I mean I do agree, moreso just because Sydney are the form team and another QF loss will hurt our momentum (no matter a SF win).This is now must win. A loss means having to go through the Swans at the SCG to make the GF.
We have 1... ONE. Finals win outside Victoria in our history. And that was 2020 when we spent the whole season interstate.
The interstate factor? 1-5 isn't great. Weren't we the lower ranked side in 4 of the 5 losses though? During our best years we played MCG tenants.
Our MCG tenant record since the last flag is 1-6, often with Geelong as the higher ranked team. So I'm putting the differential of home Vs interstate down as irrelevant.
I think our side prefers the open expenses of the G though.