I think the important question is: can the Dees beat the top 4 sides. They should at worst make the 8 as they have a tough run home. I think as long as they have a genuine shot at winning those games, win or lose they'll be a contender.Probably the same top 3 and order that I have right now. Don't think Melbourne or the Dogs beating Richmond would shift that either.
In fact I'd have Wet Toast over the Dees as well, and even Sydney would be at a very similar level to Melbourne. Melbourne simply haven't beaten a good, in form team yet. If they beat Richmond next week I'd move them in to fourth.