Teams Team Development (Final Two Weeks)

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Not sure what I should do with my remaining cash, really want to shift something around to get in Hanners, any ideas ?
 
Hi all, I'm interested in getting feedback on this team. Of course I'm more interested in the assessment of my reasoning than just "Pick/don't pick player x, who is a gun/spud". I've been pretty unsuccessful in my two years of Supercoach so far, so any general strategy/tactics (including whether I've misinterpreted my cited sources) I seem to need will be more than welcome. To that end, I've included my reasons for omitting some of the really popular picks, and would appreciate feedback as to the soundness of such reasoning.
Backs​
Selections ($2,346,100)
  • Heath Shaw ($576,500). Has scored really well and played 22 games for the past two years. He therefore strikes me as the player with the highest probability of ending the season as a top 6 back. His average actually dropped slightly last year. Players who do this tend to improve their average the following season [1].
  • Rory Laird ($526,800). Similar to Shaw, albeit with a bit more injury risk, and probably a higher likelihood of further increasing his average. Basically just a deliberate cookie-cutter pick.
  • Tom McDonald ($488,200). Another player who has scored well and played 22 games the last two years now. Has a very high ceiling and is still young enough that he could improve. His slight decline last year bodes well for his value this year [1].
  • Caleb Marchbank ($236,100). Cookie-cutter rookie selection. Seems to be general consensus amongst Carlton supporters that he's a best-22 lock and he scored pretty well in the JLT.
  • Curtly Hampton ($160,000). Similar to Marchbank, but thankfully with a significantly lower price.
  • Andy Otten ($123,900). Looks likely to get a few games at the start of the year and in a Supercoach friendly role.
  • Tom Stewart ($117,300). Really cheap rookie who looks likely to play the first few rounds at least.
  • Joel Smith ($117,300). Similar to Stewart. The fact that he's being considered in spite of his prior injury bodes well for his job security.
Omissions
  • Sam Docherty ($591,600). Increased his average by 20+ points last year. This historically does not bode well [2].​
  • Taylor Adams ($527,800). Highly injury prone, meaning that it's very likely he'd have to be traded out. At his price I would want someone with a lower probability of wasting a trade.​
Midfielders​
Selections ($4,393,400)​
  • Patrick Dangerfield ($716,900). Basically just a cookie-cutter pick, I'm not nearly as bullish on him as most people seem to be. For one, I'm expecting his average to drop this year, after he 12 point rise last year after what had already been a PB season in 2015. I'm also not so sure about the argument based upon Geelong's easy start to the year, since he doesn't seem to be much of a flat-track bully scoring wise. But the general consensus seems to be that any average of 120+ would still make him a worthwhile pick, given his ceiling and therefore potential value as captain. I'd certainly back him to do that.
  • Adam Treloar ($605,400). A fairly young player who has scored consistently well and missed very few games for the past three years now. Still offers potential to improve, especially given that his preseason this year has been much better than it was last year.
  • Nat Fyfe ($573,500). A clear violation of my general rule not to pick injury prone premiums. His ceiling relative to his price however means that I think I have to start with him.
  • Tom Mitchell ($565,600). Another reasonably young, consistent player. His move to a now depleted Hawthorn midfield gives him plenty of opportunity to win the ball, as he has demonstrated in the JLT! The usual tagging caveat that would come with such a move seems unlikely given his relatively ineffective disposal.
  • Dyson Heppell ($513,300). Yet another young, consistent player, but with the added bonus of a 10% discount courtesy of your friendly neighbourhood injection program. Hasn't left my side all season.
  • Dayne Beams ($432,500). Has averaged ~115 since 2012, but is priced to average under 80. He's injury prone, but I'm willing to take that risk on a mid-pricer. Assuming that three mid-pricers are equivalent to one gun and two rookies, and assuming that the latter approach will require an average of two trades, the mid-pricers need only a one-in-three chance of being a keeper to actually save a trade.
  • Jaeger O'Meara ($318,900). Similar to Beams, but with lower scores and, thankfully, a lower price. I'm particularly excited about his age: Jaeger is now in his fifth season, albeit only his third playing season. Players going into their third years improve their average by a mean of 7 points [3]. Players in their fifth years will have by an average 16 points compared to their second year [3]. Of course, I would expect something closer to this former in his case, but even that would bring him just under 105, which would be an absolute steal at his price.
  • David Swallow ($280,200). Similar to the above, but cheaper still and probably with a lower ceiling. I'm willing to take all three on the basis of the trade saving reasoning explained under Beams.
  • Sam Powell-Pepper ($135,300). Don't think I really need to justify him. Would've liked to have started him on the field, and would predict an average of 70-80, but the abundance of mid-pricers has pushed him to the bench.
  • Jake Barrett ($127,900). Similar to Powell-Pepper, contingent of course upon Brisbane upgrading him from the rookie list.
  • Jarrod Pickett ($123,900). Another cookie-cutter rookie, who thankfully has been selected for round one. Offers my only DPP link.
Omissions​
  • Scott Pendlebury ($645,700). Would've liked to have started him but he doesn't really fit with my structure. He's also had some slight injury problems. Will be an upgrade target.
Rucks​
Selections (896,600)
  • Todd Goldstein ($588,400). Has been a consistently high scorer for the last few years. Last year he not only continued that trend but also showed a remarkable resilience for playing through injury. As someone whose average dropped by over 20 points last year, he can be expected to at least equal it this year [1].
  • Aaron Sandilands ($308,200). Yet another injury prone mid-pricer. His JLT form was very impressive, suggesting that he still has a very high ceiling. Has the potential to offer both significant cash generation and high scoring. If, for instance, he scored 100 in every game until round ten - in fact a significant drop on his past two full seasons - his price would rise by over $170k [4]. And he'd only need to make it to round five to gain $100k [4]. With this value, combined with his ability as a mid-pricer to save a trade, his reward seems to far outweigh his risk.
  • Jarrod Witts ($217,600). That being said, Sandilands does still provide a lot of risk, particularly for late withdrawals. The selection of Witts is largely to counterbalance that. Although rather expensive for a rookie, I also like Witts' cash generation potential. As Gold Coast's first-choice ruck I'd say his unlikely to average below 65. At this point he'd already be below even Lobbe 2015 and Leuenberger 2016 - and I'm not sure it's possible to be much worse than them. But even then he'd have gained $94k by round 10, even assuming a standard deviation of zero [4]. In a more optimistic scenario wherein he averages 80 he would have risen over $160k by then [4]. Given the scarcity of quality rookies this his year his price seems worth paying.
Omissions
  • Max Gawn ($645,000). Gawn is coming off a 16-point career high. This doesn't quite put him in the CLYP category [2], but still suggests he is likely to be rather overpriced. Rucks in particular have seemed prone to fall off the cliff after massive breakout years (e.g. Minson, Lobbe, Leuenberger, Jacobs). Even without the risk posed by Spencer, I'd be inclined against him.
Forwards​
Selections ($2,121,800)​
  • Luke Dahlhaus ($520,700). His average last year was severely affected by games in which he'd gotten injured early on. Given that his previous history of injury is relatively minor, I'd be less worried about him being an injury-risk premium. He's a very popular pick, so I don't think he needs much more justification.
  • Jack Macrae ($511,700). Similar to Dahlhaus, with the added bonus of age [3].
  • Jarryd Roughead ($367,100). My final mid-pricer, with much of the typical reasoning applying. He's averaged 95+ in every season since 2011, but is at a significantly discounted price. I'm no medical expert, but I'm pretty sure the cancer is unlikely to affect his play this year, and he seemed pretty lively in the JLT. Hawthorn giving him the captaincy shows a real vote of confidence in him. I think I'd be happy with any average above 90, but am more than willing on this area to hear feedback about what I should count as a successful season, as I certainly wouldn't expect him to go any higher than that.
  • Tim Taranto ($207,300). Generic rookie pick. Scored well in the JLT and seems to have decent job security.
  • Kayne Turner ($171,400). A rookie who will get games, not much more to say. If not selected for round one he will be out.
  • Teia Miles ($123,900). Similar to the above, but at a lower price.
  • Brandon Parfitt ($117,300). Ditto.
  • Brett Eddy ($102,400). One of very few cheap rookies I'm confident with. He will play games early and at his price needs do very little to generate cash.
Team value: $9,975,500.
Sources
1. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/2077-Fallen-Premiums-A-Statistical-Viewpoint
2. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/231-Chasing-last-years-points-(MkII)
3. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/3288-100-Season-Players-Sorted-By-Age
4. https://www.dropbox.com/s/jsur8rpaz6b7bu2/2017SupercoachscoresPlanner.xlsx?dl=0
 
tnk64 said:
Hi all, I'm interested in getting feedback on this team. Of course I'm more interested in the assessment of my reasoning than just "Pick/don't pick player x, who is a gun/spud". I've been pretty unsuccessful in my two years of Supercoach so far, so any general strategy/tactics (including whether I've misinterpreted my cited sources) I seem to need will be more than welcome. To that end, I've included my reasons for omitting some of the really popular picks, and would appreciate feedback as to the soundness of such reasoning.
Backs​
Selections ($2,346,100)
  • Heath Shaw ($576,500). Has scored really well and played 22 games for the past two years. He therefore strikes me as the player with the highest probability of ending the season as a top 6 back. His average actually dropped slightly last year. Players who do this tend to improve their average the following season [1].
  • Rory Laird ($526,800). Similar to Shaw, albeit with a bit more injury risk, and probably a higher likelihood of further increasing his average. Basically just a deliberate cookie-cutter pick.
  • Tom McDonald ($488,200). Another player who has scored well and played 22 games the last two years now. Has a very high ceiling and is still young enough that he could improve. His slight decline last year bodes well for his value this year [1].
  • Caleb Marchbank ($236,100). Cookie-cutter rookie selection. Seems to be general consensus amongst Carlton supporters that he's a best-22 lock and he scored pretty well in the JLT.
  • Curtly Hampton ($160,000). Similar to Marchbank, but thankfully with a significantly lower price.
  • Andy Otten ($123,900). Looks likely to get a few games at the start of the year and in a Supercoach friendly role.
  • Tom Stewart ($117,300). Really cheap rookie who looks likely to play the first few rounds at least.
  • Joel Smith ($117,300). Similar to Stewart. The fact that he's being considered in spite of his prior injury bodes well for his job security.
Omissions
  • Sam Docherty ($591,600). Increased his average by 20+ points last year. This historically does not bode well [2].​
  • Taylor Adams ($527,800). Highly injury prone, meaning that it's very likely he'd have to be traded out. At his price I would want someone with a lower probability of wasting a trade.​
Midfielders​
Selections​
  • Patrick Dangerfield ($716,900). Basically just a cookie-cutter pick, I'm not nearly as bullish on him as most people seem to be. For one, I'm expecting his average to drop this year, after he 12 point rise last year after what had already been a PB season in 2015. I'm also not so sure about the argument based upon Geelong's easy start to the year, since he doesn't seem to be much of a flat-track bully scoring wise. But the general consensus seems to be that any average of 120+ would still make him a worthwhile pick, given his ceiling and therefore potential value as captain. I'd certainly back him to do that.
  • Adam Treloar ($605,400). A fairly young player who has scored consistently well and missed very few games for the past three years now. Still offers potential to improve, especially given that his preseason this year has been much better than it was last year.
  • Nat Fyfe ($573,500). A clear violation of my general rule not to pick injury prone premiums. His ceiling relative to his price however means that I think I have to start with him.
  • Tom Mitchell ($565,600). Another reasonably young, consistent player. His move to a now depleted Hawthorn midfield gives him plenty of opportunity to win the ball, as he has demonstrated in the JLT! The usual tagging caveat that would come with such a move seems unlikely given his relatively ineffective disposal.
  • Dyson Heppell ($513,300). Yet another young, consistent player, but with the added bonus of a 10% discount courtesy of your friendly neighbourhood injection program. Hasn't left my side all season.
  • Dayne Beams ($432,500). Has averaged ~115 since 2012, but is priced to average under 80. He's injury prone, but I'm willing to take that risk on a mid-pricer. Assuming that three mid-pricers are equivalent to one gun and two rookies, and assuming that the latter approach will require an average of two trades, the mid-pricers need only a one-in-three chance of being a keeper to actually save a trade.
  • Jaeger O'Meara ($318,900). Similar to Beams, but with lower scores and, thankfully, a lower price. I'm particularly excited about his age: Jaeger is now in his fifth season, albeit only his third playing season. Players going into their third years improve their average by a mean of 7 points [3]. Players in their fifth years will have by an average 16 points compared to their second year [3]. Of course, I would expect something closer to this former in his case, but even that would bring him just under 105, which would be an absolute steal at his price.
  • David Swallow ($280,200). Similar to the above, but cheaper still and probably with a lower ceiling. I'm willing to take all three on the basis of the trade saving reasoning explained under Beams.
  • Sam Powell-Pepper ($135,300). Don't think I really need to justify him. Would've liked to have started him on the field, and would predict an average of 70-80, but the abundance of mid-pricers has pushed him to the bench.
  • Jake Barrett ($127,900). Similar to Powell-Pepper, contingent of course upon Brisbane upgrading him from the rookie list.
  • Jarrod Pickett ($123,900). Another cookie-cutter rookie, who thankfully has been selected for round one. Offers my only DPP link.
Omissions​
  • Scott Pendlebury ($645,700). Would've liked to have started him but he doesn't really fit with my structure. He's also had some slight injury problems. Will be an upgrade target.
Rucks​
Selections
  • Todd Goldstein ($588,400). Has been a consistently high scorer for the last few years. Last year he not only continued that trend but also showed a remarkable resilience for playing through injury. As someone whose average dropped by over 20 points last year, he can be expected to at least equal it this year [1].
  • Aaron Sandilands ($308,200). Yet another injury prone mid-pricer. His JLT form was very impressive, suggesting that he still has a very high ceiling. Has the potential to offer both significant cash generation and high scoring. If, for instance, he scored 100 in every game until round ten - in fact a significant drop on his past two full seasons - his price would rise by over $170k [4]. And he'd only need to make it to round five to gain $100k [4]. With this value, combined with his ability as a mid-pricer to save a trade, his reward seems to far outweigh his risk.
  • Jarrod Witts ($217,600). That being said, Sandilands does still provide a lot of risk, particularly for late withdrawals. The selection of Witts is largely to counterbalance that. Although rather expensive for a rookie, I also like Witts' cash generation potential. As Gold Coast's first-choice ruck I'd say his unlikely to average below 65. At this point he'd already be below even Lobbe 2015 and Leuenberger 2016 - and I'm not sure it's possible to be much worse than them. But even then he'd have gained $94k by round 10, even assuming a standard deviation of zero [4]. In a more optimistic scenario wherein he averages 80 he would have risen over $160k by then [4]. Given the scarcity of quality rookies this his year his price seems worth paying.
Omissions
  • Max Gawn ($645,000). Gawn is coming off a 16-point career high. This doesn't quite put him in the CLYP category [2], but still suggests he is likely to be rather overpriced. Rucks in particular have seemed prone to fall off the cliff after massive breakout years (e.g. Minson, Lobbe, Leuenberger, Jacobs). Even without the risk posed by Spencer, I'd be inclined against him.
Forwards​
Selections​
  • Luke Dahlhaus ($520,700). His average last year was severely affected by games in which he'd gotten injured early on. Given that his previous history of injury is relatively minor, I'd be less worried about him being an injury-risk premium. He's a very popular pick, so I don't think he needs much more justification.
  • Jack Macrae ($511,700). Similar to Dahlhaus, with the added bonus of age [3].
  • Jarryd Roughead ($367,100). My final mid-pricer, with much of the typical reasoning applying. He's averaged 95+ in every season since 2011, but is at a significantly discounted price. I'm no medical expert, but I'm pretty sure the cancer is unlikely to affect his play this year, and he seemed pretty lively in the JLT. Hawthorn giving him the captaincy shows a real vote of confidence in him. I think I'd be happy with any average above 90, but am more than willing on this area to hear feedback about what I should count as a successful season, as I certainly wouldn't expect him to go any higher than that.
  • Tim Taranto ($207,300). Generic rookie pick. Scored well in the JLT and seems to have decent job security.
  • Kayne Turner ($171,400). A rookie who will get games, not much more to say. If not selected for round one he will be out.
  • Teia Miles ($123,900). Similar to the above, but at a lower price.
  • Brandon Parfitt ($117,300). Ditto.
  • Brett Eddy ($102,400). One of very few cheap rookies I'm confident with. He will play games early and at his price needs do very little to generate cash.
Sources
1. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/2077-Fallen-Premiums-A-Statistical-Viewpoint
2. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/231-Chasing-last-years-points-(MkII)
3. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/3288-100-Season-Players-Sorted-By-Age
4. https://www.dropbox.com/s/jsur8rpaz6b7bu2/2017SupercoachscoresPlanner.xlsx?dl=0
Click to expand...
Didn't realise you could study Supercoach at uni!
 

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tnk64 said:
Hi all, I'm interested in getting feedback on this team. Of course I'm more interested in the assessment of my reasoning than just "Pick/don't pick player x, who is a gun/spud". I've been pretty unsuccessful in my two years of Supercoach so far, so any general strategy/tactics (including whether I've misinterpreted my cited sources) I seem to need will be more than welcome. To that end, I've included my reasons for omitting some of the really popular picks, and would appreciate feedback as to the soundness of such reasoning.
Backs​
Selections ($2,346,100)
  • Heath Shaw ($576,500). Has scored really well and played 22 games for the past two years. He therefore strikes me as the player with the highest probability of ending the season as a top 6 back. His average actually dropped slightly last year. Players who do this tend to improve their average the following season [1].
  • Rory Laird ($526,800). Similar to Shaw, albeit with a bit more injury risk, and probably a higher likelihood of further increasing his average. Basically just a deliberate cookie-cutter pick.
  • Tom McDonald ($488,200). Another player who has scored well and played 22 games the last two years now. Has a very high ceiling and is still young enough that he could improve. His slight decline last year bodes well for his value this year [1].
  • Caleb Marchbank ($236,100). Cookie-cutter rookie selection. Seems to be general consensus amongst Carlton supporters that he's a best-22 lock and he scored pretty well in the JLT.
  • Curtly Hampton ($160,000). Similar to Marchbank, but thankfully with a significantly lower price.
  • Andy Otten ($123,900). Looks likely to get a few games at the start of the year and in a Supercoach friendly role.
  • Tom Stewart ($117,300). Really cheap rookie who looks likely to play the first few rounds at least.
  • Joel Smith ($117,300). Similar to Stewart. The fact that he's being considered in spite of his prior injury bodes well for his job security.
Omissions
  • Sam Docherty ($591,600). Increased his average by 20+ points last year. This historically does not bode well [2].​
  • Taylor Adams ($527,800). Highly injury prone, meaning that it's very likely he'd have to be traded out. At his price I would want someone with a lower probability of wasting a trade.​
Midfielders​
Selections ($4,393,400)​
  • Patrick Dangerfield ($716,900). Basically just a cookie-cutter pick, I'm not nearly as bullish on him as most people seem to be. For one, I'm expecting his average to drop this year, after he 12 point rise last year after what had already been a PB season in 2015. I'm also not so sure about the argument based upon Geelong's easy start to the year, since he doesn't seem to be much of a flat-track bully scoring wise. But the general consensus seems to be that any average of 120+ would still make him a worthwhile pick, given his ceiling and therefore potential value as captain. I'd certainly back him to do that.
  • Adam Treloar ($605,400). A fairly young player who has scored consistently well and missed very few games for the past three years now. Still offers potential to improve, especially given that his preseason this year has been much better than it was last year.
  • Nat Fyfe ($573,500). A clear violation of my general rule not to pick injury prone premiums. His ceiling relative to his price however means that I think I have to start with him.
  • Tom Mitchell ($565,600). Another reasonably young, consistent player. His move to a now depleted Hawthorn midfield gives him plenty of opportunity to win the ball, as he has demonstrated in the JLT! The usual tagging caveat that would come with such a move seems unlikely given his relatively ineffective disposal.
  • Dyson Heppell ($513,300). Yet another young, consistent player, but with the added bonus of a 10% discount courtesy of your friendly neighbourhood injection program. Hasn't left my side all season.
  • Dayne Beams ($432,500). Has averaged ~115 since 2012, but is priced to average under 80. He's injury prone, but I'm willing to take that risk on a mid-pricer. Assuming that three mid-pricers are equivalent to one gun and two rookies, and assuming that the latter approach will require an average of two trades, the mid-pricers need only a one-in-three chance of being a keeper to actually save a trade.
  • Jaeger O'Meara ($318,900). Similar to Beams, but with lower scores and, thankfully, a lower price. I'm particularly excited about his age: Jaeger is now in his fifth season, albeit only his third playing season. Players going into their third years improve their average by a mean of 7 points [3]. Players in their fifth years will have by an average 16 points compared to their second year [3]. Of course, I would expect something closer to this former in his case, but even that would bring him just under 105, which would be an absolute steal at his price.
  • David Swallow ($280,200). Similar to the above, but cheaper still and probably with a lower ceiling. I'm willing to take all three on the basis of the trade saving reasoning explained under Beams.
  • Sam Powell-Pepper ($135,300). Don't think I really need to justify him. Would've liked to have started him on the field, and would predict an average of 70-80, but the abundance of mid-pricers has pushed him to the bench.
  • Jake Barrett ($127,900). Similar to Powell-Pepper, contingent of course upon Brisbane upgrading him from the rookie list.
  • Jarrod Pickett ($123,900). Another cookie-cutter rookie, who thankfully has been selected for round one. Offers my only DPP link.
Omissions​
  • Scott Pendlebury ($645,700). Would've liked to have started him but he doesn't really fit with my structure. He's also had some slight injury problems. Will be an upgrade target.
Rucks​
Selections (896,600)
  • Todd Goldstein ($588,400). Has been a consistently high scorer for the last few years. Last year he not only continued that trend but also showed a remarkable resilience for playing through injury. As someone whose average dropped by over 20 points last year, he can be expected to at least equal it this year [1].
  • Aaron Sandilands ($308,200). Yet another injury prone mid-pricer. His JLT form was very impressive, suggesting that he still has a very high ceiling. Has the potential to offer both significant cash generation and high scoring. If, for instance, he scored 100 in every game until round ten - in fact a significant drop on his past two full seasons - his price would rise by over $170k [4]. And he'd only need to make it to round five to gain $100k [4]. With this value, combined with his ability as a mid-pricer to save a trade, his reward seems to far outweigh his risk.
  • Jarrod Witts ($217,600). That being said, Sandilands does still provide a lot of risk, particularly for late withdrawals. The selection of Witts is largely to counterbalance that. Although rather expensive for a rookie, I also like Witts' cash generation potential. As Gold Coast's first-choice ruck I'd say his unlikely to average below 65. At this point he'd already be below even Lobbe 2015 and Leuenberger 2016 - and I'm not sure it's possible to be much worse than them. But even then he'd have gained $94k by round 10, even assuming a standard deviation of zero [4]. In a more optimistic scenario wherein he averages 80 he would have risen over $160k by then [4]. Given the scarcity of quality rookies this his year his price seems worth paying.
Omissions
  • Max Gawn ($645,000). Gawn is coming off a 16-point career high. This doesn't quite put him in the CLYP category [2], but still suggests he is likely to be rather overpriced. Rucks in particular have seemed prone to fall off the cliff after massive breakout years (e.g. Minson, Lobbe, Leuenberger, Jacobs). Even without the risk posed by Spencer, I'd be inclined against him.
Forwards​
Selections ($2,121,800)​
  • Luke Dahlhaus ($520,700). His average last year was severely affected by games in which he'd gotten injured early on. Given that his previous history of injury is relatively minor, I'd be less worried about him being an injury-risk premium. He's a very popular pick, so I don't think he needs much more justification.
  • Jack Macrae ($511,700). Similar to Dahlhaus, with the added bonus of age [3].
  • Jarryd Roughead ($367,100). My final mid-pricer, with much of the typical reasoning applying. He's averaged 95+ in every season since 2011, but is at a significantly discounted price. I'm no medical expert, but I'm pretty sure the cancer is unlikely to affect his play this year, and he seemed pretty lively in the JLT. Hawthorn giving him the captaincy shows a real vote of confidence in him. I think I'd be happy with any average above 90, but am more than willing on this area to hear feedback about what I should count as a successful season, as I certainly wouldn't expect him to go any higher than that.
  • Tim Taranto ($207,300). Generic rookie pick. Scored well in the JLT and seems to have decent job security.
  • Kayne Turner ($171,400). A rookie who will get games, not much more to say. If not selected for round one he will be out.
  • Teia Miles ($123,900). Similar to the above, but at a lower price.
  • Brandon Parfitt ($117,300). Ditto.
  • Brett Eddy ($102,400). One of very few cheap rookies I'm confident with. He will play games early and at his price needs do very little to generate cash.
Team value: $9,975,500.
Sources
1. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/2077-Fallen-Premiums-A-Statistical-Viewpoint
2. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/231-Chasing-last-years-points-(MkII)
3. http://www.supercoachscores.com/threads/3288-100-Season-Players-Sorted-By-Age
4. https://www.dropbox.com/s/jsur8rpaz6b7bu2/2017SupercoachscoresPlanner.xlsx?dl=0
Click to expand...
images.jpg
 
Def: Rance, Laird, Williams, J.Martin, Hampton, Hibberd (Otten, Stewart)
Mid: Dangerfield, Pendlebury, Bontempelli, Ward, Fyfe, O'Meara, Florent, SPS (Barrett, Pickett, Parfitt)
Ruc: Grundy, Sandilands (Cameron)
Fwd: Dahlhaus, Macrae, Greene, Higgins, Turner, Butler (Houston, Eddy)

29.6k left any thoughts?
 
Glorin said:
I'm in.
I have a few spots left in my league if anyone wants in. 146731. Don't care if you are good or not as long as you are a regular around here and don't mind being beaten!
Click to expand...
Have joined thanks.
 
sc team 2.PNG
Made a second team because I'm curious to see how this mid priced madness plays out for myself. Pretty stock standard selections, probably end up doing better than my main team.
 
Last edited:

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keithrichards said:
This is where i sit at the moment with $11k in the bank. Rookies just holding position til teams come out, though the ones I've currently got I'd be happy with.

Have concerns that I may need to find extra cash for a Florent/Turner type if selection doesn't go my way, but will deal with that.

Anyone notice any significant flaws in the team? 2 x midpricers in the forward line has me going a bit cold on Steele...


View attachment 347983
Click to expand...

Swung it around a fair bit to get to this... $230k in the bank, with much less in the way of mid pricers

Thoughts on this set up versus the team in the quoted post?

upload_2017-3-23_11-50-50.png
 
Still have $339,800 in the bank. Damn image won't upload.

Shaw
Adams
Laird
Marchbank
Hampton
Otten

J. Smith
T. Steward

Danger
Fyfe
Treloar
T. Mitchell
Beams
O'Meara
Powell-Pepper
Barrett

Hibberd
Mountford
Parfitt

Gawn
Sandi

Preuss

Dahl
Macrae
Whingehard
Roughie
Florent
Eddy

Pickett
Butler
 
Judd2Sewell said:
Still have $339,800 in the bank. Damn image won't upload.

Shaw
Adams
Laird
Marchbank
Hampton
Otten

J. Smith
T. Steward

Danger
Fyfe
Treloar
T. Mitchell
Beams
O'Meara
Powell-Pepper
Barrett

Hibberd
Mountford
Parfitt

Gawn
Sandi

Preuss

Dahl
Macrae
Whingehard
Roughie
Florent
Eddy

Pickett
Butler
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