- Oct 8, 2004
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AFLW 2024 - Round 4 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Wet Toast did spank the crers in Perf in 2015
I would like to sneak into the top 4 and get the crows in week one. We've already been smashed by them this year and been smashed by them in a final. If we lose it's a bit of a case of "oh well, it sucks, but we've already been here so i'll just deal with it and move onto next week".
There would be HUGE expectation and pressure on them and very little on us. It's almost a free hit at them. Almost.
We've been smashed by every team we are likely to face (Crows, Melb, Dons).I would like to sneak into the top 4 and get the crows in week one. We've already been smashed by them this year and been smashed by them in a final. If we lose it's a bit of a case of "oh well, it sucks, but we've already been here so i'll just deal with it and move onto next week".
There would be HUGE expectation and pressure on them and very little on us. It's almost a free hit at them. Almost.
Should have based it more off of the peles than the crows.
I would like to sneak into the top 4 and get the crows in week one. We've already been smashed by them this year and been smashed by them in a final. If we lose it's a bit of a case of "oh well, it sucks, but we've already been here so i'll just deal with it and move onto next week".
There would be HUGE expectation and pressure on them and very little on us. It's almost a free hit at them. Almost.
Wrote this soon after the showdown loss.
Top 4 is within reach and in the space of 1 month we'll be a totally different unit to the one that lost to Adelaide by 90 points, especially if it's s sunny day.
Adelaide is beatable. If it bleeds...
True, but let's not forget they also beat them at AO in the last round in 2016 as well.Yeah, understandable in the circumstances.
Please don't let *emotional nourishment* become part of AFL vernacular.. Bolts please ugh
True, but let's not forget they also beat them at AO in the last round in 2016 as well.
To the mathematicians around, I have some questions.
SANFL's percentage is [PF/(PF+PA)]*100, while AFL's is (PF/PA)*100.
Is there a substantial difference between the two? Yesterday I came to realize that AFL's % privileges good defenses more than good offenses, since low scoring teams seem to get a bigger percentage booster. Is that true?
Perhaps a way to favour attacking would be Goal Differential, like this:
GD = (PF/6)–(PA/6)
What do you all think?
Maybe Sydney wont destroy Carlton next week?
Either that or Carlton just played their Grand Final and will get blown out by 120 next weekend.
It pretty funny that the AFL and channel 7 have scheduled a game next week in its flagship time slot with nothing riding on it other than i being the farewell game of two individuals.
I hope it gets the lowest ratings of any Friday night game ever.
How do you even promote such a dud fixture?
I believe that the SANFL percentages and the AFL percentages are equivalent in the order which they rank teams for a given PA and PF, so it shouldn't matter which you use. If you substitute x = PF/PA (the AFL formula) into the SANFL equation you get SANFL% = AFL%/(AFL%+100%). The SANFL equation does have the nice property of seemingly shrinking the differences between teams though, a range from 38% - 60% looks like a healthier competition than 63% - 153%.
You will change your percentage more if you have fewer points against, that's true, although it does cut both ways - a huge loss will put a big dent in your percentage. That means that the ideal percentage boosting tactic would be to play Ross Lyonball against the top teams and then come out super aggressive against the bottom teams.
Your Goal Differential idea is interesting, although it is unfairly harsh on defensive teams, as most will agree that a 70 - 58 win is much more convincing than a 122 - 110 win and these would be rewarded the same. Although you could argue that it's not a bad idea in terms of rewarding attacking football, it would be too uneven across teams that play in the wet and then teams with Etihad home games.