JaxsonB
Team Captain
- Aug 10, 2015
- 425
- 326
- AFL Club
- West Coast
It's not the easiest game we could've started with - an away game against a team with a lot of spirit regardless of what men they have out on the field - but I'm tipping us to win by a few goals. We've had a pretty solid team for a few years now, and while not having our first 2 choice ruckmen sucks, we have good players all over the field.
The biggest issue is going to be West Coast themselves - can they show some mental fortitude given that it's the start of the season and they're in enemy territory?
I think so. Simpson spoke this week about how much last year's finish burned into him (and you know 2015 was even worse), so I'd think he'd have put some focus on making sure everyone has the right "do or die" mentality about this season. That's one of the reasons they brought Mitchell in - sure, they got a Brownlow medalist for a dime, and it's also so he can transition into assistant coaching in a year or two - but make no mistake, they want his leadership while the premiership window is open.
Also, I remember reading something in an AFL article or watching a video about our first-round away games in recent years, so I looked into it a bit further:
2010: away against Brisbane, lost by 34 - they finished 13th out of 16, but that was also the year we won the spoon, so with 4 wins for the year we were losing most of our away games that year
2011: home against North, won by 4 - we finished 4th, them 9th
2012: away against Bulldogs, won by 49 - we finished 5th, they finished 15th out of 18, so fair performance
2013: 'away' against Fremantle, lost by 28 - we finished 13th that year, while the Dockers finished third and made the GF
2014: home against Bulldogs, won by 65 - we finished 9th, they finished 14th, so good scoreline considering that
2015: away game against Bulldogs, lost by 10 - we finished 2nd, they finished 6th, so losing a first round game to a fellow finalist on their home turf by only 10 points is acceptable
2016: home against Brisbane, won by 64 - we finished 6th, they finished 17th, so a bit of a drubbing
Seriously, whoever made that comment... since 2010, we've lost 2 first round games outside of Perth. One when we performed so badly that year that we only got 4 wins (basically that it being the first round didn't really mean anything), and one by less than 2 goals against arguably the second best Melbourne team for that year.
After looking into that, I don't think the first round away 'factor' is a real thing, and am a bit more confident that we'll win, given that we're a chance to make the 4 this year and North looks like they'll miss the finals, and we've typically won and lost our first round games as final ladder placings predict we would.
The biggest issue is going to be West Coast themselves - can they show some mental fortitude given that it's the start of the season and they're in enemy territory?
I think so. Simpson spoke this week about how much last year's finish burned into him (and you know 2015 was even worse), so I'd think he'd have put some focus on making sure everyone has the right "do or die" mentality about this season. That's one of the reasons they brought Mitchell in - sure, they got a Brownlow medalist for a dime, and it's also so he can transition into assistant coaching in a year or two - but make no mistake, they want his leadership while the premiership window is open.
Also, I remember reading something in an AFL article or watching a video about our first-round away games in recent years, so I looked into it a bit further:
2010: away against Brisbane, lost by 34 - they finished 13th out of 16, but that was also the year we won the spoon, so with 4 wins for the year we were losing most of our away games that year
2011: home against North, won by 4 - we finished 4th, them 9th
2012: away against Bulldogs, won by 49 - we finished 5th, they finished 15th out of 18, so fair performance
2013: 'away' against Fremantle, lost by 28 - we finished 13th that year, while the Dockers finished third and made the GF
2014: home against Bulldogs, won by 65 - we finished 9th, they finished 14th, so good scoreline considering that
2015: away game against Bulldogs, lost by 10 - we finished 2nd, they finished 6th, so losing a first round game to a fellow finalist on their home turf by only 10 points is acceptable
2016: home against Brisbane, won by 64 - we finished 6th, they finished 17th, so a bit of a drubbing
Seriously, whoever made that comment... since 2010, we've lost 2 first round games outside of Perth. One when we performed so badly that year that we only got 4 wins (basically that it being the first round didn't really mean anything), and one by less than 2 goals against arguably the second best Melbourne team for that year.
After looking into that, I don't think the first round away 'factor' is a real thing, and am a bit more confident that we'll win, given that we're a chance to make the 4 this year and North looks like they'll miss the finals, and we've typically won and lost our first round games as final ladder placings predict we would.