I don't know why anybody would bet on next year's premiers before trade week, unless you're quite certain a club may get a player. Carlton or Hawthorn getting Taz, or Fremantle getting Clark will make them a much stronger chance. I think Hawthorn will be a good chance next year, as the Cats and Dogs start to slide. However, $8 is way too short for them and doesn't present any value.
Why not?
I jumped on the pies last year at 20-1 after we lost the Prelim, and got on again after we picked up Jolly at 14-1.
Then when the Lions picked up Fev and shortened to 11's, I was offering 20's on betfair. I was a bit nervous for a few weeks on that one.