Prediction National Draft 2024

[BeinPurplenGreen]

Some of you guys just do not get it.
You don’t start with a list of positions you need to fill and just pick whatever neatly ticks that box, you scout by talent always. Thank god we don’t have Bigfooty posters running the place and picking whatevers ‘required’ inevitably glossing over future stars of the game.

Thankfully David Walls does get it and has knack for spotting out gems and does so every year in spite of Freo fans melting every year. Our drafting has been by far the best part of our operations for yonks now. Think we’ve got a couple more good ones this year too

Annnnnd here we have it, this year's gen-u-ine, all in, no holds barred, first anti-melt melt.

Well done!!

 

[freo_leo29]

Suddenly brissy have a decent points stock for next year

All because people didn't bid on their players

 

[Alfonz]

Carr is a lock I'm pretty sure, probably stopped us loading up on another HBF for this year and it might be Whan's best spot at AFL level as well

Pretty sure Carr is a forward, not HBF.

 

[Snuffaluphagus]

Pretty sure Carr is a forward, not HBF.

I honestly heard skinny and elite kick and just assumed haha

 

[freo_leo29]

Interesting we could have bought back in if we wanted to but clearly arent interested

Carr firming but jeez it's weird after already picking a taller forward

 

[freo_leo29]

I honestly heard skinny and elite kick and just assumed haha

Defs a forward

 

[Tonga Bob]

Geelong: "If you cowards don't bid on Brisbane kids we'll bloody well do it!"

 

[Polo342]

Eagles with 2 picks now in next 4. Surely Davies to them

 

[freo_leo29]

Cats doing the bidding this year lol

 

[Arcassius]

good to see Geelong making people pay

 

[freo_leo29]

Eagles with 2 picks now in next 4. Surely Davies to them

Yeah ffs and then champion late

They've done well if it all comes together

 

[Lach72]

Good on Geelong. Starting to clean out some picks

 

[CakeEater]

Geelong: "If you cowards don't bid on Brisbane kids we'll bloody well do it!"

Should be more of it.

Dare I say it, they cant have their cake and eat it to.

 

[MadMac]

Cats doing the public service here

 

[s_wd6]

Defs a forward

Thought as much. Interesting with the Nicholls pick really. I guess they're betting on an Irish guy to groom up hbf and Narkle for some small depth. Kozzie next year? idk.

 

[Dockeroo]

Some of you guys just do not get it.
You don’t start with a list of positions you need to fill and just pick whatever neatly ticks that box, you scout by talent always. Thank god we don’t have Bigfooty posters running the place and picking whatevers ‘required’ inevitably glossing over future stars of the game.

Thankfully David Walls does get it and has knack for spotting out gems and does so every year in spite of Freo fans melting every year. Our drafting has been by far the best part of our operations for yonks now. Think we’ve got a couple more good ones this year too

Incredible how many people just do not understand this.

I think the best way to describe how the actual clubs look at it is to imagine you went back in time say, 10 or 12 years ago and were drafting for your list today, but from the 2013 or 2014 draft, but you knew how good (talented) each player has been in reality since that date.
You wouldn’t pick on needs. You’d just pick the best players one by one and skip over all the guys that turned out to be duds.
All listen managers try to project now, who are going to be those duds.


If Walls thinks there is a 60% chance that Charlie Nicholls makes it but he also thinks the best small forward left has only a 10% chance of making it long term at the level, he’s going to pick the 60% chance every single time. Even if we need a small forward more than a key forward in 2025.

Walls clearly thinks that Nicholl is going to be a superior AFL player than Alger or Boxshall or Clarke, or whoever else was touted on this board at this pick. Thats really all that matters in the end.

 

[freo_leo29]

I wonder if we would've traded with brissy if one of those picks was ahead of wce?

Probably too risky trading in after them, especially with their 2x picks, Davis will defs be gone

 

[malpaso]

We have no good forward pockets, full stop.

We didn't need to reach though when there were higher rated players available.

 

[Snuffaluphagus]

So Saints watch three teams trade a future 3rd for a pick in the 40s then give up a F2 for 45...

SOS on fire

 

[freo_leo29]

Woah saints pay up to buy in

 

[_007_]

Alger and Davis still of interest.

 

[freo_leo29]

So Saints watch three teams trade a future 3rd for a pick in the 40s then give up a F2 for 45...

SOS on fire

They got in ahead of everyone else though

Whose 2nd do they hold? It's defs risky

 

[Alfonz]

Incredible how many people just do not understand this.

I think the best way to describe how the actual clubs look at it is to imagine you went back in time say, 10 or 12 years ago and were drafting for your list today, but from the 2013 or 2014 draft, but you knew how good (talented) each player has been in reality since that date.
You wouldn’t pick on needs. You’d just pick the best players one by one and skip over all the guys that turned out to be duds.
All listen managers try to project now, who are going to be those duds.


If Walls thinks there is a 60% chance that Charlie Nicholls makes it but he also thinks the best small forward left has only a 10% chance of making it long term at the level, he’s going to pick the 60% chance every single time. Even if we need a small forward more than a key forward in 2025.

Walls clearly thinks that Nicholl is going to be a superior AFL player than Alger or Boxshall or Clarke, or whoever else was touted on this board at this pick. Thats really all that matters in the end.

Sure, but it's probably not going to be 60% versus 10%. When you have a rankings list, each one is not going to be that far behind the previous one. It could be 60% versus 55%, and in that case there is an argument to take the 55% option if they better suit needs. Having said that, a KPF (with versatility to be a fast KPD) could be deemed a need with Jones going down and our fastest KPD Pearce approaching the end.

 

[freo_leo29]

Cats doing cats things

 

[Lach72]

Saints to take Davis?