyway.

We're better off waiting until the various bids have been matched and see who's still on the board in the mid-late 20s. If we're really keen on someone we might be able to upgrade that pick 40 using a future 2nd or 3rd rather than giving up our future 1st.
 
There are 2 problems with that.

Firstly those Essendon picks will slide to about picks 31 and 34 after bids matching. Giving up a future first feels like a huge amount for 2 picks outside 30.

The second and much bigger problem with trading with Essendon is we have to trade before the Kako bid so won't know who will be available. We could find we've traded our future 1st for 2 guys who aren't actually there by the time our picks come.

Meanwhile our first pick (45) will probably come in to about 40 after pick matching. Our second pick (57) will probably come in to 50. So we're not that far away from those picks anyway.

We're better off waiting until the various bids have been matched and see who's still on the board in the mid-late 20s. If we're really keen on someone we might be able to upgrade that pick 40 using a future 2nd or 3rd rather than giving up our future 1st.

That’s very true. You’d only consider it if you were sure the players you wanted would be there.
 
Unfortunately not possible as the bombers will have to do the trade prior to matching the bid for Kako

I know that. Not sure how much intel Wells/Mackie have but they’d have a fair idea I would have thought whether the teams with picks around that stage of the draft had interest in those 2 players.

Probably a moot point anyway. Unlikely to occur.
 
I know that. Not sure how much intel Wells/Mackie have but they’d have a fair idea I would have thought whether the teams with picks around that stage of the draft had interest in those 2 players.

Probably a moot point anyway. Unlikely to occur.

The most likely is for Richmond's last 2 picks. Picks 23 and 24 before bids.

Carlton traded their future 1st and 2nd for 14 before bids. The F2 isn't worth much and they're shorter odds for the flag than us. So our F1 would be worth pick a pick inside 20 before bids.

So future 1st for 23 and 24 isn't far off. That picks will become about 27 and 28. If we love a couple of guys still on the board I'd do our F1 plus maybe our current 2nd pick (will be ~50 after bids) for 27 and 28. But we have to know what's left on the board to pull the trigger.
 

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Rumour GFC 2024 Player Trading, Drafting FA, Rumours and Wish lists Pt 3

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