Racing Melbourne Cup 2017

[iluvparis]

FWIW Racing and Post rated Marmelo's Kergolay win 2 pounds superior to Red C's Belmont win. I didn't bother checking any others.

 

[iluvparis]

For those interested - best performance this season according to Racing Post (rating in pounds)

Rekindling - 118 - Irish St Leger Trial
Marmelo - 115 - Kergolay
Thomas Hobson - 115 - Ascot Stakes
Wall Of Fire - 114 - Geoffrey Freer
Tiberian - 113 - Grand Prix de Deauville
Red Cardinal - 113 - Belmont Gold Cup
Nakeeta - 113 - Ebor

 

[TBellicious]

Rekindling is a very interesting runner, one which I have heard next to nothing about.

 

[FallingLiefs]

that's nice and all but it's a proven fact weight does not affect horses.

 

[Jugada]

Rekindling should be one of those ones that starts $20-$30 on the tote on the day with no one here knowing anything about it and it unlikely to get any media coverage

Also Tiberian drifting out to $21 when everything else shortens is ridiculous

 

[iluvparis]

Rekindling has never excited me visually but on the exposed form he looks super well in at the weights. Going to be hard not to have something on him on the day.

#inb4lloydpacemaker

 

[iluvparis]

Anyone know the biggest SP for the fave in the last 30 years? Could challenge it this year

 

[TBellicious]

Anyone know the biggest SP for the fave in the last 30 years? Could challenge it this year

Fiorente was roughly 7s in 2013 I believe

 

[TBellicious]

https://www.racenet.com.au/melbourne-cup/favourites

There you go. $7 is just about it

 

[IKnowtheDog]

that's nice and all but it's a proven fact weight does not affect horses.

L.K.S MacKinnon disagrees with you

 

[rideclutch]

Rekindling has never excited me visually but on the exposed form he looks super well in at the weights. Going to be hard not to have something on him on the day.

#inb4lloydpacemaker

Haha does he even have any pace? Replays I watched he was always out the back.

#inb4dandinorun

 

[iluvparis]

Haha does he even have any pace? Replays I watched he was always out the back.

#inb4dandinorun

Yup - looks a solid grinder - don't think I've ever seen him show a hint of a turn of foot in my life.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Tiberian $26 on SB now

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Tiberian $26 on SB now

Everything that’s not Ventura Storm should be 100-1

 

[Tippaz]

i'm liking Wall Of Fire at this stage

i like my overseas horses to have a prep run before the MC (2nd in Herbert Power)
i feel it's the right age (5yr old) good weight (53kg) and a nice three-word name

 

[LukeParkerno1]

You are game backing a horse with butcher Williams on board!

Be prepared to be Willlowed

 

[Jugada]

Humidor should eat up a good chunk of the market after that run

 

[juice t]

Humidor pumped into $7.50 second line

 

[Gavin Excell]

Humidor pumped into $7.50 second line

And that's value

Weir has confirmed if comes through things ok is on track for the Cup

If it can stay its miles better than these

 

[Jugada]

And that's value

Weir has confirmed if comes through things ok is on track for the Cup

If it can stay its miles better than these

Yeah but on all evidence so far it can't stay so its not value

He was very average at the end of 2400m in the CC, no surprises to see him run better back to 2000m today. Then 3 starts in 3 weeks for a horse suspect at the trip is not great either

 

[FallingLiefs]

Yeah but on all evidence so far it can't stay so its not value

He was very average at the end of 2400m in the CC, no surprises to see him run better back to 2000m today. Then 3 starts in 3 weeks for a horse suspect at the trip is not great either

curious as to your thoughts on 3 starts in 3 weeks and its correlation to being able to get distance?

 

[juice t]

Get searching Lloyd

 

[half_back_flank]

Oli is ****ed, overhead view is damning.

He'll miss the Flemington Carnival, won't be surprised if Dirty Dean belts him up in the car park either.

 

[Jugada]

curious as to your thoughts on 3 starts in 3 weeks and its correlation to being able to get distance?

3 hard runs in 3 weeks is energy sapping. I dont think he will stay anyway but that is going to show up any weakness more

 

[juice t]

There's only one man who can save you now Lloyd